johnboy3434

Because it's more than 200 and less than 202.

So is, say, $201M domestic a possibility for this, or are my hopes way too high?

So, Power Rangers finally had a sub-50 drop... in its sixth weekend... almost certainly its last weekend in wide release. So it has short legs, but big feet.

On what do you base this flat refutation? Most of the people who saw it DID like it. The problem is that not enough people saw it.

One last PR weekend prediction, since it will almost certainly drop out of wide release after this week: $633k, or a 53.6% drop.

If Power Rangers is still in wide release next weekend, my prediction is $640k, or a 53.6% drop.

My weekly exercise in optimism is due: Power Rangers at $1.72M, or 38.9% drop.

Estimates for Lionsgate's P&A budget for Power Rangers are all over the place, but one was as low as $30M. Considering it only needed to advertise in the US and UK, that's not an entirely unfeasible number. If so, then depending on how US-heavy that number is, Lionsgate's day-of-release negative cost could be as little as $32.5M. In that case, not only is it already profitable, but as of Saturday it has already made a 10% return. LG is probably going to be satisfied with the investment, whether they're able to make a sequel or not.

I honestly think this will get a sequel. Whether or not there's any more beyond that will rely on the second film overperforming. If it experiences the usual sequel drop, then you can tell Jim that it's dead.

It's going to be a while. Even if/when China's box office eclipses the US (currently $6.6G vs $10.7G, respectively), that won't change the fact that five of the six major movie studios are American companies. The US is such a cushy place for rich people, especially compared to China, that it's going to be a while before they start catering primarily to the Chinese market.

I figured it would plunge almost 75%.

After surprising me in its second weekend, Power Rangers looks like it will disappoint for two weekends in a row. I'm picturing a still-optimistic $3.58M now, which would be a 42.2% drop.

I'm gonna go optimistic for Power Rangers and say $3.74M, meaning a 39.6% drop.

And then we grill the severed head of Stanley Tucci.

The funny thing is that in spite of the terrible drop, it will end up making a decent profit for Lionsgate... and STILL not be able to get a sequel because LG won't be able to get as much from presales next time.

Yeah, right now I'm figuring a five-week total of $85.6M. If it goes for six weeks, bump that up to $86.8M.

Based on those weekend estimates, my current projection for Power Rangers' next weekend is $3.72M, which would be a 40.2% drop. I mean, come on, it can't drop 60% every weekend, can it?

I'm not really an anime fan, there's just an anime I happen to like, and that's Dragon Ball. It's dumb as a bag of rocks, but damn if it isn't addicting. Like a crack whore in her prime.

A question: Let's say Power Rangers pulls out $5.76M for the weekend. Does it have enough gas in the tank to pull in another $5.5M total over the remainder of its theatrical run?

Slight correction: It's made over $40M in revenue for Lionsgate. Right now it's made about $7.5M profit. A nice goal to hope for is $13M, since that would represent a 10% return, which is what a lot of studios consider the satisfaction threshold.

It's worth noting that the Super Sentai movies released in Japan are essentially feature-length episodes of the show. The actors, costumes, and special effects are lifted wholesale from the show, with maybe a handful of extra spectacle due to a slightly higher budget. They're more comparable to Turbo: A Power Rangers Movie than the first movie or the current one.

Ouch at that PR number. I'm now predicting a $5.76M weekend, which is a 59.7% drop, close to the 60.5% real drop of the second weekend. Ouch ouch ouch. In spite of all that, LG's financing strategies mean that they're already making a profit. They covered three-quarters of production and American marketing costs before the movie even released, so to get a (presumably) satisfactory 10% return on investment, the studio only needs to get about $45.5M. If my projection is correct, by the end of the weekend they'll end up with $42.3M plus whatever little they get from the UK. Except the base isn't nearly big enough to pull in $70M+ on its own. It clearly appealed to somebody.

You think they spent $40M advertising in the UK, Ireland, and Malta? Because those are the only foreign territories where LG footed the bill.

So, I'm seeing from different articles that Power Rangers' P&A expenses were either $30M or $70M. The latter seems more likely, but then again I didn't see hide nor hare of advertising... EDIT: And a third source claims that P&A exceeded $100M.

My weekend prediction for Power Rangers is $8.27M, or a 41.8% drop.