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47 Ronin | The Official Thread
Posted 28 October 2013 - 10:10 AM
- stripe likes this
Unless Cameron offers SMELL-O-VISION with AVATAR 2, It's not doing more than 400M Plus .. And YES, I'll bet AVATAR 2 doesn't do more than at best 425M Domestic ... You need to check into rehab if you think TA2 isn't going to make a dent in AVATAR 2's box office
I'll be honest with you, I see Avatar 2 doing half of what the first did. Seriously, I think these sequels will start off below $400M and then just drop further.
Posted 28 October 2013 - 10:53 AM
Keanu Reeves is an odd cat. He does one movie every four years or so.
- Jay Hollywood likes this
Dawn of the Apes - A / The Lego Movie - A / Neighbors - A- / The Rover - A- / X-men: Days of Future Past - A- / Boyhood - B+ / Godzilla - B+ Edge of Tomorrow - B+ / Captain America: The Winter Soldier - B+ / Gone Girl - B / Under the Skin - B / Guardians of the Galaxy - B / 22 Jump Street - B Noah - B / Robocop - B- / Transformers: Age of Extinction - B- / TMNT - C+ / Divergent - C+ / That Awkward Moment - C+
The Amazing Spider-man 2 - C / The Monuments Men - C / Maleficent - C / Dracula Untold - C- / Transcendence - C- Blended - D+ / Ride Along - D
Posted 28 October 2013 - 11:17 AM
No way this turns into another RIPD. No way! 400M WW is my official prediction.
- efialtes76, iceroll and rb02 like this
Next 4 Weeks Predictions (Updates on Mondays and Thursdays):
- The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 61/94/292 | Night at the Museum 3 - 20/101 | Annie - 12/68
- The Interview - 10/13/41 | Into the Woods - 35/48/148 | Unbroken - 17/22/86 | The Gambler - 8/10/38
- The Woman in Black 2: Angel of Death - 6/14
- Taken 3 - 35/91
Posted 28 October 2013 - 12:21 PM
You have a weird auto-correct as it replaced "China" with "DOM." China is the only country where this film has a chance of reaching $100M as it will be lucky to reach a third of that in the US. This film will make The Lone Ranger seem like Avatar.
If this movie has any chance of making 100M, in any country, outside of America, it's Japan, not China, and this movie absolutely has a chance of making 100M domestic, assuming a strong push from marketing. It certainly has a much higher chance of hitting 100M than it does of failing to hit a third of 100M.
- efialtes76 likes this
Posted 28 October 2013 - 12:26 PM
Current hsx stock is 61, which is, at this point, the closest thing we'll have to tracking. Note that the number there only reflects the first four week, so the actual value is probably around 65 to 70. The stocks usually tend to rise as the movie gets closer.
At this point, I'd guess 75M Domestic and 350 WW. This movie will do disproportionately well in foreign markets, partly because of Japan, but even without that, these types of movies tend to do overseas.
Edited by rb02, 28 October 2013 - 12:27 PM.
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