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Weekend Prediction thread (4/28-4/30) | Play the Derby

2,863 posts in this topic

28 minutes ago, bapi said:

3-day:

 

Creed  -  11M

The Good Dinosaur  -  59M

Victor Frankenstein  -  5M

________________________________________

 

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2  -53%

Spectre  -46%

The Night Before  -41%

No way Spectre and Night Before drop that bad over a holiday frame.

 

Spectre should drop 25-30% while Night Before should drop 10-20% due to its small OW and Christmas theme. 

 

Also Creed isn't opening that softly with how strong its buzz has been, the Rocky branding and its excellent reviews. More likely to make $11 million its opening day than $11 million over the 3 day. 

 

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Good Dinosaur:62.1 million 3-day(100 million 5-day), Creed:25 million(42 million 5-day), Victor Frankenstein:4 million 3-day(8 million 5-day)

Edited by Maxmoser3

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3 day/5 day:

 

The Good Dinosaur: 70M/95M

Mockingjay: 49M/64M

Creed: 35M/50M

Spectre: 10M/15M

The Peanuts Movie: 8M/12M

The Night Before: 6.5M/8.7M

Victor Frankenstein: 5M/7M

Spotlight: 3.5M/5M

The Secret in their Eyes: 4M/6M

The Martian: 2.8M/3.5M

 

 

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11/25-11/29

  1. The Good Dinosaur: $78 million/$110 million 
  2. Mockingjay Part 2: $53.5 million/$74 million ($191 million) 
  3. Creed: $38 million/$55 million 
  4. Spectre: $10.5 million/$15.5 million ($172 million)
  5. The Peanuts Movie: $10 million/$15 million ($115 million)
  6. The Night Before: $9 million/$13 million ($26 million)
  7. Spotlight: $7 million/$10 million ($17 million)
  8. Victor Frankenstein: $6 million/$10 million 
  9. Secret in Their Eyes: $4 million/$6 million ($14 million)
  10. Love the Coopers: $3.5 million/$5.5 million ($22 million)
  11. The Martian: $3 million/$4.5 million ($218 million)
  12. Brooklyn: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($6 million)

12/4-12/6

  1. The Good Dinosaur: $37 million ($160 million)
  2. Mockingjay Part 2: $24 million ($227 million)
  3. Krampus: $22 million
  4. Creed: $17 million ($80 million)
  5. The Night Before: $6 million ($35 million)
  6. Spectre: $5.5 million ($180 million)
  7. Spotlight: $4 million ($23 million)
  8. The Peanuts Movie: $4 million ($120 million)
  9. Victor Frankenstein: $3 million ($14 million)
  10. Love the Coopers: $2.5 million ($26 million) 

12/11-12/13

  1. The Good Dinosaur: $30.5 million ($200 million)
  2. In the Heart of the Sea: $23 million 
  3. Krampus: $17 million ($48 million) 
  4. Mockingjay Part 2: $16 million ($251 million)
  5. Creed: $12 million ($98 million)
  6. The Night Before: $5 million ($42 million) 
  7. Spotlight: $4.5 million ($30 million) 
  8. Legend: $3.5 million 
  9. Spectre: $3 million ($184 million)
  10. The Peanuts Movie: $3 million ($123 million) 

12/18-12/20

  1. Star Wars Episode VII: $260.5 million 
  2. The Good Dinosaur: $15 million ($220 million)
  3. Sisters: $8.5 million 
  4. Krampus: $7 million ($60 million) 
  5. Alvin 4: $6.5 million 
  6. Mockingjay Part 2: $6 million ($260 million)
  7. Creed: $5 million ($106 million)
  8. In the Heart of the Sea: $4.5 million ($32 million)
  9. Spotlight: $2.5 million ($34 million)
  10. The Night Before: $2 million ($45 million)

12/25-12/27

  1. Star Wars Episode VII: $140 million ($511 million)
  2. Daddy's Home: $24 million 
  3. The Good Dinosaur: $20.5 million ($259 million) 
  4. Joy: $20 million 
  5. Sisters: $12 million ($31 million) 
  6. Alvin 4: $11 million ($27 million) 
  7. Concussion: $10 million 
  8. The Big Short: $7.5 million ($13 million) 
  9. Mockingjay Part 2: $7 million ($273 million) 
  10. Point Break: $5.5 million 
  11. Creed: $5 million ($115 million)
  12. In the Heart of the Sea: $4 million ($40 million)

1/1-1/3

  1. Star Wars Episode VII: $104 million ($717 million)
  2. Daddy's Home: $18 million ($66 million)
  3. The Good Dinosaur: $17 million ($297 million)
  4. Joy: $16 million ($56 million)
  5. Sisters: $10 million ($53 million)
  6. Alvin 4: $9.5 million ($48 million)
  7. Concussion: $8 million ($28 mililon)
  8. The Big Short: $6 million ($26 million)
  9. Mockingjay Part 2: $5.5 million ($285 million)
  10. Creed: $4 million ($124 million)
  11. Point Break: $3 million ($14 million) 
  12. In the Heart of the Sea: $2.5 million ($47 million) 
Edited by mahnamahna

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I can't see Krampus making anywhere close to 22m.

 

Mahnamahna, what makes you think it would do so much better than LTC and TNB?

 

And 6.5m for Alvin? I can't see it making less than 12m.

Edited by department store basement

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The Good Dinosaur-60m/80m

Creed-28m/40m

Victor Frankenstein-5m/8m

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by babz06

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Yeah Krampus isnt going to make that much. Im not that high on The Good Dinosaur either

Edited by babz06

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I wish your number would be true. With that huge OW followed by that hold SW7 could easily top 1B. The first in the history.

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1.The Good Dinosaur - 70m (95m)

2.Mockingjay Part 2 - 46m (186m)
3.Creed - 27m (40m)
4.Spectre - 17.7m (183.9m)
5.The Night Before - 10.9m (30.5m)
6.The Peanuts Movie - 10.5m (116.9m)
 
 
Dec 4
1.The Good Dinosaur - 32.2m (143.2m)
2.Krampus - 25.8m (25.8m)
3.Mockingjay Part 2 - 18.4m (213.4m)
4.Creed - 13.2m (60.7m)
5.Spectre - 7.6m (195.2m)
6.The Night Before - 5m (38m)
7.The Peanuts Movie - 4.6m (123.8m)
 
December 11
1.In The Heart of the Sea - 28.4m (28.4m)
2.The Good Dinosaur - 24.5m (180m)
3.Krampus - 12.4m (44.4m)
4.Mockingjay Part 2 - 11.4m (230.4m)
5.Creed - 9.4m (74.8m)
6.Spectre - 4.3m (201.7m)
 
December 18
1.Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 230.5m
2.The Good Dinosaur - 15.4m (203.9m)
3.In the Heart of the Sea - 11.4m (46m)
4.Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 - 7.2m (7.2m)
5.Sisters - 6.5m (6.5m)
6.Krampus - 5.3m (53.1m)
7.Mockingjay Part 2 - 5.1m (238.3m)
8.Creed - 4.5m (82.3m)
 
December 25
1.Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 135.2m (482.2m)
2.Joy - 25.8m (25.8m)
3.The Good Dinosaur - 20.3m (239.7m)
4.Daddy's Home - 17.4m (17.4m)
5.In the Heart of the Sea - 9.7m (63.2m)
6.Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 - 8.1m (22.3m)
7.Sisters - 7.6m (21.1m)
8.Concussion - 7.5m (7.5m)
9.Point Break - 7.2m (7.2m)
10.Krampus - 6.2m (65.3m)
11.Mockingjay Part 2 - 6.2m (250m)
12.The Big Short - 5.8m (5.8m)
256.2m
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1. Good Dinosaur (56/77M)

2. MockingJay (45/68M)

3. Creed (28/40M)

4. Victor Frankenstein (12/19M)

5. Spectre (9/15M)

 

Dec 4:

1. Good Dinosaur (33M)

2. MockingJay (21M

3. Creed (19M)

4. Krampus (18M)

5. Peanuts (7.5M)

 

Dec 12:

 

1. Heart of the Sea (25M)

2. Good Dinosaur (20M)

3. Creed (14M)

4. MockingJay (12M)

5. Krampus (10M)

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Ok, what kind of parallel universe is this where people are predicting Krampus opening higher than $20M? I'm not even sure it hits $10M OW.

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1 hour ago, Truckasaurus said:

Ok, what kind of parallel universe is this where people are predicting Krampus opening higher than $20M? I'm not even sure it hits $10M OW.

It's being heavily marketed everywhere. TV spots, snapchat, Internet ads. 

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1 hour ago, Truckasaurus said:

Ok, what kind of parallel universe is this where people are predicting Krampus opening higher than $20M? I'm not even sure it hits $10M OW.

The one where Krampus is tracking higher than Unfriended and The Visit :P

 

11/25-11/29

  1. The Good Dinosaur: $79 million/$110 million 
  2. Mockingjay Part 2: $49 million/$73 million ($193 million) 
  3. Creed: $42 million/$60 million 
  4. Spectre: $12 million/$17.5 million ($175 million)
  5. The Peanuts Movie: $11 million/$16.5 million ($118 million)
  6. The Night Before: $7.5 million/$11 million ($23 million)
  7. Victor Frankenstein: $6 million/$10 million 
  8. Spotlight: $5.5 million/$8.5 mililon ($16 million) 
  9. Secret in Their Eyes: $4.5 million/$7 million ($15 million)
  10. Love the Coopers: $3.5 million/$5.5 million ($22 million) 
  11. The Martian: $3 million/$4.5 million ($218 million)
  12. The 33: $1.5 million/$2.5 million ($13 million)

12/4-12/6

  1. The Good Dinosaur: $38 million ($161 million)
  2. Krampus: $23 million 
  3. Mockingjay Part 2: $22.5 million ($226 million)
  4. Creed: $21 million ($92 million)
  5. Spectre: $6 million ($184 million)
  6. The Peanuts Movie: $5 million ($124 million)
  7. The Night Before: $4.5 million ($30 million)
  8. Spotlight: $3.5 million ($21 million)
  9. Victor Frankenstein: $3 million ($14 million)
  10. Love the Coopers: $2.5 million ($26 million) 

12/11-12/13

  1. The Good Dinosaur: $31.5 million ($202 million)
  2. In the Heart of the Sea: $25.5 million 
  3. Krampus: $17 million ($49 million) 
  4. Creed: $15 million ($114 million) 
  5. Mockingjay Part 2: $13 million ($246 million) 
  6. Legend: $5.5 million ($9 million)
  7. Spotlight: $4.5 million ($28 million) 
  8. The Peanuts Movie: $4 million ($129 million) 
  9. The Night Before: $3.5 million ($35 million) 
  10. Spectre: $3 million ($189 million) 

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3-Day 

  1. The Good Dinosaur - 68.4M
  2. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 53.4M
  3. Creed - 34.9M
  4. Spectre - 9.8M
  5. The Peanuts Movie - 9.2M
  6. Spotlight - 6.7M
  7. The Night Before - 6.4M
  8. Victor Frankenstein - 4.7M
  9. The Secret in Their Eyes - 4.0M
  10. The Martian - 2.9M
  11. Love the Coopers - 2.9M
  12. Brooklyn - 2.8M

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On 11/18/2015, 6:00:20, Blankments said:

Hotel Transylvania 2, Burnt, and Our Brand is Crisis are gone.

The 33, Woodlawn, Goosebumps, Bridge of Spies, My All American, and Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension are gone.

 

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 23 (down 1)

Creed - 15 (debut)

The Night Before - 15 (no change)

The Peanuts Movie - 15 (no change)

The Good Dinosaur - 8/5 (2D/3D) total 13 (debut)

Spectre - 11 (down 4)

Victor Frankenstein - 10 (debut)
The Secret In Their Eyes - 8 (down 2)

Love the Coopers - 7 (down 3)

Trumbo - 5 (debut)
The Martian - 1 (down 4)

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Unfortunate for V Frankenstein. Deserves at least 10M (but even then, I'd be saying that it should have gotten 15)

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Damn I made some really, really bad predictions recently... :(

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Krampus  -  13M

______________________________________________

 

Creed  -56%

The Good Dinosaur  -48%

Victor Frankenstein  -74%

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2  -63%

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12/4

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 - $19.4m

2. The Good Dinosaur - $16.8m

3. Creed - $15.6m

4. Krampus - $10.5m

5. Spectre - $6.3m

6. The Night Before - $4.3m

7. The Peanuts Movie - $4m

8. Spotlight - $2.3m

9. Brooklyn - $2.1m

10. The Secret In Their Eyes - $2m

 

12/11

1. In the Heart of the Sea - $17.5m

2. The Good Dinosaur - $11.4m

3. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 - $11m

4. Creed - $10.8m

5. Krampus - $5.4m

6. Spectre - $3.7m

7. The Night Before - $2.8m

8. The Peanuts Movie - $2.6m

9. Legend - $2.1m

10. Spotlight - $1.7m

 

12/18

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $196.4m

2. Alvin & the Chipmunks: Road Chip - $13.1m

3. Sisters - $12.6m

4. In The Heart of the Sea - $7.6m

5. Creed - $6.1m

6. The Good Dinosaur - $6m

7. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 - $5.4m

8. Krampus - $2.5m

9. The Night Before - $1.9m

10. Spectre - $1.6m

 

12/25

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $127.6m

2. Joy - $24.3m

3. Concussion - $15.9m

4. Sisters - $14m

5. Alvin & the Chipmunks: Road Chip - $13.6m

6. Daddy's Home - $10.2m

7. Point Break - $8m

8. Creed - $7m

9. The Good Dinosaur - $6.8m

10. In The Heart of the Sea - $6.7m

 

 

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