Jump to content

Premium and Gold members please go to this thread:

 

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/24403-paid-perks/

 

Copper and Silver Accounts please PM me if you have paid past August 1st and care about the "Custom Avatar" (or really larger avatar) perk.

Tower

Israel box office thread

Recommended Posts

Tower    1,744
8 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

So, MJ2/ The Good Dinosaur/ Star Wars 7..What do you expect in Israel?

 

MJ2 should be big, THG franchise is always big, MJ1 dropped quite a bit from CF, but MJ2 is a finale with more action, so I would predict it to go halfway back to CF.

The Good Dinosaur is the big Animation for December and its Pixar so it should be OK, but animations never do as will in the winter compared with the Summer, so don't expect Inside Out numbers.

SW7 is hard to say, ROTS and AOTC didn't make much, but that was quite a long time ago, I would predict it to make more than those (if it's good) but I don't expect huge numbers.

But the biggest film for the rest of the year should be Spectre, since Skyfall was a monster, Spectre should drop from that without its WOM but still be huge.

 

estimates:

1) Spectre: 4M

2) MJ2: 3M

3) The Good Dinosaur: 2.2M

4) SW7: 1.5M

 

It is quite possible for something else to make more than these (particularly SW7) but those aren't franchise films and would be almost impossible to predict.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of November 5-8:

 

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Spectre 756,309 756,309   1
The Intern 105,289 1,253,059 -21% 6
The Martian 92,644 1,554,996 -31% 6
Hotel Transylvania 2 84,883 1,804,006 20% 7
Paranormal Activity 5 77,991 173,952 -19% 2
Pan 42,028 417,258 28% 5
Black Mass 38,994 224,445 -40% 3
Everest 38,272 1,428,364 -35% 7
Goosebumps 13,887 142,897 -41% 4

 

Spectre has a solid opening, increasing 15% from Skyfall. Still, if Spectre wants to match Skyfall's 4.82M it will have to follow this up with good holds, Skyfall actually increased in its second weekend on its way to a 7.3 multiplier. Spectres opening had no significant effect on the other films though whose drops were all fine, with the children's fare increasing significantly and Paranormal Activity decreasing 19% while having the biggest gross of the franchise after two weeks.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of November 12-15:

 

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Spectre 489,067 1,250,085 -35% 2
The Intern 85,666 1,401,266 -19% 7
Steve jobs 68,880 68,880   1
The Martian 65,578 1,663,159 -29% 7
Paranormal Activity 5 63,865 265,476 -18% 3
Hotel Transylvania 2 55,072 1,873,555 -35% 8
Everest 26,839 1,475,542 -30% 8
Pan 26,297 448,727 -37% 6
Black Mass 22,485 266,026 -42% 4
Goosebumps 9,902 156,418 -29% 5

 

Spectre's drop isn't bad in general, but it is nowhere near Skyfall, which increased 5.5% in its second weekend.

Edited by Tower
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of November 19-22:

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Spectre 284,031 1,745,137 -42% 3
The Intern 55,994 1,512,502 -35% 8
Hotel Transylvania 2 53,069 1,940,684 -4% 9
Steve jobs 43,007 156,417 -43% 2
The Martian 32,059 1,724,673 -53% 8
Paranormal Activity 5 29,429 314,134 -54% 4
Pan 22,264 476,774 -15% 7
Black Mass 9,817 284,614 -56% 5
Everest 9,223 1,507,711 -66% 9
Goosebumps 8,484 167,803 -14% 6

 

MJ2 opened this weekend, but it is a Lionsgate release, so it's a problem getting numbers, hopefully there will be something at some point in the run. Spectre falls hard and is nowhere near Skyfall.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of November 26-29:

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Bridge Of Spies 243,558 243,558   1
Spectre 175,388 2,055,638 -38% 4
The Good Dinosaur 173,067 173,067   1
The Intern 43,930 1,602,282 -22% 9
By The Sea 38,968 41,451   1
Hotel Transylvania 2 31,449 1,984,193 -41% 10
The Martian 25,570 1,773,608 -20% 9
Paranormal Activity 5 19,936 349,226 -32% 5
Steve jobs 18,599 181,761 -57% 3
Pan 12,824 496,662 -42% 8
Everest 8,133 1,519,656 -12% 10
Goosebumps 5,024 173,367 -41% 7

 

That is a good opening for Bridge Of Spies, 33% higher than Captain Phillips which finished with a Million. Bad for TGD though, the Worst for Pixar on record.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

Pixar openings:

  1. Up: 495K (508K)

  2. Inside Out: 423K

  3. Toy Story 3: 391K

  4. Wall-E: 260K

  5. Ratatouille: 259K

  6. Monsters University: 257K (265K)

  7. Brave: 234K (236K)

  8. Cars 2: 207K (208K)

  9. The Good Dinosaur: 173K

 

Not good, and Unlike the other films it doesn't have summer weekdays for legs.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of December 3-6:

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Bridge Of Spies 223,427 490,624 -8% 2
Spectre 124,218 2,260,032 -29% 5
The Night Before 120,757 120,757   1
The Good Dinosaur 116,246 289,362 -33% 2
Capture The Flag 41,584 41,584   1
Peanuts 35,973 35,973   1
The Intern 28,600 1,661,146 -35% 10
The Martian 17,763 1,803,695 -31% 10
Hotel Transylvania 2 16,826 2,009,067 -46% 11
Goosebumps 3,666 177,574 -27% 8

 

The Night Before has a decent but not special opening. Peanuts flops, opening below Spanish animation Capture The flag.

As for holdovers Bridge Of Spies does well, and is still tracking well ahead of Captain Phillips, currently almost 100K more after 2 weeks. Spectre's later legs seem good, It won't come anywhere near Skyfall, but it is still big numbers and has already easily beat both CR and QOS. No good news for TGD, it still has Hanukkah bump this week, but it will still end up with a bad number for a Pixar release.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of December 10-13:

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
The Good Dinosaur 487,903 803,824 320% 3
Capture The Flag 237,138 278,557 470% 2
Bridge Of Spies 220,217 803,824 -1% 3
Peanuts 164,740 200,571 358% 2
The Night Before 150,982 340,440 25% 2
Hotel Transylvania 2 145,426 2,200,323 764% 12
Spectre 141,030 2,453,087 14% 6
The Intern 31,820 1,717,602 11% 11
Our Brand Is Crisis 29,272 29,272   1
Goosebumps 11,936 196,189 226% 9

 

Hanukkah is here and with it some huge increases for the animated films, that range between +320% for TGD and a crazy +764% for HT2. We will see big decreases after this, the reasonable max we will see for TGD shouldn't be more than 1.3M. HT2's incredible increase means that its 12th weekend is its second biggest overall behind the second weekend (Which also had a holiday) with the OW in third.

 

Next week sees the release of Star Wars and not much else.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of December 17-20:

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Star Wars 7 1,069,016 1,069,016   1
Bridge Of Spies 162,500 1,096,637 -26% 4
The Night Before 101,138 487,093 -33% 3
The Good Dinosaur 84,884 1,113,401 -83% 4
Spectre 63,431 2,595,993 -55% 7
Capture The Flag 46,708 450,989 -80% 3
Peanuts 35,630 302,940 -78% 3
The Intern 17,132 1,751,823 -46% 12
Our Brand Is Crisis 10,974 40,666 -63 2
Hotel Transylvania 2 7,654 2,231,696 -95% 13
Goosebumps 3,218 202,488 -73% 10

 

Star Wars has the Fourth biggest opening that I know of (not sure what Catching Fire made but there is a good chance it made more), behind Fast 6, Fast 7 and HP8 Fast 7 also made more in its second weekend). No point in comparing to other Star Wars, as SW7 has already made more ROTS.

 

My early projection for the total would be 3M.

Edited by Tower
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of December 24-27:

 

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Star Wars 7 610,530 1,680,949 -43% 2
Joy 154,727 154,727   1
Bridge Of Spies 115,961 1,309,508 -29% 5
The Night Before 65,157 588,096 -36% 4
The Good Dinosaur 55,689 1,311,714 -34% 5
Spectre 37,862 2,678,437 -40% 8
Capture The Flag 36,854 566,542 -21% 4
Peanuts 23,462 380,670 -34% 4
The Intern 11,223 1,778,538 -34% 13
Hotel Transylvania 2 5,228 2,237,873 -32% 14
Goosebumps 2,108 204,760 -34% 11

 

SW7 drops similarly to what Hobbit 3 did last year, if it continues on the same trajectory, it will finish somewhere in the 2.5M-3M range. Joy has one of those decent but uneventful openings.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

I made this top 10 of all time for another thread but I'll repost it here:

Rank Film gross ($M) Year
1 Avatar 13.541 2009
2 Titanic 8.538 1997
3 The Smurfs 6.473 2011
4 Furious 7 5.823 2015
5 Minions 5.632 2015
6 Alice In Wonderland 5.053 2010
7 Smurfs 2 4.944 2013
8 Inside Out 4.845 2015
9 Skyfall 4.819 2012
10 Fast 6 4.634 2013

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

And here are all the 24 films that made over $1M in 2015 (Bold films are still in release, * for spongebob is because something is off with the numbers, it probably made more):

Rank Film gross ($M)
1 Furious 7 5.823
2 Minions 5.632
3 Inside Out 4.845
4 Ted 2 3.043
5 Jurassic World 2.796
6 Spectre 2.678
7 Fifty Shades of Grey 2.601
8 Taken 3 2.403
9 Mission Impossible 5 2.354
10 Hotel Transylvania 2 2.238
11 Avengers 2 2.021
12 The Martian 1.804
13 The Intern 1.779
14 Star Wars 7 1.681
15 Everest 1.541
16 San Andreas 1.52
17 Spongebob* 1.481*
18 Vacation 1.391
19 Ant-Man 1.336
20 Spy 1.321
21 The Good Dinosaur 1.312
22 Home 1.303
23 Bridge Of Spies 1.301
24 Maze Runner 2 1.192

 

 

Israel must be the only country where Ted 2 beat JW AOU and likely SW7.

 

Edited by Tower
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 12/29/2015 at 11:51 PM, Tower said:

The weekend of December 24-27:

 

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Star Wars 7 610,530 1,680,949 -43% 2
Joy 154,727 154,727   1
Bridge Of Spies 115,961 1,309,508 -29% 5
The Night Before 65,157 588,096 -36% 4
The Good Dinosaur 55,689 1,311,714 -34% 5
Spectre 37,862 2,678,437 -40% 8
Capture The Flag 36,854 566,542 -21% 4
Peanuts 23,462 380,670 -34% 4
The Intern 11,223 1,778,538 -34% 13
Hotel Transylvania 2 5,228 2,237,873 -32% 14
Goosebumps 2,108 204,760 -34% 11

 

SW7 drops similarly to what Hobbit 3 did last year, if it continues on the same trajectory, it will finish somewhere in the 2.5M-3M range. Joy has one of those decent but uneventful openings.

So, TFA grossed $0m during the weekdays? There must be a mistake.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744
29 minutes ago, tyrannyreborn said:

So, TFA grossed $0m during the weekdays? There must be a mistake.

 

Yeah, but these are the numbers that BOM and thenumbers have, and I don't really have an answer, the same thing happened with Spectre in its second weekend, but it continued normally after that. The only one around here who could have an answer is RTH.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 hours ago, Tower said:

 

Yeah, but these are the numbers that BOM and thenumbers have, and I don't really have an answer, the same thing happened with Spectre in its second weekend, but it continued normally after that. The only one around here who could have an answer is RTH.

I'm not saying it's your fault. :) 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The Weekend of December 31-January 3:

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Star Wars 7 361,119 2,318,857 -41% 3
Joy 111,433 266,409 -28% 2
Creed 104,269 104,269   1
In The Heart Of The Sea 87,345 87,345   1
Bridge Of Spies 78,359 1,459,875 -32% 6
The Good Dinosaur 66,341 1,394,610 19% 6
The Night Before 54,710 664,562 -16% 5
Capture The Flag 47,366 622,526 29% 5
Peanuts 36,302 421,668 55% 5
Spectre 24,509 2,732,288 -35% 9
Hotel Transylvania 2 6,923 2,245,959 32% 15
Goosebumps 1,619 206,399 -23% 12

 

Star Wars is on pace to around 3M, should be a close fight with Ted 2 for fourth biggest film of 2015. Creed and In The Heart Of The See both open to boring and unimpressive numbers.

Edited by Tower
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

Looking into 2016, there are only 2 obvious huge films, the only films likely to pass 3M are IA5 and Finding Dory. Something else might break out but, there are no obvious candidates. But as usual there should be plenty of films in the 2M-3M range.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

The weekend of January 7-10:

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Star Wars 7 229,671 2,721,552 -36% 4
Daddy's Home 205,189 205,189   1
Creed 71,489 174,367 -31% 2
Joy 66,742 419,084 -40% 3
Bridge Of Spies 57,934 1,575,974 -26% 7
In The Heart Of The Sea 54,630 140,810 -37% 2
The Good Dinosaur 52,750 1,473,439 -20% 7
Capture The Flag 48,759 683,556 3% 6
Peanuts 28,765 455,021 -21% 6
The Night Before 23,862 704,027 -56% 6
Hotel Transylvania 2 4,265 2,250,631 38% 16
Goosebumps 1,579 207,979 -2% 13

 

SW7 has been holding up well and will clearly pass 3M now. Daddy's Home has good, but not amazing, opening. 

Edited by Tower
  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Tower    1,744

January 14-17:

Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release
Daddy's Home 184,779 392,606 -10% 2
Star Wars 7 155,318 2,973,168 -32% 5
Joy 62,831 541,956 -6% 4
Creed 62,024 268,548 -13% 3
Bridge Of Spies 50,451 1,662,686 -13% 8
The Danish Girl 43,210 43,210   1
In The Heart Of The Sea 42,024 209,990 -23% 3
Capture The Flag 36,556 728,887 -25% 7
The Good Dinosaur 34,334 1,522,682 -35% 8
The Night Before 19,181 728,198 -20% 7
Hotel Transylvania 2 4,009 2,254,695 -6% 17
Goosebumps 1,377 209,356 -13% 14

 

Daddy's Home holds well and if it keeps up with good holds, could make it to a million. SW7 looking to finish around 3.3M.

 

Next weekend brings The Revenant which with the Oscar buzz plus Leo I expect to end up being big.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.