keysersoze123
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Everything posted by keysersoze123
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Challengers MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 24266/295401 463648.44 1703 shows +5021 Friday - 27792/489438 508416.56 2681 shows +6466 Obviously yesterday was heavily boosted due to TMobile deal. Should hit 2m thursday I feel or come very close. Add another 600-700K for early shows. Definitely feel good about 20m OW as well looking at thursday pace and great reviews seen so far. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Challengers MTC1 Previews(T-2) - 19245/292157 372657.13 1677 shows +4530 Friday - 21326/485738 395439.16 2656 shows +6604 Really good day and it was expected considering TMobile deal. Let us see how wednesday goes. I am sticking to my prediction though it could over index big time here just like some of the other recent releases. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Challengers MTC1 Early Shows(4/22) final - 18092/62617 373746.58 263 shows +3377 Previews(T-3) - 14715/272266 288951.39 1540 shows +3000 Friday - 14722/428870 278017.78 2375 shows +3665 Good for sure. Early Shows will skew MTC1 big time(looking at MTC2, gross wont be that much). I am thinking 550-600K for early shows. Previews should accelerate tomorrow if WOM from early shows is good. Thinking 2.5m+ previews including early shows and 20m ish OW. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Challengers MTC1 Early Shows(4/22) - 14715/62070 307604.35 260 shows +2306 Previews(T-4) - 11715/243065 233167.37 1391 shows +2213 Friday - 11057/377245 211874.43 2118 shows +2927 I could not run this yesterday and so its 2 days of data and I expect the pace today would be up quite a bit from yesterday. We will know with tomorrow's update. Definitely think potential is there for 20m OW. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Challengers MTC1 Early Shows(4/22) - 12409/62070 261451.91 260 shows +762 Previews(T-6) - 9502/239248 191084.12 1365 shows +873 Friday - 8130/368343 158216.9 2073 shows +847 Still the pace is not there. Let us see how things go post early shows on 22nd. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
FYI MTC1 Friday Final Ministry - 39746/299214 608878.53 2222 shows Abigail - 49175/409945 743482.45 2556 shows 2.4m TF for Ministry and 3m for Abigail? -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Challengers MTC1 Early Shows(04/22) - 11647/59743 245975.53 249 shows Previews(T-7) - 8629/231646 174139.25 1323 shows Friday - 7283/363901 142488.45 2042 shows This is as of late evening yesterday. Let us see how this moves over final week. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Ministry doing better than what I expected. I guess it did not over index despite my concern for it being not so widely release. DAJK did say that it did not release in his area. That makes me optimistic that its OW wont be that bad. Hoping it hits double digits. -
Weekend 4/19-21: ABIGAIL 1 mil previews
keysersoze123 replied to MightyDargon's topic in Numbers and Data
Ministry did not over index. I was concerned when @DAJK said it did not even release in his area(Vancouver?). It had a limited preview release as well. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Abigail MTC1 Previews Final - 23269/215614 379317.93 1346 shows +12804 Friday - 15215/409246 247116.88 2547 shows +5576 Definitely way better walkups compared to ministry. I am thinking slightly over 1m for this today. Friday sales are still weak. Need even better walkups to hit low double digits. Let us see how things go. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare MTC1 Previews Final - 15782/120808 260299.55 929 shows +6966 Friday - 16373/298722 266665.97 2215 shows +5160 Awful final day. Around 650-700K thursday previews(not including early shows which should add another 500K). Looking at 7 ish OW at this rate. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 8816/120903 151276.88 928 shows +1789 Friday - 11213/298520 185865.53 2209 shows +2609 yikes. No acceleration seen today. Probably looking at 700-800K previews now. At least Friday pace/number is ahead of Abigail. Does not look like its going to hit double digits 😞 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Abigail MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 10465/216094 177343.31 1350 shows +2490 Friday - 9639/408683 158408.56 2535 shows +2238 May be I am over estimating this movie. But expecting it to have good walkups tomorrow. So no change in previews prediction but OW bumping it down to low double digits. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes MTC1 Early Shows(5/8) - 11255/89557 244706.43 365 shows Previews - 9377/459726 189282.69 2306 shows Friday - 7901/652644 154054.47 3233 shows Again minus early shows, presales are moribund. This is 15 days of update 🙂 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Fall Guy MTC1 Early Shows - 7520/91619 169143.92 371 shows Previews - 7409/329914 154230.01 1581 shows Friday - 6774/592388 133358.50 2790 shows Again there is almost no pace. There is still time but unless the pace picks up dramatically, we are looking at a disappointment. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Challengers MTC1 Early Shows(04-22) - 10009/59743 212865.41 249 shows Previews - 6995/227709 142617.23 1297 shows Friday - 5707/357727 112547.81 2009 shows Strong early show sales and looking at previews/Friday, its looking at 20m OW. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare MTC1 Previews(T-2) - 7027/120427 121282.69 923 shows +1719 Friday - 8604/296883 143249.24 2194 shows +2399 Its show count is low but its pace is higher than Abigail. That said I am expecting final day sales for Abigail to be higher looking at the genre. That said at least at MTC1 its going to be close. With around 500K gross from early shows and probably around 1m thursday, its also looking at low to mid teens OW. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Abigail MTC1 Previews(T-2) - 7975/215247 134951.99 1344 shows Friday - 7401/405967 120543.70 2508 shows Sold just over 1600 tickets today for previews and 1800+ for friday. Probably looking at 1m ish previews and mid teens OW. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
I did not check. Was busy with a project. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Ok. its doing well but release is very limited and at MTC1 its only standard shows and that too at $5 ticket price everywhere. I dont think its going to even hit 1m. Anyway Spidey Monday MTC1 - 25699/49929 128495.00 318 shows Also Civil War Friday for reference - 115641/710535 1944262.87 3618 shows Since you said 7m TF, it did not over index that much today. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
you should compare only thursday to thursday. Early shows dont have similar release size. Civil War had very limited early shows only. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
What I meant is its not behaving like a big breakout. I am sure anecdotally doing well in big cities. That does not make any movie a breakout. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
keysersoze123 replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Dont Worry darling had a bigger cast. I was looking at presales for that movie and it wont be easy for Challengers to be that big. Let us wait and see close to release.