BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

[Donald]

Greyyyyyy...

[IndustriousAngel]

Final weekend trend for Germany:

#1: 50SoG - 1300k admissions

#2: HiK - 275k (-15%)

#3: BH6 - 140k (-30%)

#4: FF4 - 100k (-25%, the million will be tough)

#5: JA - 90k (-40%, ouch)

#6: FMmw - 85k (-20%)

#7: WildCard - 65k (Statham sexually destroyed)

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Fifty Shades of Grey	1.353.030	739	1.831	1.353.030	-	1
2	Honig im Kopf	277.411	750	370	5.509.154	-12	8
3	Big Hero 6	126.062	645	195	1.255.000	-38	4
4	Jupiter Ascending	94.920	452	210	292.702	-38	2
5	Frau Müller muss weg	90.351	479	189	742.320	-15	5
6	Fünf Freunde 4	85.823	634	135	487.969	-37	3
7	The Imitation Game	49.449	250	198	427.597	-31	4
8	Wild Card	48.274	229	211	64.628	-	1
9	John Wick	45.982	342	134	363.004	-45	3
10	The Interview	45.966	358	128	163.335	-51	2
11	Birdman	38.130	150	254	231.405	-31	3
12	Bibi & Tina 2	24.949	446	56	1.160.940	-38	8
13	3 Türken & ein Baby	17.753	150	118	181.851	-35	4
14	Ouija	17.406	264	66	325.087	-63	4
15	Let's Be Cops	16.839	208	81	676.251	-44	6
16	Inherent Vice	16.609	58	286	17.891	-	1
17	Paddington	15.598	335	47	1.909.787	-37	11
18	Blackhat	15.119	335	45	107.138	-71	2
19	Wild	13.139	144	91	196.036	-35	5
20	Taken 3	13.045	218	60	1.107.563	-64	6

 

A super opening for the SM romance, but the competition - especially domestic stuff - didn't get hurt as much as expected. "Honig im Kopf" is still havin an incredible run, #1 for 2014 is locked and it should reach 6,5mil total! At the end of the charts, Paddington is crawling along nicely but won't reach 2mil. FF4 dropped nearly 40%, it's now likely this will be the first of the franchise to miss 1mil total (until now, each entry managed to grow by about 10%).

 

Next week:

Some interesting openers: domestic comedy "Traumfrauen" gows up against HiK and FMmw; families get "Spongebob 3D", horror fans "Woman in Black 2", history fans "Selma", and there's even "Into the Woods" for the few musically inclined - a 4-quadrant weekend, theaters should be packed! But the biggest question is how much 50SoG will drop ... if it follows the Twilight franchise, expect something in the range of 45% to 50%.

[IndustriousAngel]

First trend for Germany's weekend:

#1: 50SoG - 700k admissions (-50%, in line with Twilight movies, expect close to 4mil total)

#2: Spongebob - 500k - wow!

#3: Traumfrauen - 375k - also a good start!

#4: Honig im Kopf - 210k (-25%, and over 5.8mil total already!)

 

"Into the Woods" might reach 100k, ok for a musical - "Woman in Black 2" is trending to 40k, not so good.

 

Overall, as expected a very strong weekend with something for everyone!

[Rthmessiah]

Fri FSOG only dropped 25%, week so far - 44

[terrestrial]

insidekino tweets about

 

is FSoG 2nd weekend would have been during 2014 it would have been the 3rd best OW of 2014

[IndustriousAngel]

2nd trend looks even better for 50SoG and the weekend as a whole:

#1: 50SoG - 775k admissions (-45% or better)

#2: Spongebob - 500k

#3: Traumfrauen - 400k

#4: HiK - 200k (-30%, still fine considering the competition)

nothing else with more than 100k admissions

[James]

2nd trend looks even better for 50SoG and the weekend as a whole:

#1: 50SoG - 775k admissions (-45% or better)

#2: Spongebob - 500k

#3: Traumfrauen - 400k

#4: HiK - 200k (-30%, still fine considering the competition)

nothing else with more than 100k admissions

Wow, that is a great hold right? 

[IndustriousAngel]

the Twilight movies had drops in the 45-50% range on 2nd weekend, so it's on the better end of expectations, yes.

[IndustriousAngel]

final estimates for the weekend - and nearly every single movie goes up, weekend looks better and better the longer it lasts!

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Fifty Shades of Grey	790.073	755	1.046	2.605.843	-42	2
2	Spongebob 3D	479.180	503	953	532.103	-	1
3	Traumfrauen	379.905	597	636	429.603	-	1
4	Honig im Kopf	223.614	701	319	5.868.059	-19	9
5	Big Hero 6	104.471	632	165	1.415.908	-17	5
6	Into the Woods	100.463	301	334	100.463	-	1
7	Fünf Freunde 4	92.495	644	144	641.047	+8	4
8	Frau Müller muss weg	67.036	468	143	860.989	-26	6
9	Jupiter Ascending	53.219	443	120	381.803	-44	3
10	The Imitation Game	40.028	252	159	494.453	-19	5
11	Birdman	36.094	156	231	286.545	-5	4
12	Selma	31.052	110	282	32.167	-	1
13	Bibi & Tina 2	26.080	335	78	1.201.749	+5	9
14	The Woman in Black 2	23.876	160	149	40.091	-	1
15	Wild Card	23.499	227	104	102.507	-51	2
16	John Wick	22.118	245	90	401.332	-52	4
17	The Interview	19.705	329	60	201.669	-57	3
18	Inherent Vice	15.110	63	240	42.392	-9	2
19	Paddington	13.723	234	59	1.936.318	-12	12
20	Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss	13.024	236	55	769.134	+16	10

 

Wow, what a weekend! 50SoG with a better drop than your usual Twilight stuff, should reach 4mil total at least! HiK with another super hold, setting its sight to 7mil total! Fine openings from Spongebob and domestic comedy Traumfrauen! Even "Into the Woods" did ok for a musical! FF4 had an increase (family stuff as a whole was very good this weekend) but it won't be enough to reach the million total I'd say.

 

Next weekend:

No rest for the wicked, with wide openers "Astérix - la domaine des dieux" and "American Sniper" there are two new releases with hit potential, and most holdovers should be doing fine again - HiK might already become #1 of 2014 releases. 2015 is really shaping up to be a fiiiine year for theaters and distributors, with the "real" blockbusters yet to be released.

[IndustriousAngel]

 First trend for Germany's weekend:

#1: 50SoG - 400k admissions (-50%, crosses 3mil)

#2: AS - 350k (very good for the Eastwood pic)

#3: Traumfrauen - 300k (-20%)

#4: Spongebob - 200k (-60% ?! wtf)

#5: HiK - 150k (-35%, crosses 6mil total, #1 for 2014!)

#6: Asterix - 140k (I was hoping for better numbers)

[IndustriousAngel]

Saturday update: 50SoG again much stronger than first estimates, most other stuff stronger too - another super weekend for the boxoffice!

[IndustriousAngel]

Final estimates for the weekend:

#1: 50SoG - 475k admissions (-40%, crosses 3mil, 4mil locked)

#2: AS - 350k (very good for the Eastwood pic)

#3: Traumfrauen - 300k (-20%)

#4: Spongebob - 250k (-50%)

#5: Asterix - 160k (I was hoping for better numbers)

#6: HiK - 155k (-30%, crosses 6mil total, #1 for 2014!)

everything else below 100k, french dramedy "Samba" opens to 65k, a bit disappointing from the team behind super-hit "Intouchables"

[lab276]

I've been kinda zoned out of the box office recently but the last two weeks have been huge! Up 84% (50sog OW) and 71% respectively and this week looks just as good.

Edited March 1, 2015 by lab276

[IndustriousAngel]

yep, BO was really exceptional this February, and the "big" blockbusters are still waiting in line ... hopefully, 2015 will continue this way, theaters sure can use the business!

[IndustriousAngel]

Sunday must have been very strong, actuals tomorrow but every single release seems to be a bit stronger than estimates!

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Fifty Shades of Grey	490.879	738	665	3.324.605	-38	3
2	American Sniper	339.426	333	1.019	370.882	-	1
3	Traumfrauen	306.150	605	506	847.185	-19	2
4	Spongebob 3D	262.178	557	471	848.610	-45	2
5	Honig im Kopf	174.224	710	245	6.112.868	-22	10
6	Astérix : Le Domaine des dieux	151.454	435	348	178.674	-	1
7	Big Hero 6	69.724	604	115	1.494.754	-33	6
8	Into the Woods	66.569	300	222	191.946	-34	2
9	Samba	65.145	155	420	69.980	-	1
10	Birdman	57.963	291	199	367.557	+61	5
11	Fünf Freunde 4	56.757	633	90	704.293	-39	5
12	Frau Müller muss weg	43.118	488	88	925.661	-36	7
13	The Imitation Game	26.661	265	101	536.756	-33	6
14	Jupiter Ascending	25.142	296	85	419.480	-53	4
15	Selma	22.879	114	201	68.844	-26	2
16	Bibi & Tina 2	19.397	295	66	1.222.146	-26	10
17	Als wir träumten	18.966	74	256	22.626	-	1
18	John Wick	12.227	203	60	417.989	-45	5
19	The Woman in Black 2	11.485	160	72	55.997	-52	2
20	The Theory of Everything	10.529	166	63	509.926	+93	10

 

Again, a very strong week overall, with one better-than-expected opening (AS). The new Astérix is a bit below my expectations but maybe it'll have good drops. Domestic comedy "Traumfrauen" with a wonderful drop, as "Honig im Kopf" which is now the #1 2014 release in Germany (in admissions of course, moneywise Hobbit3 is out of reach). The Oscars pushed Birdman and ToE a lot - nice totals over 500k admissions for each!

Spongebob 3D seems very frontloaded, -45% drop is crazy when you compare it to other family stuff.

 

Next week: No blockbusters, but a lot of medium-to-small releases: "Metegol" from Argentina, "Chappie" from SA, "Focus" from WillSmithLand, "Seventh Son" and "Still Alice" from the US (a bit late for the Oscar ride, no?), "La famille Bélier" from France (which might become a blockbuster, you never know with those comedies - sometimes they connect and go boom like "Intouchables" or last year's "Qu'est-ce qu'on a fait au Bon Dieu"), and british nature doc "Afrika". Not every one of those releases can succeed but I'll be damned if I can see which ones are flopping... 50SoG will stay on top.

Going by presales at my theater: Chappie is a bit stronger than Focus (despite being on the smaller screen), can't say nothing about the Béliers since Austria got a later release date.

[IndustriousAngel]

After last weekend, the final Top10 for 2014 in Germany are as follows:

 

	title	admissions	dist.
1	Honig im Kopf	6.112.868*	WB
2	The Hobbit 3	6.058.094*	WB
3	Mockingjay 1	3.939.756	SC
4	Qu'est-ce qu'on a fait au Bon Dieu?	3.765.658	NV
5	How to Train your Dragon 2	2.723.730	FOX
6	Transformers 4	2.507.657	PAR
7	The Wolf of Wall Street	2.400.242	U
8	Vaterfreuden	2.367.567	WB
9	Paddington	1.946.551*	SC
10	Guardians of the Galaxy	1.790.887	WD

*still in release

 

Paddington and Hobbit 3 - while still in release - won't add much; neither will H3 reach 6.1mil nor Paddington 2.0mil. "Honig im Kopf" is a real surprise - most had it pegged at 3mil tops, with its difficult Alzheimer theme, but it's running and running and might even hit 7mil in the end. French comedy "QecqoafaBD" was a pleasant surprise, too - extremely leggy run with a 20x multiplier (from a 155k opening weekend excluding previews, even including previews it's still nearly a 19x multiplier!)

 

Overall, 2014 has been pretty poor with only 4 releases crossing the "blockbuster" treshold of 3mil (and that's stretching the meaning of blockbuster imho, Germany has more than 80mil inhabitants). Of course, we're hoping for a better 2015 - with SW7, Spectre, Minions, FJG2 and MJ2 there's at least 5 more movies that I see crossing the 3mil (50SoG has already done it and will cross 4). Plus, there's a whole bunch of releases which have the potential to make it, and maybe the odd breakout like this year's QecqoafaBD. I'm keeping my fingers crossed that 2015's Top10 will consist exclusively of 3mil+ blockbusters!

 

Final numbers for Austria are not yet available but overall 2014 has been even shittier than in Germany, mainly because the german comedies don't do that well in Austria, and there's little domestic stuff to make up for it. (Mind, that's always compared to earlier years - if you compare Austria to Germany, we Austrians are still ahead by about 10 - 15% when it comes to movie-going)

[IndustriousAngel]

aaand here's the trend fro Germany's weekend - and while 50SoG is of on top as expected, the openers are small to major disappointments.

 

#1: 50SoG - 260k (-45%)

#2/3: AS / Traumfrauen, 200k each

#4: Focus - 120k (and that's including some previews)

#5: HiK -115k (-35%, hmm will be difficult to reach 7mil total)

#6: Sponge - 100k

 

Chappie is trending towards 85k, the Béliers even lower - 7thSon, Alice below 50k and Metegol a complete flop.