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Carlangonz

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  1. MXN:USD is at its best level since October 2015 so USD opening is quite wide between the $9M-$12M range.
  2. GODZILLA X KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-0 DAYS*) Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-6 hours Godzilla x Kong 3069 4877 62.93% +43.61% Comps at T-0.5 hours before first shows Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Comp in % Comp in lc Transformers 2657 5407 49.14% +23.01% 115.51% $10.63M MI:7 2103 5346 39.34% +43.94% 145.93% $8.76M Freddy's 7123 7411 96.11% +2.65% 43.09% $10.77M Hunger Games 959 3495 27.44% +53.52 320.02% $18.24M *I took some of the data as first shows were just starting so walk-ins are in full-effect in half of the sample. Strong finish for the new Monsterverse installment once again proving the franchise to be a walk-in powerhouse. Capacity restrictions will limit tonight's previews as there's no sign from exhibitors to expand show count. This is why I'm leaning into the Transformers and Freedy's comps: having room to grow as the first one with the exciment and fanbase of the second one. Spillover should benefit both Thursday and Friday which will behave like an extended weekend. Internal multi for the 4-Day + Previews will be a tricky one but I'm expecting it to open similarly as Kung Fu Panda 4 two weeks ago. $200M+ should not be off the table but creature/adventure films (Jurassic Saga/Jumanji) are always unpredictable on how high they can go.
  3. MARCH 21-24 WEEKEND. 1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $75M/$381.8M (-57.24%) 2. Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $44.6M 3. Dune: Part II - $10.6M/$174.8M (-48.79%) 4. The Iron Claw - $7.7M 5. One Life - $5.6M/$22.3M (-48.15%) 6. Robot Dreams - $4.9M/$18.9M (+4.26%) 7. Canta y No Llores - $4.6M 8. Noche de Bodas - $2.8M/$41.9M (-70.53%) 9. Luca - $2.7M 10. Vermines - $2.7M Kung Fu Panda 4 has a bigger than expected drop after being boosted by last Monday's holiday but also reflecting a poorer WOM compared to previous entries. Upcoming Easter holidays and lack of competition will help it past $450M+ and taking it around to $500M in the end. Frozen Empire stays consistent with previous Ghostbusters' titles in lc. It'll lose steam with screen loss when GxK opens but should do enough to pass $100M. It's never been a particularly outstanding franchise on the box office but it remains with an unbeatable track. By losing its last premium screens on Thursday, Dune begins with its final days looking to finish below the $200M milestone. A bit underwhelming after its strong first weekend showing it still suffers from sci-fi not being much of a draw in the market. Robot Dreams increases once again from last weekend and crosses $1M USD. It would've been great to see it getting an expansion from its original footprint but it's a great result for it nevertheless.
  4. It would be a big slow down whether it was on weekdays or weekend. I expected it to be on par with Indy 5 but is about 20% better so really good.
  5. Oh definitely. I was just using $400M as a benchmark but especifically I'm expecting $430M-$440M.
  6. Massive $56.1M for Panda on Monday as per Deadline. Total up to $289M/$16.9M. Shall cross $300M today (Tuesday) and $400M by Sunday.
  7. GODZILLA X KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-9 DAYS) Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Godzilla x Kong 463 4877 9.49% Good start for this one. Isn't particularly outstanding but is stronger than Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes and is on track to top Rise of the Beasts as well. Main issue for it is going to be capacity as it is lower than that of Rise of the Beasts and Five Nights at Freddy's despite having the potential to open between them. Easter will make this one tricky as it will accelerate big time next week and walk-ups should be big as well. As of this moment I don't see $200M but let's set the goal on a $150M+ opening.
  8. MARCH 14-17 WEEKEND. 1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $175.4M/$227.8M (+234.73%) 2. Dune: Part II - $20.7M/$153.7M (-45.38%) 3. One Life - $10.8M 4. Noche de Bodas - $9.5M/$34M (-47.51%) 5. Imaginary - $6.8M 6. Land of Bad - $6.3M 7. No Way Up - $5.5M/$19.4M (-44.44%) 8. Robot Dreams - $4.7M/$10.7M (+17.5%) 9. Alice in Terrorland - $3.9M/$13.6M (-44.29%) 10. Poor Things - $1.8M/$97.6M (+12.5%) Best opening of the year so far for Kung Fu Panda 4 which is already No. 1 of the year too after surpassing both Dune and Anyone but You after 4 days of release. It should surpass $250M after today's holiday and once again take strenght when schools start their holiday period on Friday. It should repeat No. 1 above Ghostbusters this weekend and hold well to Godzilla/Kong duo on Easter to surpass $500M and even $600M considering won't get any big competition until May. Dune II still losing ground but nothing too big. It's late for it to truly breakout so won't finish anywhere close to Oppenheimer's $330M tally but still will manage to double first Dune numbers. Post-Oscars ceremony, Poor Things and Robot Dreams enjoy a nice increase with the former finishing *this close* to $100M and the latter looking like it will do $1M+USD which would be a first time in a long time for an Spaniard production.
  9. Massive indeed! It still has a bank holiday tomorrow and kids start spring break later on the week so wouldn't rule out even $650M+/$38M+
  10. Whenever it is that Shrek 5 is out; it'll demolish the Super Mario Bros records. Will be a tough race with the former, the latter's sequel and Toy Story 5.
  11. MARCH 07-10 WEEKEND. 1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $52.4M 2. Dune: Part II - $37.9M/$122.5M (-42.75%) 3. Noche de Bodas - $18.1M 4. No Way Up - $9.9M 5. Alice in Terrorland - $7M 6. Ferrari - $4.9M/$41.6M (-55.05%) 7. Robot Dreams - $4M 8. To the Hashira Training - $3.9M/$107.5M (-72.14%) 9. Poor Things - $1.6M/$94.7M (-40.74%) 10. Io Capitano - $1.6M Massive opening for Kung Fu Panda 4 after this limited release securing the highest PSA this year and the biggest since the Barbenheimer phenomenon. Considering it was a 2-day event, average per show should've been even higher basically securing occupancy over 90%. With a wide opening next weekend should secure $200M+ after 6 days and a total run north of $500M+ which would be a first for Dreamworks. Dune II does hold okay but shows how it remains skewing big formats. Still looking like it'll finish on the low $200M range as it gets to keep IMAX for another week but loses PLFs and 4DX to Po this Thursday. Dire weekend as new openers are low profile releases that weren't wide but among them is good to see Robot Dreams that has amassed a pretty good PSA. To The Hashira Training has now oficially surpassed To The Swordsmith Village in lc and going nearly 50% above it in admissions. Seeing the massive overperformance from Po I think is safe to say once again the highest grosser of the year could be an animation: Garfield could pull a surprise too and Inside Out 2 has all the buzz on its favour to deliver another all-timer Pixar performance. Main competitors for the yearly crown shall be Wolverine/Deadpool and Joker/Harley.
  12. Weak hold for Dune if estimate is anywhere near actuals. No report for Po so previews' numbers will be added to weekend figures next weekend. By screen footprint I'm thinking it grossed around $30M from two days alone and now I'm expecting a 6-Day weekend of $170M-$180M
  13. This is the edition I'm looking forward the most since the 2020 ceremony. Even if we already have several locks, hopefully it's a fun night.
  14. Early access numbers will be enough for Kung Fu Panda 4 to dispute No. 2 over a local opener this weekend. If they're rolled into next weekend's figures then opening can approach and surpass $150M.
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