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Japan Box Office - WKND Forecast (Rurouni Kenshin; Guardians), Kenshin Biggest OW of the Year


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#9401
edroger

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Frozen market share:
12,54% in admissions
12,36% in gross

Without this performance probably there would be a decrease.

#9402
edroger

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Wed

 

             Big Hero 6       Yokai     Annie
Toho Today        9.082       1.512     9.228
LW %            -13,48%     -26,57%
Toho Cume     1.035.902   1.148.436    54.498
Total Adm     5.604.230   6.327.882   249.601
Total Gross M$    60,49       60,14      2,89
Total Gross Byen 7,1247      7,0836    0,3402


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#9403
druv10

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Per Corpse

 

2014 Yearly Results:

Yearly Revenue: ¥207.034 billion ($1.96 billion), +6.6%, (3rd Biggest Year Ever, Behind 2010 and 2004)
Yearly Admissions: 161,116,000, +3.4%, (Most Attended Since 2010)

Japanese Films (58.4%): ¥120.715 billion ($1.14 billion), +2.6%, (2nd Biggest Year Ever / 7th-Consecutive Share Win)
Imported Films (41.6%): ¥86.319 billion ($818 million), +12.8%, (Biggest Year Since 2010)

Japanese Films Released: 615 (New Record)
Imported Films Released: 569 (New Record)
Number of Films Released: 1,184 (New Record)

Number of Screens: 3,364, +1.4%, (Most Screens Since 2010 / 3rd Highest Count Since 1969)
Average Ticket Price: ¥1,285 (New Record), +3.1%, (Beats 2010's Record by 1.5%)


Top Grossing Films (Japanese / Imported)
Rank - Gross ¥ ($), Admissions - Film (Distributor) [Release]

01. ¥25.48 billion ($249.6 million), 20.03 million - Frozen (Disney) [MAR] #3 All-Time
02. ¥8.76 billion ($85.1 million), 7.16 million, The Eternal Zero (Toho) [DEC] #47 All-Time
03. ¥8.38 billion ($80.2 million), 6.32 million, Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) [AUG] #51 All-Time

04. ¥6.54 billion ($63.5 million), 4.98 million, Maleficent (Disney) [JULY] #84 All-Time
05. ¥5.22 billion ($50.0 million), 4.04 million, Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (Warner Bros.) [AUG]
06. ¥4.42 billion ($43.4 million), 3.47 million, Thermae Romae II (Toho) [APR]
07. ¥4.35 billion ($40.6 million), 3.38 million, Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) [SEPT]
08. ¥4.26 billion ($41.1 million), 3.55 million, Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (Toho) [DEC]
09. ¥4.11 billion ($40.3 million), 3.30 million, Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho) [APR]
10. ¥3.58 billion ($35.2 million), 3.28 million, Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho) [MAR]
11. ¥3.53 billion ($34.0 million), 2.81 million, Memories of Marnie (Toho) [JULY]

12. ¥3.23 billion ($31.2 million), 2.09 million, Gravity (Warner Bros.) [DEC]
13. ¥3.20 billion ($31.0 million), 2.23 million, Godzilla (Toho) [JULY]
14. ¥3.14 billion ($30.7 million), 2.08 million, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony) [APR]

15. ¥2.91 billion ($28.2 million), 2.70 million, Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho) [JULY]
15. ¥2.91 billion ($28.2 million), 1.92 million, Transformers: Age of Extinction (Paramount) [AUG]
17. ¥2.47 billion ($23.9 million), 2.05 million, The Tale of Princess Kaguya (Toho) [NOV]
17. ¥2.47 billion ($23.0 million), 1.91 million, Hot Road (Shochiku) [AUG]
19. ¥2.45 billion ($22.8 million), 1.88 million, Lupin III (Toho) [AUG]
20. ¥2.19 billion ($21.2 million), 1.73 million, The Mole Song: Undercover Agent Reiji (Toho) [FEB]
21. ¥2.12 billion ($20.4 million), 1.67 million, Partners the Movie 3 (Toei) [APR]
22. ¥1.83 billion ($17.7 million), 1.53 million, Crayon Shin-chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes! (Toei) [APR]
23. ¥1.80 billion ($17.4 million), 1.40 million, Trick 3: The Last Stage (Toho) [JAN]
24. ¥1.78 billion ($17.1 million), 1.46 million, The Liar and His Lover (Toho) [DEC]

25. ¥1.59 billion ($15.7 million), 1.14 million, Edge of Tomorrow (Paramount) [JULY]
26. ¥1.55 billion ($15.0 million), 1.24 million, Mission Impossible: Samurai! (Toho) [JUNE]
27. ¥1.51 billion ($14.8 million), 1.26 million, I Want to Hold You (Toho) [JAN]

28. ¥1.42 billion ($12.9 million), 1.11 million, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Fox) [SEPT]
29. ¥1.41 billion ($13.8 million), 1.09 million, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Warner Bros.) [FEB]
30. ¥1.38 billion ($13.3 million), 1.13 million, Noah (Paramount) [JUNE]

31. ¥1.26 billion ($11.5 million), 1.05 million, Cape Nostalgia (Toei) [OCT]
31. ¥1.26 billion ($12.1 million), 1.12 million, The Little House (Toho) [JAN]

33. ¥1.25 billion ($10.8 million), 0.91 million, Interstellar (Warner Bros.) [NOV]
34. ¥1.22 billion ($10.5 million), 0.95 million, As the Gods Will (Toho) [NOV]
35. ¥1.18 billion ($11.3 million), 0.91 million, A Bolt from the Blue (Toho) [MAY]
36. ¥1.17 billion ($10.6 million), 0.94 million, Close Range Love (Toho) [OCT]

37. ¥1.15 billion ($11.1 million), 0.97 million, Planes (Disney) [DEC]
38. ¥1.14 billion ($11.0 million), 0.87 million, Crows: Explode (Toho) [APR]
39. ¥1.12 billion ($10.4 million), 0.95 million, A Samurai Chronicle (Toho) [OCT]
40. ¥1.10 billion ($10.7 million), 0.90 million, Say, "I Love You" (Shochiku) [JULY]

40. ¥1.10 billion ($9.8 million), 0.88 million, Beauty and the Beast (Gaga) [OCT]
42. ¥1.07 billion ($9.7 million), 0.86 million, Guardians of the Galaxy (Disney) [SEPT]
43. ¥1.03 billion ($10.1 million), 0.77 million, X-Men: Days of Future Past (Fox) [MAY]
43. ¥1.03 billion ($9.7 million), 0.77 million, Lucy (Toho-Towa) [AUG]
45. ¥1.01 billion ($9.8 million), 0.78 million, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (Fox) [MAR]

45. ¥1.01 billion ($9.8 million), 0.84 million, Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Gaim & Wizard (Toei) [DEC]
45. ¥1.01 billion ($9.8 million), 0.83 million, Heisei Rider vs. Showa Rider: Kamen Rider Taisen feat. Super Sentai (Toei) [MAR]
48. ¥1.00 billion ($9.6 million), 0.80 million, The Snow White Murder Case (Shochiku) [MAR]

48. ¥1.00 billion ($8.6 million), 0.79 million, Fury (Kadokawa) [NOV]


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#9404
druv10

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Indeed. Its performance helped elevate 2014 to be one of the biggest years in a long time, but the fact that it represented almost 30% of the Imported Films earnings over the year is troubling.

Imported Films (mostly Hollywood) have been really struggling in Japan (since 2006), with 2012 and 2013 being their worst years ever at the modern day box-office. Even with Frozen, Imported Films still had their 4th weakest year since 2000 (ahead of 2011, 2012, 2013).

Here are some comparison lists to see how 2014 stacked up against every year since 2000 (with the top overall year below each list):

Highest Grossing Years (2000-)
2010 - ¥220.737 billion [53.6% = Japanese Films]
2004 - ¥210.914 billion [62.5% = Imported Films]
2014 - ¥207.034 billion [58.3% = Japanese Films]
2009 - ¥206.035 billion [56.9% = Japanese Films]
2003 - ¥203.259 billion [67.0% = Imported Films]
2006 - ¥202.934 billion [53.2% = Japanese Films]
2001 - ¥200.154 billion [61.0% = Imported Films]
2007 - ¥198.443 billion [52.3% = Imported Films]
2005 - ¥198.160 billion [58.7% = Imported Films]
2002 - ¥196.780 billion [72.9% = Imported Films]
2012 - ¥195.190 billion [65.7% = Japanese Films]
2008 - ¥194.836 billion [59.5% = Japanese Films]
2013 - ¥194.237 billion [60.6% = Japanese Films]
2011 - ¥181.197 billion [54.9% = Japanese Films]
2000 - ¥170.836 billion [68.2% = Imported Films]
All-Time: 2010 - ¥220.737 billion


Most Attended Years (2000-)
2010 - 174.358 million
2004 - 170.092 million
2009 - 169.297 million
2006 - 164.585 million
2001 - 163.280 million
2007 - 163.193 million
2003 - 162.347 million
2014 - 161.116 million
2002 - 160.767 million
2008 - 160.491 million
2005 - 160.453 million
2013 - 155.888 million
2012 - 155.159 million
2011 - 144.726 million
2000 - 135.390 million
All-Time: 1958 - 1.127 billion


Highest Average Ticket Prices (2000-)
2014 - ¥1,285
2010 - ¥1,266
2000 - ¥1,262
2012 - ¥1,258
2003 - ¥1,252
2011 - ¥1,252
2013 - ¥1,246
2004 - ¥1,240
2005 - ¥1,235
2006 - ¥1,233
2001 - ¥1,226
2002 - ¥1,224
2009 - ¥1,217
2007 - ¥1,216
2008 - ¥1,214
All-Time: 2014 - ¥1,285 (New Record)


Most Screen Counts Per Year (2000-)
2010 - 3,412
2009 - 3,396
2014 - 3,364
2008 - 3,359
2011 - 3,339
2013 - 3,318
2012 - 3,290
2007 - 3,221
2006 - 3,062
2005 - 2,926
2004 - 2,825
2003 - 2,681
2002 - 2,635
2001 - 2,585
2000 - 2,524
All-Time: 1960 - 7,457


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#9405
druv10

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Best Multipliers of 2014 (Final)
¥1 billion Earners (Japanese / Imported)


x33.34 - Frozen (Disney) [MAR]
x16.15 - The Eternal Zero (Toho) [DEC]
x10.92 - Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) [AUG]
x10.85 - The Liar and His Lover (Toho) [DEC]

x10.67 - Gravity (Warner Bros.) [DEC]
x10.26 - The Little House (Toho) [JAN]
x9.45 - Maleficent (Disney) [JULY]
x9.32 - Memories of Marnie (Toho) [JULY]
x9.00 - Thermae Romae II (Toho) [APR]
x8.81 - Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (Warner Bros.) [AUG]
x8.69 - The Tale of Princess Kaguya (Toho) [NOV]
x7.76 - The Mole Song: Undercover Agent Reiji (Toho) [FEB]
x7.72 - Partners the Movie 3 (Toei) [APR]
x7.71 - Mission Impossible: Samurai! (Shochiku) [JUNE]

x7.47 - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony) [APR]
x7.42 - Planes (Disney) [DEC]
x7.39 - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho) [JULY]
x7.29 - A Samurai Chronicle (Toho) [OCT]
x7.13 - Cape Nostalgia (Toei) [OCT]
x6.89 - Say, "I Love You" (Shochiku) [JULY]

x6.84 - The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (Fox) [MAR]
x6.77 - As the Gods Will (Toho) [NOV]
x6.73 - Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Fox) [SEPT]
x6.56 - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (Toho) [DEC]
x6.56 - A Bolt from the Blue (Toho) [MAY]
x6.55 - Close Range Love (Toho) [OCT]

x6.46 - Interstellar (Warner Bros.) [NOV]
x6.35 - Hot Road (Shochiku) [AUG]
x6.29 - Godzilla (Toho) [JULY]
x6.14 - Edge of Tomorrow (Paramount) [JUNE]

x6.11 - The Snow White Murder Case (Shochiku) [MAR]
x6.04 - Beauty and the Beast (Gaga) [OCT]
x5.99 - Transformers: Age of Extinction (Paramount) [AUG]
x5.96 - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho) [MAR]
x5.52 - Lupin III (Toho) [AUG]
x5.47 - I Want to Hold You (Toho) [JAN]
x5.43 - Trick: The Last Stage (Toho) [JAN]

x5.41 - Noah (Paramount) [JUNE]
x5.38 - Crayon-Shin chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes (Toho) [APR]
x5.18 - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho) [APR]

x5.16 - Lucy (Toho-Towa) [AUG]
x4.98 - Fury (Kadokawa) [NOV]
x4.77 - Guardians of the Galaxy (Disney) [SEPT]

x4.73 - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) [SEPT]
x4.52 - Kamen Rider Gaim & Wizard (Toei) [DEC]

x4.50 - The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Warner Bros.) [FEB]
x3.88 - Crows: Explode (Toho) [APR]
x3.84 - Hensei Rider vs Showa Rider: Kamen Rider Taisen feat. Super Sentei (Toei) [MAR]

x3.78 - X-Men: Days of Future Past (Fox) [MAY]


Average Multiplier - x7.47, +7.1% over 2013


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#9406
catlover

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Frozen market share:
12,54% in admissions
12,36% in gross

Without this performance probably there would be a decrease.

 

Yeah. Let's say Frozen "only" made 12b yen, which would still be the #1 movie of 2014 by far. Then there would be a decrease in gross.



#9407
Koro Sensei

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Wed

 

             Big Hero 6       Yokai     Annie
Toho Today        9.082       1.512     9.228
LW %            -13,48%     -26,57%
Toho Cume     1.035.902   1.148.436    54.498
Total Adm     5.604.230   6.327.882   249.601
Total Gross M$    60,49       60,14      2,89
Total Gross Byen 7,1247      7,0836    0,3402

 

YYYYYEEEEESSSSSSS :wub: :wub: :wub:


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In Once Upon A Time, everyone's is cool :D


#9408
TalismanRing

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Wow, BH6 already has over an 11x multiplier which would put it third best of last year and has a very good of making more $ than any movie last year not named Frozen. :lol:


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#9409
Koro Sensei

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Wow, BH6 already has over an 11x multiplier which would put it third best of last year and has a very good of making more $ than any movie last year not named Frozen. :lol:

 

Only Star Wars VII and Cinderella could beat it this year I think.


Edited by Koro Sensei, 28 January 2015 - 01:53 PM.

In Once Upon A Time, everyone's is cool :D


#9410
Rsyu

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I don't see SW7 doing anywhere near what SW3 did in Japan. 



#9411
Johnny Storm

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BH6 could be #1 of 2015 in Japan IMO.


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#9412
catlover

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BH6 could be #1 of 2015 in Japan IMO.

 

It definitely could. I'm not sure Cinderella can make more than Maleficent, and SW7 will be included in 2016 yearly ranking. Although I hope at least one movie cross 10b yen.



#9413
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Thr

 

                 Big Hero 6     Yokai    Annie
Toho Today            3.746       445    3.717
LW %                -22,06%   -16,82%
Toho Cume         1.039.648 1.148.881   58.215
Total Adm         5.624.496 6.330.334  266.625
Total Gross M$        60,71     60,16     3,09
Total Gross Byen     7,150 4   7,0864   0,3634


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#9414
Lady of Lorien

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I don't see SW7 doing anywhere near what SW3 did in Japan. 

btw we were talking abt Japan in the POTC5 thread & whether it may drop from POTC 4 considerably

any thoughts??

 

loI Im aware its way 2 early to talk about a 2017 movie :D  


Edited by Lady of Lorien, 29 January 2015 - 06:48 AM.

I see....fire
ebiw5h3.gif


#9415
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~Will Big Hero 6 reach $80 million?  The $20 million needed to reach this milestone is quite a wearisome number but seeing as it is holding quite well, it seems possible.  I'll keep my prediction at $75 million and hope it reaches beyond $80 million, better to underestimate than to be disappointed.  

~Yo-Kai won't be doing huge numbers anymore and will have an adversarial time passing $65 million if it keeps this up, leaving room for more great Big Hero 6 and Annie performance.

~ Annie... I did not particular have a penchant for this film but nonetheless, Japanese people seem to love musicals so it could probably do $10 million or more.  


Edited by CelestialFairyIX, 29 January 2015 - 08:23 AM.


#9416
lab276

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Let's not forget that BH6 and YKW made between them almost 8.4b in 2014 which was a massive boost at the end of the year. It wasn't all just Frozen. BH6 will probably be the biggest movie of 2015, but only technically, unless nothing makes more than about 4.5b for the rest of the year.

Edited by lab276, 29 January 2015 - 08:33 AM.



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