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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

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Germany's Top 20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total

drop

week

1

The Hobbit 3

1.277.623

930

1.374

1.523.147

-

1

2

Paddington

247.291

593

417

584.291

-11

2

3

Mockingjay 1

218.912

627

349

3.168.477

-46

4

4

Penguins from Madagascar

176.792

717

247

910.138

-29

3

5

Alles ist Liebe

75.191

535

141

230.093

-12

2

6

Kill the Boss 2

43.938

416

106

260.800

-38

3

7

Interstellar

41.757

298

140

1.480.804

-48

6

8

Magic in the Moonlight

29.971

148

203

93.155

-26

2

9

Die Mannschaft

21.817

428

51

880.829

-48

5

10

The Loft

19.773

86

230

41.523

-

1

11

A Walk Among the Tombstones

16.368

249

66

384.862

-50

5

12

The Hobbit 2

15.518

133

117

6.092.890

-

53

13

The Hobbit 1

15.400

129

119

6.689.043

-

105

14

Qu'est-ce qu'on a fait au Bon Dieu?

10.909

176

62

3.621.011

-24

21

15

Men, Women & Children

8.826

116

76

10.105

-

1

16

Mr. Turner

7.478

139

54

158.696

-20

6

17

Deliha (KS)

7.431

53

140

71.491

-41

5

18

Dumb and Dumber To

6.833

186

37

396.250

-65

5

19

Das Salz der Erde

6.677

72

93

104.348

-5

7

20

Im Labyrinth des Schweigens

6.338

121

52

178.442

-42

6

 

Well, that was one strong weekend. But keep in mind that Hobbit3 had the highest theater count of the century so far, the PTA is in fact a little lower than Hobbit2's (1441), but higher than Hobbit1 (1.237). With previews and triple features (H1+2 made it to #13 and 12, respectively!) the total after the first Sunday is now clearly ahead of Hobbit1 (1.238.666 admissions) and Hobbit2 (1.259.086). Even with steeper drops, 6mil total are looking very good - especially with the strong Sunday numbers that seem to indicate good WOM.

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Friday trend on insidekino.de for Germany's weekend:

 

#1: Hobbit3 - 925k admissions (<30%, >2.8mil total)

#2: Paddington - 250k (flat again, wow!)

#3: NatMuseum2 - 225k (not really good)

#4: Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss - 150k (children's book adaption, should stay flat over the holidays)

#5: Penguins - 125k (-30%)

 

To put Hobbit3's number into context: Hobbit1 in its 2nd weekend had 1,04mil admissions, Hobbit2 982k.

H2 was at 2,65mil admissions after weekend 2, H1 at 2,73mil. So, H3 is still ahead by at least 100k but it has to do good again in weekend 3 for the 6mil goal.

 

Paddington had not that much of an opening, but very stable numbers which might even increase a bit next weekend! Penguins otoh are dropping fast.

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Friday trend on insidekino.de for Germany's weekend:

 

#1: Hobbit3 - 925k admissions (<30%, >2.8mil total)

#2: Paddington - 250k (flat again, wow!)

#3: NatMuseum2 - 225k (not really good)

#4: Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss - 150k (children's book adaption, should stay flat over the holidays)

#5: Penguins - 125k (-30%)

 

To put Hobbit3's number into context: Hobbit1 in its 2nd weekend had 1,04mil admissions, Hobbit2 982k.

H2 was at 2,65mil admissions after weekend 2, H1 at 2,73mil. So, H3 is still ahead by at least 100k but it has to do good again in weekend 3 for the 6mil goal.

 

Paddington had not that much of an opening, but very stable numbers which might even increase a bit next weekend! Penguins otoh are dropping fast.

Trend II:

 

Hobbit3:900k

Paddington:250k

NATM3:225k

Penguins:150k

Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss:140k

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Final trend, not so good for most releases :(

 

#1: Hobbit3 - 900k admissions (<30%)

#2: Paddington - 200k (-20%, still impressive but far from flat)

#3: NatMuseum2 - 200k (and that's including previews)

#4: MJ1 - 150k (-30%, not enough for 2014's nr.1 total)

#5: Penguins - 120k (-30%)

#6: Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss - 120k

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H3 seems to have done about 975k admissions for the weekend, a bit better than estimates - Sunday must have been really strong.

975k for H3 are a little bit higher than last year's H2 numbers for the corresponding weekend, together with the massive start that means it still has a comfortable lead on parts 1+2, 6mil total are very probable.

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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total

drop

week

1

The Hobbit 3

975.064

930

1.048

2.896.624

-24

2

2

Night at the Museum 2

231.219

579

399

231.219

-

1

3

Paddington

211.360

668

316

853.572

-15

3

4

Mockingjay 1

169.396

574

295

3.470.910

-23

5

5

Penguins from Madagascar

124.398

714

174

1.074.080

-30

4

6

Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss

108.415

458

237

129.033

-

1

7

Alles ist Liebe

76.465

541

141

341.229

+2

3

8

Interstellar

36.008

239

151

1.533.684

-14

7

9

Kill the Boss 2

35.292

291

121

307.864

-20

4

10

The Loft

22.043

94

235

70.247

+12

2

11

Magic in the Moonlight

20.830

147

142

127.015

-31

3

12

Die Mannschaft

14.660

359

41

900.296

-33

6

13

Clouds of Sils Maria

13.879

51

272

18.655

-

1

14

The Homesman

13.278

73

182

25.147

-

1

15

A Walk Among the Tombstones

12.833

159

81

401.698

-22

6

16

Qu'est-ce qu'on a fait au Bon Dieu?

12.358

177

70

3.638.965

+13

22

17

Hadi Insallah

11.985

30

400

11.985

-

1

18

Serena

7.630

86

89

17.683

-

1

19

Im Labyrinth des Schweigens

7.597

117

65

192.478

+20

7

20

Mr. Turner

6.090

129

47

168.857

-19

7

 

 

That's very nice for most holdovers, H3 still in lead over H1 and 2. MJ1 is closing in on QecqoafaBD but will be overtaken by H3. (H3 crossed 3mil on Monday with more than 200k admissions again)

 

Outlook for this week and next weekend:

Many schools are closed for holidays so basically holiday weekdays have already started. Expect very strong weekdays (except 24th of course) and also a very strong next weekend, especially for family stuff. There are some interesting openers, too:

- Exodus: If the US numbers are any inidcation, we can't expect blockbuster numbers from it - I sure don't, but 300k admissions might be possible with Ridley Scott's name attached and the wide release.

- Bibi & Tina 2: After the success of part one, this one could open to more than 200k, maybe even more - other family films will be seriously hurt. Part1 sailed past 1mil total, and part2 should improve on that.

- Honig im Kopf: Til Schweiger's latest - hard to gauge, especially in a narrow market with all those other attractive releases. But 2-3mil total are in play, depending on quality (co-star Didi Hallervorden was on of my big surprises of last year, "Sein letztes Rennen" was among may absolute top films from 2013 - great performance!). More than 500k admissions opening!

- The Theory of Everything: Hawking is a household name of course, but I see a very limited audience for this.

- The Hobbit 3: Hobbit 1 + 2 increased on their respective 3rd weekends; With Exodus and HiK as strong openres, it's possible that H3 fails to do so but I still see it north of 900k admissions and winner of the weekend.

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