JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[catlover]

BH6 is a 2014 movie. At least if you don't count the year as dec 1/nov 30.

 

Well, Japanese yearly ranking starts from Dec, or even late Nov sometimes. I based my "year" on that. But even if we're talking about Jan-Dec, there's Star Wars, which could get close to or more than 10b yen. So if Cinderella is the biggest foreign movie of the year, it will likely be the biggest overall too.

[Cynosure]

Are those actuals for FF7 and Conan ?

[edroger3]

Are those actuals for FF7 and Conan ?

As at thursday 23: FF7 B1,083 Conan B1,214 DBZ B1,298 Edited April 24, 2015 by edroger

[scabab]

You mean Thursday?

[edroger3]

You mean Thursday?

Yes

[Cynosure]

Well forget what I said, Cinderella won't be the biggest foreign movie either.

[edroger3]

Saturday estimates

 

Cindy/FF wins but not explodes, Sunday increase can get a 6M$+ weekend. 

 

Holdovers Drop on usual locations: DBZ -60% - Conan -50% - FF7 -46,5%

 

Movie          FF7       DBZ     Conan     Cindy
Day              9         8         8         1
Est. Adm   120.567   171.381   196.431   263.031
Est.MYen    166,38    232,05    247,50    341,94
Est. $       1,398     1,949     2,079     2,872
   
Cume  Adm  906.065 1.175.652 1.171.613   263.031
Cume MYen 1.319,24  1.592,43  1.528,02    341,94
Cume  M$     11,08     13,38     12,84      2,87 
    

First Sat on Toho for Disney's

 

Frozen     59279 (T 254,8B)
Maleficent 62250 (T  65,4B)
Big Hero 6 46759 (T  91,5B)
Cinderella 48558

 

Sunday seats usual locations

 

363340  Cinderella

215889  Dragon Ball Z
202044  Conan 2015
150369  Parasyte final chapter
129229  Fast and Furious 7

Edited April 25, 2015 by edroger

[Cynosure]

Wow, our results are really different. I used last week's multipliers (2.393 and 2.469) and average ticket prices. How did you compute your estimates ?

 

Daily admissions :
Conan : 70813*2,393 = 169,455
DBZ : 61697*2,469=152,330

Daily grosses :
Conan : 169,455*1270.306 = 215 million yen
DBZ : 152,330*1342.11 = 204 million yen

Edited April 25, 2015 by Cynosure

[edroger3]

Wow, our results are really different. I used last week's multipliers (2.393 and 2.469) and average ticket prices.

 

Daily admissions :

Conan : 70813*2,393 = 169,455

DBZ : 61697*2,469=152,330

Daily grosses :

Conan : 169,455*1270.306 = 215 million yen

DBZ : 152,330*1342.11 = 204 million yen

The site in which we look for the numbers calculates the estimate market share of reported locations for each movie; for today we have a, obviously estimate, about 36% MS for Conan and DBZ, while for sunday we have 41% and 43,5%. More the MS is lower, more the multiplier is higher.

[scabab]

What's the site you're using? Is it the mimorin site?

[Cynosure]

Wait, where do you see the market share of the usual locations for each movie ? That's very interesting data and I can't find it anywhere on the website.

[Icicle]

Cinderella OD was higher than FF7's, right?

[Cynosure]

Yes but FF7's OD was a friday.

[edroger3]

Wait, where do you see the market share of the usual locations for each movie ? That's very interesting data and I can't find it anywhere on the website.

This is for Sunday

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-5035.html

*1　363340　1061　342.5　149　353　42.2 Cinderella

Pos/number of seats/number of shows/average seats per shows/screens 5 chains/screen total/market share 5 chains/movie

Edited April 25, 2015 by edroger

[scabab]

Is there one for Saturday where it says the market share was 36%?

[edroger3]

Is there one for Saturday where it says the market share was 36%?

Is there one for Saturday where it says the market share was 36%?

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-5020.html

BTW the site had this kind of report every day.

[scabab]

Thanks for that, that's very interesting.

If for Saturday DBZ was at a 37% Market share wouldn't it's admissions be closer to 167,000?

[Cynosure]

I see. Thanks for that. However, looking at it in detail, last weekend those chains made up a market share of 37.2% for Conan and 37.1% for DBZ over the weekend for the screens and yet when it came to admissions the market share of the 5 chains was over 40% for both nearing 42% for Conan.

 

Basically, you can't really take the market share % for screens and expand it to admissions.

Edited April 25, 2015 by Cynosure

[POTUS 2020]

I see. Thanks for that. However, looking at it in detail, last weekend those chains made up a market share of 37.2% for Conan and 37.1% for DBZ over the weekend for the screens and yet when it came to admissions the market share of the 5 chains was over 40% for both nearing 42% for Conan.

 

Basically, you can't really take the market share % for screens and expand it to admissions.

Theaters vary from 100 to over 1000 seats. Some movies at times have more of the larger theaters. You need to look at seats available not screens to see market share. The 40% that the 5 chains represent can deviate a few percent

[edroger3]

Weekend estimates. 

 

        ADM YEN     $ T ADM T YEN    T $
CINDY  500K 650M 5,4M  
CONAN  430K 550M 4,7M 1,40M 1815M 15,25M
DBZ    360K 480M 4,1M 1,35M 1845M 15,50M
FAST   230K 340M 2,9M 1,05M 1475M 12,38M

 

First weekend on Toho

 

Frozen     122905 (172129/3days)

Big Hero 6  94364
Maleficent 120486
Cinderella  95808