Jump to content

Welcome to The Box Office Theory — Forums
Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to create topics, post replies to existing threads, give reputation to your fellow members, get your own private messenger, post status updates, manage your profile and so much more. This message will be removed once you have signed in.
Login to Account Create an Account
Photo

BO.com: Will X-MEN, DRAGON 2, or TRANSFORMERS Be 2014's First $100 Million Opener?


  • Please log in to reply
27 replies to this topic

#1
ShawnMR

ShawnMR

  • Site Owner
  • 14,429 posts
  • Joined November 04, 2011
  • 467 topics

As Godzilla blew past industry expectations with a monstrous $93.2 million domestic bow last weekend, it also established the market's longest drought without a $100 million opener in nearly three years.

 

Through May 18, it's been 25 weekends since The Hunger Games: Catching Fire reached $158.1 million in November, topping the 24-week gap between Iron Man 3 ($174.1 million) and November 2012's Twilight finale,Breaking Dawn Part 2 ($141.1 million). There was a similar 23-week wait between Catching Fire itself andMan of Steel ($116.6 million).

 

Overall, the current 25-week span is the third longest period without a $100 million opener since 2008. The two longer stints:... (More)

 

Full Story: http://www.boxoffice...llion-opener-be


Edited by ShawnMR, 20 May 2014 - 12:34 PM.

  • Blankments likes this

Support the Forums! Donation Campaign for Independent, Member-Funded Hosting

 

"It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly, one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts." - Sherlock Holmes

 

"Nobody in life gets exactly what they thought they were going to get. But if you work really hard and you're kind, amazing things will happen." - Conan O'Brien


#2
MrPink

MrPink

    Nolanite on Probation

  • Premium Account
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 13,867 posts
  • Joined April 20, 2012
  • 3 topics
  • LocationHouston

Trans4mers, the others, I'm thinking no.


http://forums.boxoff...ends/?p=1614616

 

Read the story of The Dark Knight Rises...with Box Office Forums members! See the saga of ShawnMR as the BoxOfficeMan.

 

FINAL PART OF THE BOX OFFICE KNIGHT RISES UP, 08/03/2014. #HAIL NOLAN


#3
Godzillas Mad Max

Godzillas Mad Max

    Box Office Gold

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPip
  • 2,058 posts
  • Joined May 05, 2013
  • 22 topics
  • LocationTokyo

HTTYD 2. The lack of animated films will push kids in drove in the OW.



#4
CJohn

CJohn

    Global Phenomenon

  • General Moderator
  • 48,197 posts
  • Joined November 08, 2011
  • 638 topics
  • LocationPortugal

TF4. Otherwise we have to wait for goddess Katniss.


  • K1stpierre likes this

MINIONS - 102/350 | THE GALLOWS - 10/23 | SELF/LESS - 7/17

Ant-Man - 71/175 | Trainwreck - 36/128

Paper Towns - 31/85 | Pixels - 56/158 | Southpaw - 9/30

Vacation - 20/28/93 | Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation - 63/190


#5
Klingo

Klingo

    Box Office Gold

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPip
  • 4,744 posts
  • Joined December 22, 2013
  • 3 topics
  • LocationDallas, TX

HTTYD 2. The lack of animated films will push kids in drove in the OW.

 

I'm thinking the same, especially with kids and parents combine helps push through 100 million.  DOFP is just a week after Godzilla and could divert many movie goers to watch Godzilla if they haven't seen it in the first weekend.  Any competition for HTTYD2?  How about TF4?  If none, then TF4 is almost likely able to do it.



#6
cooliod1

cooliod1

    Cocks Office Mojo

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 22,314 posts
  • Joined November 08, 2011
  • 72 topics

no, no, maybe.



#7
JurAssic Arachnid!™

JurAssic Arachnid!™

    Spider-Mod, Spider-Mod...

  • Moderator Emeritus
  • 8,818 posts
  • Joined November 05, 2011
  • 36 topics
  • LocationThis forum continues to prove that those in the minority have the loudest voices.

X-Men DOFP would have to drop at least 25% in attendance from X3 not to do it. Or putting it in better terms, it would have to basically duplicate X-Men Origins Wolverine's attendance even with a Memorial Day boost. 


  • ShawnMR likes this

R.I.P. James Horner, thank you for scoring my life!

 

GrudyDA.gif

 

 


#8
Chewy

Chewy

    Global Phenomenon

  • Copper Account
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 19,981 posts
  • Joined February 04, 2012
  • 16 topics
  • LocationVirginia

I'm thinking nos across the board. I want as many 90M OWs as possible


Edited by Chewy Tatumwolf, 20 May 2014 - 12:51 PM.

  • RichWS likes this
We arent friends chewy go beat your street Ass.

#9
K1stpierre

K1stpierre

    The Mockingjay

  • General Moderator
  • 14,829 posts
  • Joined July 03, 2013
  • 517 topics
  • LocationSunnydale

T4 or else it'll be The Queen again.


FWHK3Ff.jpg?2?1092

 

"In Every Generation, there is a chosen one. She alone who will stand against the vampires the demons and the forces of darkness. She is The Slayer.


#10
RichWS

RichWS

    Global Phenomenon

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 12,958 posts
  • Joined November 10, 2011
  • 9 topics
  • LocationBACK IN BROOKLYN BABY

Hard to see any of them hitting 100 for the 3-day. Transformers is most likely, but I really doubt it. Particularly when it has the whole holiday week to play right after.



#11
Klingo

Klingo

    Box Office Gold

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPip
  • 4,744 posts
  • Joined December 22, 2013
  • 3 topics
  • LocationDallas, TX

22 Jump Street is coming out on the same day as HTTYD2, so that could divert some.


  • ShawnMR likes this

#12
darkelf

darkelf

    A Kite

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPip
  • 4,264 posts
  • Joined December 15, 2013
  • 2 topics
  • LocationCroatia

You are really underpredicting Maleficent here, it'll do at least high 90s and if the reviews are great there's no chance it misses 100M

 

/Sean B (or whoever it is :D)

 

Seriously, TF4, don't think the other two have a big chance :)


  • Mulder likes this

#13
CJohn

CJohn

    Global Phenomenon

  • General Moderator
  • 48,197 posts
  • Joined November 08, 2011
  • 638 topics
  • LocationPortugal

You are really underpredicting Maleficent here, it'll do at least high 90s and if the reviews are great there's no chance it misses 100M

 

/Sean B (or whoever it is :D)

 

Seriously, TF4, don't think the other two have a big chance :)

That dude is gonna iJack when Maleficent opens with just 50M and the RT score is shit. 


  • TheAlmightySosa likes this

MINIONS - 102/350 | THE GALLOWS - 10/23 | SELF/LESS - 7/17

Ant-Man - 71/175 | Trainwreck - 36/128

Paper Towns - 31/85 | Pixels - 56/158 | Southpaw - 9/30

Vacation - 20/28/93 | Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation - 63/190


#14
Jandrew

Jandrew

    Global Phenomenon

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 14,475 posts
  • Joined December 15, 2011
  • 19 topics
  • LocationZendaya's Bed
None.Thinking similar to F6 for X-Men. Dragon $47M to $100M? In 2014. Naw. Like Rich said, TF4 will have Independence holiday to leg it out and I dont think it's as mighty as it used to be either, like Spiderman.So likely no $100M till November. But like 5 $90 millers. What the fuck, 2014?

Act 3 Movies! Read here!

 

http://jaysonb593.blogspot.com/

 


#15
Vanilla

Vanilla

    Junior Admin

  • Junior Admin
  • 1,708 posts
  • Joined November 05, 2011
  • 276 topics
  • LocationU.S.A
X Men, and Transformers will do it. I think Dragon is going to disappoint a lot around here.

#16
scottb

scottb

    Moderator

  • General Moderator
  • 1,115 posts
  • Joined November 05, 2011
  • 39 topics
  • LocationCleveland, Ohio

I think X-Men will do it.


Peace is a lie.

#17
jessie

jessie

    Global Phenomenon

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 11,551 posts
  • Joined November 18, 2011
  • 34 topics
  • LocationEngland
I think neither will. It will be the first summer movie without a 100m opener imo.

#18
Mojoguy

Mojoguy

    Summer Tentpole

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 7,641 posts
  • Joined November 14, 2011
  • 7 topics

2014 will be an awful year, especially after 2013 which had THREE 400m grossers. :sadno:



#19
Heat Vision

Heat Vision

    Blockbuster

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 5,110 posts
  • Joined August 12, 2013
  • 2 topics
  • LocationNew York City
Is going to be Transformers sadly.

#20
Insidearcher

Insidearcher

    Global Phenomenon

  • Free Account
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 26,000 posts
  • Joined July 09, 2013
  • 48 topics
  • LocationSomewhere In The Brain

That dude is gonna iJack when Maleficent opens with just 50M and the RT score is shit. 

 

Heh! Not just him but everyone else.

 

I swear there are more Maleficent fanboy / fangirls, then there are Hunger Game ones on this board.


  • Blankments and TheAlmightySosa like this

Check out my reviews and more at,

 

http://blog.catamountarts.org/



0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users