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WrathOfHan

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WrathOfHan last won the day on November 7 2021

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About WrathOfHan

  • Birthday 06/01/2000

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    Awards Pundit

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  1. @Blankments@Eric Atreides We need new trailers stat 6x: Argylle (Killers of the Flower Moon, Five Nights at Freddy’s, The Holdovers, Oppenheimer IMAX Re-Release, Napoleon, Saltburn) Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (The Marvels, Napoleon, The Iron Claw, Dune: Part One IMAX Re-Release, Tenet IMAX Re-Release, Dune: Part Two) 5x: Bob Marley: One Love (Mission: Impossible Dead Reckoning Part One, Killers of the Flower Moon, The Holdovers, Napoleon, Dune: Part One IMAX Re-Release) The Fall Guy (The Marvels, The Iron Claw, Dune: Part One IMAX Re-Release, Tenet IMAX Re-Release, Dune: Part Two) Ghosbusters: Frozen Empire (Napoleon, Wonka, Dune: Part One IMAX Re-Release, Tenet IMAX Re-Release, Dune: Part Two) 4x: Civil War (The Iron Claw, Dune: Part One IMAX Re-Release, Tenet IMAX Re-Release, Dune: Part Two) Drive-Away Dolls (Asteroid City, No Hard Feelings, The Holdovers, Napoleon) Dune: Part Two (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, Oppenheimer, Tenet IMAX) 3x: Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (Dune: Part One IMAX Re-Release, Tenet IMAX Re-Release, Dune: Part Two) Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire (Dune: Part One IMAX Re-Release, Tenet IMAX Re-Release, Dune: Part Two) 2x: Challengers (No Hard Feelings, Barbie) Lisa Frankenstein (Five Nights at Freddy’s, The Holdovers) Madame Web (Napoleon, Wonka) Twisters (Tenet IMAX Re-Release, Dune: Part Two) 1x: A Quiet Place: Day One (Dune: Part Two) Arthur the King (The Iron Claw) Elio (Elemental) Love Lies Bleeding (The Iron Claw) Problemista (Past Lives) White Bird (Elemental)
  2. tbh feel like the tracking thread is giving pretty realistic Dune numbers. No one should be disappointed with a 55-60M opening if that's what ultimately happens
  3. General thoughts: Oppenheimer has it locked up, and I'm still going Cillian>Paul in Actor The Director lineup is the best we've had in a long time. All excellent films and inspired choices No KOTFM in screenplay is a choice Score is a crock of shit. Joe Hisaishi was robbed The Nyad double nominations are hardly surpising imo. It's a basic movie with two strong performances from Academy favorites
  4. Zone of Interest hitting 1M while it's still super limited is impressive. It can probably make a good run to 4-5M over Anatomy of a Fall once Oscar nominations are out.
  5. Eh, I can't imagine audiences being shocked that Mean Girls is a musical will hurt legs that badly. It probably won't get more than a 2.7-2.8x regardless
  6. Not anticipating my top 25 to change much from what I've already seen; I've seen basically all the big prestige films. Just need to watch a few international films and docs first.
  7. June 28 A Quiet Place: Day One: A Quiet Place remains a consistent horror franchise for the current cinematic climate without any attempts to imitate or copy the series' basic premise. While I think a drop is coming, the three year gap from Part II should help minimize its decrease. Lupita will be a draw, and Michael Sarnoski is one of the most promising new filmmakers following Pig. If the quality is as good as it seems on paper, legs could be very strong. 40/130 (3.25x) Horizon: An American Saga Chapter One: Kevin Costner's experiment is coming at the right time now that he's out of Yellowstone. Similar to The Strangers, WB is releasing both chapters of Horizon within two months of each other. As a straight western from Costner, I think there's a roof for how willing current audiences will turn out. Older audiences still aren't back in full force, and this is a project I doubt the 18-35 crowd gravitates towards heavily. I'll stay low for now, and if I'm wrong, it'll be a pleasant surprise. 20/60 (3x)
  8. June 21 The Bikeriders: Following a decent launch at Telluride, Disney completely abandoned the film amidst the SAG strike and recouped money by selling it to Focus. I ultimately think Focus will handle the film much better than Disney was, but I'm not drastically changing my opening weekend expectations versus the initial December plan. By having the summer slot with an emptier schedule, legs will be good going into July. 10/35 (3.5x)
  9. June 14 Inside Out 2: Inside Out was one of the last big original box office hits for Pixar almost 9 years ago (damn) and is often ranked high for the studio. A Pixar sequel will be met with skepticism, especially for something like Inside Out that did not command another entry. Buzz and awareness are already strong, and it has a few weeks to itself before Despicable Me is out. While 300M feels like a stretch right now, I do think it'll solidly end up in the 200s. 70/245 (3.5x)
  10. June 7 Ballerina: Ana girl, you were great in Blonde! Lionsgate is attempting to build out the John Wick universe now that Keanu is done, but so far, The Continental came and went with minimal buzz. A Len Wiseman film that was script doctor'd by Emerald Fennell doesn't inspire much confidence, but Keanu's presence in the film along with Ana's star power will lead to a reasonable opening. If the film is bad, legs will collapse as Chapter 4 had pretty meh legs. 30/80 (2.67x) The Watchers: We will find out how closely Ishana Shyamalan takes after her father. Shyamalan's name will be all over marketing which will help the film's prospects. It's hard to project this one without a trailer, but I'm assuming it does ok for its size. 12/30 (2.5x)
  11. May 24 Furiosa: Here we go, fellas. After Fury Road exceed expectations both quality-wise and at the box office, another entry into the Mad Max universe based on the film's breakout character has all the makings for a smash hit. WB is standing firm on going against Apes, which I don't anticipate to be too big of an issue as Furiosa already has the IMAX advantage. Furiosa has everything working in its favor, and I would be shocked if it finishes under Fury Road unadjusted. 70/87/210 (3x from 3 day/2.41x from 4 day) Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: If either sci-fi film will suffer from this showdown, it's Apes. Kingdom essential soft-reboots the last trilogy, leaving audiences without much of a hook to re-enter the franchise. War was subject to massive over-predicting back in 2017 following Dawn's overperformance and ended up being more frontloaded than many had hoped. I've gotten the trailer multiples times theatrically, and audiences never seem engaged with it. If I was a decision maker at Disney, I'd be moving this later in the summer to get away from Furiosa. 35/47/100 (2.86x from 3 day/2.13x from 4 day) Garfield: The memes are already driving awareness with the young adult crowd, and kids will obviously want to see a Garfield movie over the summer. Easy money, folks. 30/40/120 (4x from 3 day/3x from 4 day)
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