Weekend Prediction thread 4/26-4/28 Play the Derby

[WrathOfHan]

Wonder Woman: 110M

Captain Underpants: 30M

Pirates of the Caribbean: 28M

Guardians of the Galaxy: 9.3M

Baywatch: 7.2M

Alien Covenant: 4M

Everything, Everything: 3.1M

Diary of a Wimpy Kid: 2.4M

Snatched: 2M

King Arthur: 1.4M

Edited May 28, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Dandeak2000]

^{(All figures in millions)}

2-4 June 2017

 

1. Wonder Woman $120

2. Captain Underpants $35

3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $28/$115

4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $10/$348.2

5. Baywatch $7/$35

6. Alien: Covenant $4/$63

7. Everything, Everything $3.5/$28

8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul $2.8/$18

9. Snatched $1.9/$43

10. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword $1.5/$36

 

Spoiler

9-11 June 2017

 

1. Wonder Woman $54/$200

2. The Mummy $42.5

3. Captain Underpants $20/$70

4. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $14/$136

5. It Comes At Night $10

6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $6/$358.5

7. Megan Leavey $5.5

8. Baywatch $4/$41

9. Everything, Everything $2.2/$31.5

10. Alien: Covenant $2/$66

 

16-18 June 2017

 

1. Cars 3 $60

2. Wonder Woman $30/$245

3. The Mummy $20/$75

4. Rough Night $18.5

5. Captain Underpants $13/$90

6. All Eyez on Me $12

7. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $8/$148

8. It Comes At Night $5/$18

9. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $3.5/$364

10. 47 Meters Down $3.3

 

23-25 June 2017

 

1. Transformers: The Last Knight $70 ($83 5-day)

2. Cars 3 $35/$115

3. Wonder Woman $18/$270

4. The Mummy $12/$93

5. Captain Underpants $9/$103

6. Rough Night $8/$30

7. All Eyez on Me $7.5/$23.5

8. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $4/$154

9. It Comes At Night $3/$22.5

10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $2/$367

 

30 June-2 July 2017

 

1. Despicable Me 3 $100

2. Transformers: The Last Knight $25/$125

3. The House $22

4. Cars 3 $21/$146

5. Wonder Woman $11/$287

6. The Mummy $7.5/$104

7. Captain Underpants $6.3/$112.5

8. Rough Night $5/$38

9. Amityville: The Awakening $4.8

10. All Eyez on Me $4.5/$31

 

7-9 July 2017

 

1. Spider-Man: Homecoming $130

2. Despicable Me 3 $40/$160

3. Cars 3 $14/$167

4. The House $13/$42

5. Transformers: The Last Knight $12/$143

6. Wonder Woman $6/$296

7. The Mummy $4/$110

8. Captain Underpants $3.8/$118

9. Rough Night $3/$42.5

10. All Eyez on Me $2.5/$34.5

 

14-16 July 2017

 

1. War for the Planet of the Apes $70

2. Spider-Man: Homecoming $58.5/$217.8

3. Despicable Me 3 $25/$200

4. Cars 3 $9/$180

5. Wish Upon $8.5

6. The House $7/$53

7. Transformers: The Last Knight $6/$152

8. Wonder Woman $4/$302

9. The Mummy $2.5/$113.5

10. Captain Underpants $2.4/$122

 

21-23 July 2017

 

1. Dunkirk $55

2. War for the Planet of the Apes $32/$118

3. Spider-Man: Homecoming $30/$262.8

4. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $23

5. Despicable Me 3 $15/$222.5

6. Girls Trip $10

7. Cars 3 $5.5/$188.3

8. Wish Upon $5/$16

9. The House $4/$59

10. Transformers: The Last Knight $3/$156.5

 

28-30 July 2017

 

1. Dunkirk $30/$100

2. The Emoji Movie $28

3. War for the Planet of the Apes $20/$148

4. Atomic Blonde $18

5. Spider-Man: Homecoming $16.5/$287

6. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $11.5/$40

7. Despicable Me 3 $10/$238

8. Girls Trip $5/$18

9. Cars 3 $3/$193

10. Wish Upon $2.5/$20

 

4-6 August 2017

 

1. The Dark Tower $30

2. Dunkirk $18/$127

3. The Emoji Movie $16/$52

4. War for the Planet of the Apes $13/$168

5. Detroit $10.5

6. Atomic Blonde $10.2/$35

7. Spider-Man: Homecoming $10/$302

8. Despicable Me 3 $7/$249

9. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $6.5/$50

10. Girls Trip $3/$242.5

 

11-13 August 2017

 

1. Annabelle: Creation $40

2. The Dark Tower $17/$54

3. Dunkirk $12/$145

4. The Emoji Movie $10/$67

5. The Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature $9.5

6. War for the Planet of the Apes $8.5/$179

7. Atomic Blonde $6.5/$45

8. Spider-Man: Homecoming $6/$311

9. Detroit $5.5/$19

10. Despicable Me 3 $5/$256.5

 

18-20 August 2017

 

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard $25

2. Annabelle: Creation $16/$64

3. Logan Lucky $15

4. The Dark Tower $10/$69

5. Dunkirk $7.5/$156

6. The Emoji Movie $6/$76

7. War for the Planet of the Apes $5/$186.5

8. The Nut Job: Nutty By Nature $4.8/$17.5

9. Atomic Blonde $4/$51

10. Spider-Man: Homecoming $3.8/$317 

 

25-27 August 2017

 

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard $14/$46

2. Annabelle: Creation $10/$79

3. Polaroid $9.5

4. Logan Lucky $7.5/$26.5

5. The Dark Tower $6/$78

6. All Saints $5

7. Dunkirk $4.8/$164

8. The Emoji Movie $3.8/$82

9. War for the Planet of the Apes $3/$191

10. Tulip Fever $2.9

 

1-3 September 2017

 

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard $9/$60

2. Renegades $8

3. Annabelle: Creation $6/$88

4. Unlocked $5.5

5. Leap! $5 ($6.3 5-day)

6. Polaroid $4.8/$18

7. Logan Lucky $4.5/$34

8. The Dark Tower $3.5/$83

9. Dunkirk $3/$168.5

10. The Emoji Movie $2.5/$86

 

8-10 September 2017

 

1. It $50

2. The Hitman's Bodyguard $5/$67.5

3. Renegades $4/$14

4. Annabelle: Creation $3.5/$93.3

5. Unlocked $3/$10

6. Leap! $2.8/$10.5

7. Logan Lucky $2.5/$37.8

8. Polaroid $2.4/$21.6

9. The Dark Tower $2.2/$86.3

10. Home Again $2

 

15-17 September 2017

 

1. It $23/$84.5

2. American Assassin $20

3. The Hitman's Bodyguard $3.3/$72.5

4. The Soultrean $3

5. Renegades $2.8/$18.2

6. Annabelle: Creation $2/$96.3

7. Unlocked $1.9/$12.9

8. Leap! $1.8/$13.2

9. All I See Is You $1.5

10. Logan Lucky $1.4/$39.9

 

22-24 September 2017

 

1. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $53

2. Ninjago $28

3. It $13/$104

4. The Hitman's Bodyguard $2/$75.5

5. Renegades $1.8/$20.8

6. The Soultrean $1.5/$5.3

7. Friend Request $1.4

8. Annabelle: Creation $1.3/$98.3

9. Leap! $1.2/$15

10. Unlocked $1.1/$14.6

 

29 September-1 October 2017

 

1. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $25/$90.5

2. Ninjago $17/$53.5

3. Flatliners $15

4. It $8.5/$116.8

5. American Made $8

6. The Hitman's Bodyguard $1.3/$77.5

7. Renegades $1.2/$22.6

8. The Soultrean $1.1/$6.9

9. Samson $1

10. Annabelle: Creation $0.8/$99.5

 

6-8 October 2017

 

1. Blade Runner 2049 $45

2. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $15/$113

3. My Little Pony $12.5

4. Ninjago $10/$68.5

5. Flatliners $7.5/$26.3

6. It $5/$124.3

7. American Made $4/$14

8. The Hitman's Bodyguard $0.8/$76.7

9. Renegades $0.7/$23.7

10. The Soultrean $0.6/$7.8

 

13-15 October 2017

 

1. Blade Runner 2049 $20/$75

2. mother! $17.5

3. Marshall $10

4. Half to Death $9.5

5. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $9/$126.5

6. My Little Pony $8/$24.5

7. Ninjago $6.5/$78.3

8. Flatliners $4/$32.3

9. It $3/$128.8

10. American Made $2.5/$17.8

 

20-22 October 2017

 

1. Geostorm $30

2. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $22.5

3. Blade Runner 2049 $12/$93

4. mother! $11/$34

5. The Snowman $10

6. Granite Mountain Hotshots $7.5

7. Marshall $6/$19

8. War with Grandpa $5.5

9. My Little Pony $5/$32

10. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $4.9/$134

 

27-29 October 2017

 

1. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $25

2. Saw: Legacy $18

3. Geostorm $14/$51

4. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $13/$42

5. Blade Runner 2049 $8/$105

6. mother! $7/$45

7. The Snowman $5.5/$18

8. Thank You For Your Service $5

9. Granite Mountain Hotshots $4/$13.5

10. Marshall $3.5/$24.3

 

3-5 November 2017

 

1. Thor: Ragnarok $110

2. A Bad Moms Christmas $30

3. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $11.5/$42.5

4. Geostorm $8/$63

5. Saw: Legacy $7.2/$28.8

6. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $6.5/$51.8

7. Blade Runner 2049 $5.3/$110.8

8. Suburbicon $5

9. mother! $4.5/$51.8

10. The Snowman $3/$21

 

10-12 November 2017

 

1. Thor: Ragnarok $50/$185

2. Daddy's Home 2 $22.5

3. A Bad Moms Christmas $15/$52.5

4. Murder on the Orient Express $12.5

5. The Star $10

6. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $6/$51.5

7. Geostorm $5/$70.5

8. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $4/$57.8

9. Saw: Legacy $3.5/$34

10. Blade Runner 2049 $3/$115.3

 

17-19 November 2017

 

1. Justice League $180

2. Thor: Ragnarok $25/$222.5

3. Daddy's Home 2 $11.3/$40.5

4. A Bad Moms Christmas $8/$65

5. Murder on the Orient Express $7/$23

6. Wonder $6

7. The Star $5/$17.5

8. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $3.5/$56.8

9. Geostorm $3/$75

10. Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $2/$60.8

 

24-26 November 2017

 

1. Justice League $72/$288

2. Coco $55

3. Thor: Ragnarok $15/$245

4. Daddy's Home 2 $8/$52.5

5. A Bad Moms Christmas $6/$74

6. Murder on the Orient Express $4.5/$29.8

7. Wonder $4/$12

8. The Star $3/$22

9. Geostorm $2/$78

10. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $1.8/$59.5

 

1-3 December 2017

 

1. Justice League $36/$342

2. Coco $30/$100

3. Thor: Ragnarok $10/$260

4. Daddy's Home 2 $5.5/$61

5. A Bad Moms Christmas $4/$80

6. Murder on the Orient Express $3/$34.3

7. Wonder $2.5/$15.8

8. The Star $2/$25

9. Geostorm $1.5/$80.3

10. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $1.2/$61.3

 

8-10 December 2017

 

1. Justice League $20/$372

2. Coco $18/$127

3. Thor: Ragnarok $7/$270.5

4. Daddy's Home 2 $3.5/$66.3

5. A Bad Moms Christmas $3/$84.5

6. Murder on the Orient Express $2/$37.3

7. Wonder $1.5/$18

8. The Star $1.3/$27

9. Geostorm $1/$81.8

10. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $0.7/$62.4

 

15-17 December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $245

2. Ferdinand $20

3. Justice League $12/$390

4. Coco $9/$141

5. Thor: Ragnarok $4/$277

6. Daddy's Home 2 $2.6/$70

7. A Bad Moms Christmas $2.5/$88.3

8. Murder on the Orient Express $1.3/$39.3

9. Wonder $1.1/$19.5

10. The Star $1/$28.5

 

22-24 December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $135/$447.5

2. Pitch Perfect 3 $50

3. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $25/$35 (5-day)

4. Ferdinand $15/$42.5

5. Downsizing $10

6. Justice League $8/$402

7. Coco $6/$150

8. The Six Billion Dollar Man $5

9. Bastards $4.5

10. Thor: Ragnarok $2.8/$281.2

 

29-31 December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $80/$575

2. Pitch Perfect 3 $30/$100

3. The Greatest Showman on Earth $25/$41 (7-day)

4. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $15/$60

5. Ferdinand $10/$60

6. Downsizing $6/$20

7. Justice League $5.5/$412

8. Coco $4.5/$158

9. The Six Billion Dollar Man $3.5/$11

10. Bastards $3/$10

 

Edited May 29, 2017 by Mike Hunt

[Krissykins]

Wonder Woman $80,000,000

 

Nothing else matters! 

[TheMovieman]

1. Wonder Woman - $115M

2. Captain Underpants - $35M

3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $16.9M

4. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - $7.2M

5. Baywatch - $6.2M

6. Alien: Covenant - $3.6M

7. Everything Everything - $3.5M

8. Snatched - $2.2M

9. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $2.1M

10. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $1.7M

[James]

145-150m for WW.

[stripe]

WW - 109M

CU - 38M

Pirates 5 - 30M

GV2 - 10M

Baywatch - 8.5M

Alien - 4M

Everything - 3.5M

Wimpy - 2.5M

Snatchet - 2M

KA - 1.5M

 

Top 10 - 210M

[Iron Raf]

WW - 88M

 

Note: Not sure how we're seeing 130-150M predictions when the initial tracking was at 65M. That's an impossible jump, good RT score or not.

[Truckasaurus]

1) Wonder Woman
$127.6M

2) Captain Underpants
$32M

3) Pirates of the Caribbean: Johnny Depp's Lawyers Tell no Tales
$21.2M (-66%)

4) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
$9.3M (-55%)

5) Babewatch
$7.7M (-58%)

[HenryjRhetorics]

WW - 88M
 
Note: Not sure how we're seeing 130-150M predictions when the initial tracking was at 65M. That's an impossible jump, good RT score or not.

JW

Sent from my E6533 using Tapatalk

[Truckasaurus]

3 minutes ago, Iron Raf said:

WW - 88M

 

Note: Not sure how we're seeing 130-150M predictions when the initial tracking was at 65M. That's an impossible jump, good RT score or not.

Tell that to Deadpool and Jurassic World (just to name a few off the top of my head).

[TwoMisfits]

Little leery on screen allocation still for the movies opening...more for CU than WW...

 

WW is getting 2 screens on local and 3 at the mall...every screen seems to equal $50M max here, so if it doesn't change (and they don't start spiking showings of other movies for more WW, which happens), I'm sticking to my $130s prediction.  To beat GOTG by $1 this summer, I expect it needs to open within $10M of it, so I'm gonna go with $138M for this OW (and hope it actually hits GOTG's $146M:).

 

As for CU, the mall finally gave it screens...and it gave it one for presales.  One local gave it a split 2d/3d screen and the other theater gave it nothing still...this is not a way to open big.  So, (unless screens change), I'm gonna go with a $30M opening (with actuals probably missing that number:)...this movie should not be having this kind of screen issue and not getting placed 2 days to opening night, but it is, and that's gonna hurt it...

 

EDIT: WW now has 4 screens at the mall and 3 at local...better news for my picks:)...

Edited June 1, 2017 by TwoMisfits

[CalifoBoy]

I predict Wonder Woman opening at $95M / $115M, but i think this movie deserved so much more!

[ChrisTelclear]

It's going to hit at least $120M.  My local theater that has reserved seating was half sold as of last night.  I think WW is going to be big.

Edited June 1, 2017 by ChrisTelclear

[cheesypoofs]

WW - 155m

CU - 45m

Pirates - 22m

GotG2 - 10m

Baywatch - 9m

Alien - 4m

[Blankments]

Going to post weekend predicts in a bit; waiting for theater counts tbh since its so late

 

On 5/26/2017 at 2:38 AM, Blankments said:

The Circle and Going in Style are gone. Drive-in is Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.

The Fate of the Furious and Beauty and the Beast are gone. Drive-in is Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales and Alien: Covenant.

Wonder Woman - 20/3/9/1/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 37 (debut)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 29/7 (2D/3D) total 36 (down 7)

Baywatch - 26 (up 1)

Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie - 15/5 (2D/3D) total 20 (debut)
Alien: Covenant - 17 (down 6)

Everything Everything - 16 (no change)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - 14 (down 8)
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - 12 (down 5)

Snatched - 9 (down 7)

Gifted - 4 (no change)
The Boss Baby - 3 (down 9)
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - 3 (down 8)

[ChipDerby]

Pretty big prediction range for WW this weekend. Have some $65 mil predicts... and some $150 mil predicts.

[a2k]

WW 131

CU 18

POTC 23

[fabiopazzo2]

Mmm is difficult

 

WW OW: 125M

[dudalb]

1 hour ago, ChipMunky said:

Pretty big prediction range for WW this weekend. Have some $65 mil predicts... and some $150 mil predicts.

The 65 Million predicts are way too low..probably have not been updated for a while.

[AndyLL]

Wonder Woman OW predictions are all over the place.  That range from the low WB conservative tracking number of 65M to some members claiming an OW all the way up to 200M.

 

So... time for a contest.

The closest WW prediction in this weeks Derby will receive a free month of Gold Membership.  For those that already have a premium account you'll receive a $15 account credit that can be applied to your next premium account purchase.

 

To qualify you must play the Derby and enter predictions for ALL 10 movies.

 

Deadline is 12:00 PDT tonight. ( 6/1/2017 )

 

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx