Weekend Prediction thread 4/19-4/21 Play the Derby

[department store basement]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

All depends on how next weekend holds. It'll be Ride Alone or KFP.

 

Really depends on how well Ride Along 2 does as well.

 

I have absolutely no idea how it's going to do. It can perform like 22 Jump Street or like Magic Mike XXL. The first one was a huge hit but it ended up with very negative reception.

 

The trailer for RA2 had many laughs when it played before Concussion at my theater though (though it was all for Kevin Hart so maybe they just love hm), so hopefully it'll do well.

Edited December 31, 2015 by department store basement

[Impact]

A lot always depends on the audience for trailers-based off of the reaction for Mars Needs Moms when I saw Tangled you think it be the biggest hit ever! Though the reaction for it at Tron 2 was none except for one scene.

[Jonwo]

I think it'll be either Ride Along 2 or 13 Hours that dethrone Star Wars.

[Impact]

The Revenant: 24.1

The Forest: 7.5

[lilmac]

20 hours ago, Jonwo said:

I think it'll be either Ride Along 2 or 13 Hours that dethrone Star Wars.

 

I've been saying that for weeks.  Ride Along 2

[Impact]

I wonder how well the Finest Hours will do? Seen trailers for that film at nearly every single PG-13 film since September I think!

[mahnamahna]

1/8-1/10

1. Star Wars Episode VII - The Force Awakens: $45 million ($813 million)
2. The Revenant: $33 million ($35 million)
3. Daddy's Home: $16 million ($117 million)
4. The Hateful Eight: $10 million ($45 million)
5. The Forest: $8 million
6. Sisters: $7.5 million ($74 million)
7. Alvin and the Chipmunks - The Road Chip: $6 million ($75 million)
8. The Big Short: $5.5 million ($41 million)
9. Joy: $4.5 million ($45 million)
10. Concussion: $3.5 million ($31 million)

1/15-1/18

1. 13 Hours: $46 million/$57 million
2. Ride Along 2: $37 million/$45 million
3. Star Wars Episode VII: $33 million/$42 million ($871 million)
4. The Revenant: $23.5 million/$29 million ($76 million)
5. Daddy's Home: $9 million/$11.5 million ($131 million)
6. The Hateful Eight: $7 million/$8 million ($57 million)
7. Norm of the North: $6 million/$7.5 million
8. The Big Short: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($49 million)
9. Alvin and the Chipmunks - The Road Chip: $4 million/$5.5 million ($82 million)
10. Sisters: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($80 million)

1/22-1/24

1. 13 Hours: $22 million ($90 million)
2. Star Wars Episode VII: $17.5 million ($895 million)
3. Ride Along 2: $17 million ($70 million)
4. The Revenant: $13.5 million ($95 million)
5. The 5th Wave: $7 million
6. Dirty Grandpa: $6 million
7. The Boy: $4.5 million
8. Daddy's Home: $4 million ($137 million)
9. The Hateful Eight: $3.5 million ($62 million)
10. Norm of the North: $3 million ($11 million)

1/29-1/31

1. Kung Fu Panda 3: $62 million
2. The Finest Hours: $25 million
3. Star Wars Episode VII: $13 million ($914 million)
4. 13 Hours: $12 million ($108 million)
5. The Revenant: $10 million ($110 million)
6. Ride Along 2: $9 million ($83 million)
7. Fifty Shades of Black: $6 million
8. The 5th Wave: $3.5 million ($12 million)
9. Jane Got a Gun: $3 million
10. The Hateful Eight: $2.5 million ($66 million)

2/5-2/7

1. Kung Fu Panda 3: $33 million ($105 million)
2. Hail, Caesar!: $23 million
3. The Finest Hours: $13 million ($45 million)
4. Pride and Prejudice and Zombies: $11 million
5. Star Wars Episode VII: $7 million ($925 million)
6. The Choice: $6.5 million
7. The Revenant: $5.5 million ($118 million)
8. 13 Hours: $5 million ($116 million)
9. Ride Along 2: $4 million ($89 million)
10. Fifty Shades of Black: $3 million ($11 million)

2/12-2/15

1. Deadpool: $63.5 million/$82 million
2. Zoolander 2: $33 million/$43 million
3. Kung Fu Panda 3: $25 million/$32 million ($144 million)
4. How to Be Single: $18 million/$22.5 million
5. Hail, Caesar!: $15 million/$18 million ($48 million)
6. The Finest Hours: $9 million/$10.5 million ($60 million)
7. Star Wars Episode VII: $7.5 million/$9 million ($938 million)
8. Pride and Prejudice and Zombies: $6.5 million/$7.5 million ($22 million)
9. The Choice: $6 million/$7 million ($17 million)
10. The Revenant: $4.5 million/$5.25 million ($126 million)

[WrathOfHan]

Star Wars: 42.5M

Daddy's Home: 13.6M

The Revenant: 12M

The Hateful Eight: 8.4M

The Big Short: 7.7M

Sisters: 5.8M

Alvin: 5.7M

Joy: 4.4M

Concussion: 3.7M

The Forest: 3.5M

Point Break: 2.5M

Mockingjay: 2.1M

[babz06]

Star Wars TFA: 41m

The Revenant: 30m

Daddy's Home: 13.9m

The Hateful Eight: 8.1m

The Big Short: 7.7m

Joy: 7.3m

Sisters: 7m

Alvin: 6m

Concussion:4.6 m

Point Break: 3m

 

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

42 minutes ago, babz06 said:

Star Wars TFA: 41m

The Revenant: 30m

Daddy's Home: 13.9m

The Hateful Eight: 8.1m

The Big Short: 7.7m

Joy: 7.3m

Sisters: 7m

Alvin: 6m

Concussion:4.6 m

Point Break: 3m

 

 

 

There's no way Joy is dropping 30%, WOM is nowhere near good enough to warrant that.

[Maxmoser3]

January 8-10 2016 (openers only): The Revenant: 28 million, The Forest:9.1 million

[The Panda]

My predictions moving forward

 

Jan 8

1.Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 50m (817.2m)

2.The Revenant - 35.7m (35.7m)

3.Daddy's Home - 16.1m (118m)

4.The Hateful Eight - 8.9m (42.9m)

5.The Big Short  - 7.4m (44.2m)

6.Sisters - 7.3m (74.7m)

7.Alvin - 6.3m (76.8m)

8.Joy - 5.7m (47.1m)

9.Concussion - 4.6m (32.3m)

10.Point Break - 3.1m (27m)

11.Mockingjay Part 2 - 2.6m (278.1m)

12.Creed - 2.4m (107.1m)

Top 12 - 150.1m

 

Jan 15

1.Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 35.5m (870.4m)

2.Ride Along 2 - 34.2m (34.2m)

3.13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - 28.5m (28.5m)

4.The Revenant - 26.1m (74.8m)

5.Norm of the North - 17.5m (17.5m)

6.Daddy's Home - 10.6m (133.8m)

7.The Big Short - 8.5m (56.8m)

8.The Hateful Eight - 5.2m (50.7m)

9.Sisters - 4.7m (81.7m)

10.Alvin - 3.5m (82m)

11.Joy - 3.3m (52.1m)

Concussion - 2.5m (36m)

Top 12 - 180.1m

 

Jan 23

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 23.4m (906.5m)
2. 13 Hours - 16.8m (54.3m)
3. The Revenant - 16.2m (99.7m)
4. Ride Along 2 - 15.7m (57.9m)
5. The Boy - 15.2m (15.2m)
6. The 5th Wave - 12.5m (12.5m)
7. Norm of the North - 10.7m (33.7m)
8. Dirty Grandpa - 10.2m (10.2m)
9. The Big Short - 7.2m (67.8m)
10. Daddy's Home - 6.3m (143.2m)
11. The Hateful Eight - 3.2m (55.7m)
12. Sisters - 3m (86.5m)

[Blankments]

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 45.1M
2. The Revenant - 27.5M
3. Daddy's Home - 19.0M
4. The Forest - 18.2M
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 10.5M
6. Sisters - 10.2M
7. The Hateful Eight - 7.4M
8. The Big Short - 6.9M
9. Joy - 6.6M
10. Concussion - 5.1M
11. The Good Dinosaur - 3.9M
12. Point Break - 3.8M

Edited January 5, 2016 by Blan Solo

[Blankments]

Shoot looks like I forgot to do the theater count last week, so drops will probably be bigger.

 

On 12/23/2015 at 5:41 PM, Blan Solo said:

The Night Before, Spotlight, Love the Coopers, and Spectre are gone.

Krampus, Creed, and In the Heart of the Sea are gone.

 

Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 18/4/10/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/IMAX 3D) total 34 (down 30)

The Revenant - 22 (debut)
Daddy's Home - 18 (down 4)

The Forest - 17 (debut)

Joy - 15 (down 1)

Sisters - 15 (no change)

The Big Short - 14 (down 2)

The Hateful Eight - 14 (debut)

Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 13 (down 3)

Concussion - 8 (down 8)

The Good Dinosaur - 6 (down 2)

The Masked Saint - 6 (debut)

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 4 (no change)

Point Break - 3 (down 14)

Spectre - 1 (return)

[Krissykins]

The Forest doesn't appeal to me purely because I really dislike Natalie Dormer.

 

Watched an interview about 2 years ago and the way she was acting you'd think she was Kate Winslet. Even though she's a part of one hit show and had a bit-part in Hunger Games 3. 

[Maxmoser3]

MLK 2016 weekend(openers only): 13 Hours:45 million 3-day(54 million 4-day), Ride Along 2:38 million 3-day(44 million 4- day), Norm Of The North 10.2 million 3-day(14.1 million 4-day).

[mahnamahna]

1/15-1/18

1. Ride Along 2: $42 million/$51 million 
2. Star Wars Episode VII: $35 million/$44 million ($873 million) 
3. The Revenant: $30.5 million/$37 million ($93 million) 
4. 13 Hours: $25 million/$30 million 
5. Daddy's Home: $10.5 million/$14 million ($133 million)
6. Norm of the North: $8.5 million/$12 million 
7. The Big Short: $8 million/$9.5 million ($56 million)
8. Sisters: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($82 million)
9. The Hateful Eight: $4 million/$4.75 million ($47 million) 
10. Spotlight: $3 million/$3.5 million ($33 million) 

1/22-1/24

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $21 million ($903 million) 
2. Ride Along 2: $19.5 million ($80 million) 
3. The Revenant: $18 million ($120 million) 
4. Dirty Grandpa: $11.5 million 
5. 13 Hours: $11 million ($45 million)
6. The 5th Wave: $7 million 
7. The Big Short: $5.5 million ($63 million) 
8. Daddy's Home: $5 million ($140 million) 
9. Norm of the North: $4.5 million ($17 million) 
10. The Boy: $3.5 million 

1/29-1/31

1. Kung Fu Panda 3: $62 million 
2. The Finest Hours: $20.5 million 
3. Star Wars Episode VII: $15 million ($926 million) 
4. The Revenant: $13 million ($139 million) 
5. Ride Along 2: $10 million ($95 million) 
6. Fifty Shades of Black: $7 million 
7. 13 Hours: $5 million ($53 million) 
8. The Big Short: $4.5 million ($70 million) 
9. Dirty Grandpa: $3.5 million ($17 million) 
10. The 5th Wave: $3 million ($12 million) 

 

Edited January 11, 2016 by mahnamahna

[WrathOfHan]

All predictions are for the 3 day:

 

Ride Along 2: 40M

13 Hours: 25M

The Revenant: 23.7M

Star Wars: 23M

Daddy's Home: 8.4M

Norm of the North: 8M

The Big Short: 5.4M

The Forest: 5.2M

Sisters: 4.3M

The Hateful Eight: 3.2M

Alvin: 3M

Edited January 11, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[Blankments]

3-Day predicts only:

1. Ride Along 2 - 40.4M
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 28.4M
3. 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - 25.9M
4. The Revenant - 20.7M
5. Norm of the North - 12.6M
6. Daddy's Home - 9.9M
7. Sisters - 5.5M
8. The Forest - 5.2M
9. The Big Short - 5.1M
10. The Hateful Eight - 4.2M
11. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 3.5M
12. Joy - 2.9M

[stripe]

4day, but I guess 9-10 can be an Oscars BP contender like Spotlight, Carol or Brooklyn.

 

RA2 - 45M

TFA - 36M

Revenant - 34M

13Hours - 26M

Norm - 15M

DH - 10.5M

TBS - 9.5M

Sisters - 5.5M

H8ful - 4.5M

Alvin4 - 4M

 

top 10 - 190M