MattW

Very strong finish to the month, almost $750m, strongest March post pandemic with ease. I thought the year would be struggling more but it’s not doing too bad so far, ahead of 2022 by a healthy margin.

Even if total “Friday” is 31 that still means true Friday of 21.6 or even slightly more. But I still expect Keyser’s 23-26 range holds, DL just being conservative.

Godzilla Warner / Legendary FRI, 05/16/2014 7PM THU $9.300 M $38.411 M 4.130 $93.188 M 10.020 http://www.boxofficereport.com/previewgrosses.html

Was hoping the movie would be about jesse plemons and those shades. Am disappointed.

Only reason to fudge up to 45 is so that it's bigger than afterlife, probably to appease someone internally is my guess, I seriously doubt anyone outside of Sony cares about that. And the difference will be made up for in the coming days/weeks, the actual dom total won't be affected.

Sounds reasonable to me, and would be a solid opening.

Is it a spoiler to link the China TV spot and poster?

https://deadline.com/2024/03/godzilla-x-kong-the-new-empire-box-office-projection-1235860199/

Out of curiosity I asked what chatgpt thought GxK would open to Not all that interesting, but it did come up with something close to what BOT is collectively thinking right now, maybe a touch higher.

Enjoyed it very much but couldn’t help wondering, how does Jessica Ferguson and her little riding coach get off the worm when they get to their destination?

Based on the B&T thread I'd guess the true Thursday number is slightly under 10m and they rounded up. I'm feeling like it'll end up high 70s total through Sunday, 77-80m. Quite good.

Some GxK talk in the buzz and tracking thread, count me with those not really feeling this one. The trailer makes it look like it’s jumped the shark to me. I’ll guess this opens on a similar level as Godzilla vs Kong, 40-45m

Feb 360, not great bob. Incidentally Bob Marley saved the month by overperforming (at least by my own expectations). March I'll say about 650: 120 from holdovers 200 Dune 180 for the March 8th releases 40 for the March 15th releases 50 for the March 22nd releases, I'm not feeling much for ghostbusters, but I know many other are so we'll see. Godzilla and Kong manage to squeeze their OW into the month, maybe 50m.

Probably has been noted elsewhere but it did $754k the first Sunday, $1.764k 2nd Sunday, and $2.516 third. With around a million today leading into the weekend and the holiday on Monday there's a chance it could actually increase again on the 4th Sunday. I'm looking for a good comp but not really finding any, would need +135% Friday +60% Saturday -20% Sunday to hit $3m this Sunday. Those bumps are probably too big for a rated R movie, but not impossible. Nevermind, only 3 increasing sundays.

Continuing with the month by month predictions I'll say Jan - $400m Feb - $350m Mar - $550m Looking at the year as a whole I think it's an open question if it can match 2022's total. In fact if China does as well this year as it did last year then 2024 could be the year that China passes the Domestic market.