Caesar

It honestly shouldn't be. Yeah NWH did a mega opening but that was immediately followed by Omicron going crazy. Sure you can hit the young male demo who won't care but that's not going to get you $150m, you need to convince all the demo's to come out for that and I feel like there's a significant amount of people who are willing to wait it out a bit rather than go to a full cinema. Plus you've still got some cinema's in North America running reduced seating capacity. It's got a full month entirely to itself, even if it opens to $100m it can still easily go over $400m with good WOM. There's no need to worry if it only does $100m on opening weekend.

Finally bought my ticket for Wednesday at 6PM, got my favorite seat in the exact center of the cinema, bring on The Batman.

The Batman (T - 10) - Australia (QLD + NSW) Wednesday night previews (166 showings) - 12.64% (4187/33125)

Hopefully Uncharted being a success will lead to us getting a God of War movie series and a Horizon Zero Dawn movie.

Uncharted - Saturday (T-1) - Australia (QLD + NSW) 518 Shows 7.41% sold (8413/113482)

This was a great crowd pleasing movie that even managed to get an applause from my showing, legs are growing to be strong for this, I think it'll make 500-700m worldwide.

Actually NWH should've been released digitally by then so probably more like 2.5B

This is basically the followup to NWH so I'm going to go with a $210m OW.

That's just standard for these streaming shows though to only give critics a sample, relatively rare to give critics all episodes even for Netflix where all episodes are going to be released at once anyway. With people being divisive about the leaks it would be better to get ahead of them and try to get positive reactions out as early as possible.

Wonder Woman was a major draw for people, the hype for the Trinity was real, that was peak DC hype. Google trends also supports BvS being more hyped than Civil War whilst The Force Awakens had already been released months prior. The Batman is picking up speed on Google trends and with good reviews it might hit the same level of traffic but by this point BvS had already been putting out larger Goggle trends values than The Batman for months.

So it's releasing in China four days after Uncharted is? That could be an interesting battle.

The Batman (T - 13) - Australia (QLD + NSW) Wednesday night previews (154 showings) - 10.5% 3238/31026 Highest percentage sold < 100 seat showing - 93.8% (30/32) Highest percentage sold > 100 seat showing - 52.7% (145/275) 17 showings with 0 seats sold - 3657 seats (mostly regular showings) Regular showings - 3.3% (482/14796) PLF - 13.6% (1917/14101) Lounge seating and dinner service - 39.4% (839/2129) Starting to look at bit better in Australia. There's still at lot of basically empty 6 PM showings that I would've expected to fill up more but I think that's probably because we've thrown so many showtimes at this due to lack of competition. Interestingly that 100+ seat showing that's 52.7% full is the only 100+ seat showing that's more than 30% full.

Maybe this time Martha Wayne will throw a punch that gets them killed.

It occurs to me that I've watched Batman & Robin more times than all the other live action Batman movies combined. 8 year old me loved that movie.

It had all the big DC Superheroes together for the first time on the big screen and couldn't even get past $100 million OW. The Batman is just one of those superheroes coming off two bad films in a row, so it stands to reason that this would suggest a sub $100 million OW. If it manages to over perform and either hit or go over $100 million OW then that's a success.