zenithtim

Tied with Iron Man? This is a laughable assertion. No Avengers movie without RDJ as Iron Man would get close to 1B.

It's the score of the average that's 93.30% now, not the average score.

Oh, please, don't say that the Roland Emmerich-directed 1998's Independence Day is as beloved as Spielberg's 1993's Jurrasic Park.

Exactly, waiting 20 years for a 200M sequel to a movie that is NOT considered a classic is suicide, and ID2 will be lucky to gross 150M domestically.

The more I think about it, the lower the opening weekend of TMNT2 will be. $2M starting at 5pm means a 3x drop from the original's $4.6M for the 7pm-midnight period. Expect the weekend to be around $21-$22M (a third of the original's $65M).

Independence Day 2 should open below $60 million as well, despite crazy expectations by some users here.

There is a real chance now that TMNT2's domestic gross is under TMNT's opening weekend. Wow. It should open to around $25 million based on that preview number. Joins Alice 2 for the biggest flop of the summer race.

Any movie with Iron Man played by RDJ in a leading role is LOCKED to do 1B+. All the Star Wars direct sequels are LOCKED to do 1B+.

What hype? Everybody expected it to disappoint massively for the past three weeks (once the subpar reviews started coming in).

It's not doing 200M domestically for sure. It's not doing 100M either. More like: DOM 60M OS 500M WW 560M

And Independence Day 2 - completely unnecessary nonsense.

Neighbors 2 is having a shockingly bad drop from the first. With a 7.6M Friday (including 1.6 M Thursday+midnight), it is doing around 19M for the weekend. It won't lose money, since its budget is very small. But going UNDER 20M is an extremely poor performance.

Where did you get the idea that it got an "incredible reception" at Cannes? Its reception there was middling at best.

This is performing great, but the opening would have been 200M+ if they just replaced 'Captain America' by 'Iron Man' in the title (or also just put Iron Man/Avengers in the title).

So it is the new Oscar frontrunner as the last time Oscars and PGA Awards disagreed was 2006.