DAJK

I know for a fact Ungentlemanly Warfare would have (at least slightly) over-indexed in Canada. Any British-esque movie, especially those that target an older white crowd, tend to do pretty well here compared to their domestic openings. The reason I bring this up is, had it opened in Canada, it probably would have opened higher than Abigail. Pretty sure no one saw that one coming.

Abigail not doing well here at all. Pretty much all of my comps point to around 800k previews. Although one outlier weirdly is telling me 1.5M+ but I’m willing to discard that one for now.

Great movie. Go see it everyone!

Honestly I would argue that Gosling right now is as big as he ever has been (or ever will be) and is very likely one of the hottest names in Hollywood at the moment.

Honestly sometimes I can have toxic positivity when it comes to the box office ("oh it'll all be fine!") but seriously, if this movie disappoints in a big way I'm going to go on a big "original movies are dead" rant. Yes, I know this isn't technically "original" but for all intents and purposes, for 99% of the GA it is. Great reviews, the biggest stars on the planet, a great hook/concept and fun trailers.

Really upset I won’t get to see this. Release it, Amazon!

Maybe I misread, but I assumed he was talking about OW. That it was going to come close to Dune's 82M and its WW opening (180M ish?).

I love that I'm not the only one getting Angry Birds vibes from Garfield.

Anecdotal, but Civil War walkups tonight are not as strong as they were yesterday in BC. Weather is beautiful so maybe it’s just a one-off, but I should probably temper any expectations. If I had to guess, 8.5-9 Friday including previews? But that’s a very very rough guess. I’ll know a bit more in a few hours. Anyways, Civil War time

Agree with @keysersoze123 here. Every single one of my comps is pointing to 3M+ today. Wouldn’t be surprised if Thursday is reported at 3.5.

Not so fast Here’s what my crystal ball predicts: Conventional tracking had this in mid-to-high teens. BOT tracking said low-20’s was possible. Thursday numbers come in, pretty good. Early Friday numbers come in. Could 30M be possible? Heck, 35? Expectations go up and up. The film is a bit frontloaded. Weekend estimate comes in at 31M. Actual comes in at 29.91M. Cue @CJohn proclaiming that movie theaters are dead, and the usual doom-and-gloom back-and-forth.

Not gonna lie I am getting a little worried about this. But as a resident of British Columbia, I cannot speak negative of anything Ryan Reynolds lest I be banned from my homeland.

Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare doesn't look like it's opening in Canada. Which frustrates me for a few reasons. 1) I really want to see it lol. 2) This has been a pattern with every one of Lionsgate's "smaller" releases since Moonfall. 3) Cineplex is now a "distributor" of Lionsgate films in Canada... so I have no clue as to why Canada would forego a release for these movies. Does anyone in this thread (maybe @Shawn Robbins) have any info on this to be able to shed some light? I'm trying to figure out what's going on but haven't been able to find anything concrete.

If this and Fall Guy can both hit 50M openings I’d say that’s a good sign for the summer movie season.

Finally got around to this. It… exists. Not great, not terrible. Pretty much the definition of middle of the road.

Looks great.

Dang, The First Omen was really really good. I only ever saw the original today, but I think I liked this one better than that one. Only 3 of us total in the 7:30 screening though 😕

Omen is NOT doing well for walkups tonight. Wouldn’t be surprised if Friday + previews come in under 3M. Monkey Man is doing fine I guess. It was pretty hot here last night for walkups but tonight is weaker. Could be because the weather in SW BC is really nice today. But yea, nothing to write home about.

I can sort of understand Monkey Man not breaking out. It had online buzz, but at the same time nobody I know outside of the “online film / Letterboxd” community had ever heard of it. Now, if Civil War and Challengers both flop, I won’t really have any excuses. They’ve been pretty big online, and I’ve also heard real-world buzz about both. Monkey Man rather just felt like an online tentpole that never really crossed over. It sucks, but it’s also not incredibly shocking, and goes to show that studios need to figure out how to hit that sweet spot when trying to cross their marketing over from internet hype to real world ticket sales.

I’m always having problems with their website/app, but nothing this week tbh.

Weirdly both openers are not having previews at a couple locations I usually track, and instead start shows tomorrow. At the theaters that ARE playing them, Omen is a non-starter for sure. Monkey Man however is having some pretty great walkups, after some solid presales. If it weren’t for my better judgement saying that this is just an outlier, I’d be thinking this could hit 3-3.5M previews.

You beat me to it by 13 minutes

Is there a way to check a particular user's most liked content? I wanna look back and be like "oh yea, this is where I ate."

2M previews for Monkey Man should surely lead to mid-to-high teens, no? Yea I think it'll play a bit to the Peele niche, but honestly I trust this tracking team a bit more than early Deadline projections. Thinking 15M+ for now unless I hear otherwise from one of our trackers, or until Thursday previews come in.

Part of me does think this could end up being another Angry Birds at the box office (which wouldn't be terrible) but part of me also thinks this could play like an Illumination film.