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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Caesar replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
It honestly shouldn't be. Yeah NWH did a mega opening but that was immediately followed by Omicron going crazy. Sure you can hit the young male demo who won't care but that's not going to get you $150m, you need to convince all the demo's to come out for that and I feel like there's a significant amount of people who are willing to wait it out a bit rather than go to a full cinema. Plus you've still got some cinema's in North America running reduced seating capacity. It's got a full month entirely to itself, even if it opens to $100m it can still easily go over $400m with good WOM. There's no need to worry if it only does $100m on opening weekend. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Caesar replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
The Batman (T - 10) - Australia (QLD + NSW) Wednesday night previews (166 showings) - 12.64% (4187/33125) -
President's Day Weekend Thread: Uncharted 3.7 Previews, Dog 1.26
Caesar replied to Eric Duncan's topic in Numbers and Data
Hopefully Uncharted being a success will lead to us getting a God of War movie series and a Horizon Zero Dawn movie. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Caesar replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Uncharted - Saturday (T-1) - Australia (QLD + NSW) 518 Shows 7.41% sold (8413/113482) -
Uncharted | February 18, 2022 | Trailer on Page 28!
Caesar replied to CJohn's topic in Box Office Discussion
This was a great crowd pleasing movie that even managed to get an applause from my showing, legs are growing to be strong for this, I think it'll make 500-700m worldwide. -
That's just standard for these streaming shows though to only give critics a sample, relatively rare to give critics all episodes even for Netflix where all episodes are going to be released at once anyway. With people being divisive about the leaks it would be better to get ahead of them and try to get positive reactions out as early as possible.
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Wonder Woman was a major draw for people, the hype for the Trinity was real, that was peak DC hype. Google trends also supports BvS being more hyped than Civil War whilst The Force Awakens had already been released months prior. The Batman is picking up speed on Google trends and with good reviews it might hit the same level of traffic but by this point BvS had already been putting out larger Goggle trends values than The Batman for months.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Caesar replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
The Batman (T - 13) - Australia (QLD + NSW) Wednesday night previews (154 showings) - 10.5% 3238/31026 Highest percentage sold < 100 seat showing - 93.8% (30/32) Highest percentage sold > 100 seat showing - 52.7% (145/275) 17 showings with 0 seats sold - 3657 seats (mostly regular showings) Regular showings - 3.3% (482/14796) PLF - 13.6% (1917/14101) Lounge seating and dinner service - 39.4% (839/2129) Starting to look at bit better in Australia. There's still at lot of basically empty 6 PM showings that I would've expected to fill up more but I think that's probably because we've thrown so many showtimes at this due to lack of competition. Interestingly that 100+ seat showing that's 52.7% full is the only 100+ seat showing that's more than 30% full. -
It had all the big DC Superheroes together for the first time on the big screen and couldn't even get past $100 million OW. The Batman is just one of those superheroes coming off two bad films in a row, so it stands to reason that this would suggest a sub $100 million OW. If it manages to over perform and either hit or go over $100 million OW then that's a success.