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K1stpierre

Finding Dory #1 DOM Movie of 2016 DOM total $482M, the odds are looking good in our favor! Shout out to Mahnamahna for being the closest w/o being over!

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DamienRoc    10,614

I dont have a good enough grasp on 2016 releases to put my opinion in, but I think it has a chance. I have a good idea that Suicide Squad will break out HUGE so I think that might beat this, but we'll have to see!

 

That's... an interesting choice for possible frontrunner.

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K1stpierre    16,611

I dont have a good enough grasp on 2016 releases to put my opinion in, but I think it has a chance. I have a good idea that Suicide Squad will break out HUGE so I think that might beat this, but we'll have to see!

Suicide squad if it's marketed well could pull a GOTG and make around 350 (again, that's if all the stars are aligned like guardians was), but that won't be close to dory.

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a2knet    11,303

Suicide squad if it's marketed well could pull a GOTG and make around 350 (again, that's if all the stars are aligned like guardians was), but that won't be close to dory.

 

Yeah. If BvS is appreciated a lot and does close to 500m, and it references SS smartly, it will increase SS's prospect significantly. Then if stars align like GotG, 350m could happen.

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miketheavenger    2,842

I think this is definitely possible, but if BvS delivers quality-wise it's going above 450m and I have Dory around TS3 numbers at the moment. So for now I'm out, BUT if The Good Dinosaur is excellent and/or breaks out big in November, I'll join this club.

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MrFanaticGuy34    1,550

Hmm. I'm still sticking with my $545M DOM.

1. Finding Dory: $545M

2. Captain America: Civil War: $415-465M

3. Batman Vs Superman: $405-455M

But my question is......why do people here tend to overestimate Marvel/DC movies and underestimate Pixar?

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peludo    3,908

Hmm. I'm still sticking with my $545M DOM.

1. Finding Dory: $545M

2. Captain America: Civil War: $415-465M

3. Batman Vs Superman: $405-455M

But my question is......why do people here tend to overestimate Marvel/DC movies and underestimate Pixar?

Well, it is not just a matter of brands. You are taking the amount of Finding Nemo adjusted and applying 3D to give a prediction for Finding Dory. You could do the same for Batman or Iron Man films, don't you think? The last 2 Batman films average $553m adjusted without 3D. And we do not take into account the appeal of a showdown against Superman, or Wonder Woman appearance. And the 3 last Iron Man films (IM3 and both Avengers) adjust to $500m. Maybe there are other people who are understimating Marvel/DC... At the end this is just a game and each one has their own opinions/feelings.

 

And let's remember that the two last big Pixar sequels, Toy Story 3 and Monsters University did not match enormous expectations. Maybe Monsters Inc is behind FN in popularity, but not Toy Story. I am a big defender of Pixar films. I love nearly all of them, but to think in well over $500m for FD is a quite risky prediction. Low it $100m and we could agree. On the other side, I do not see so strange to think in $500m figures for Batman or Avengers films (CA3 is in fact an Avengers movie). Just because it has already happened...

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Olive    23,428
1. Finding Dory: $460M
2. Batman Vs Superman: $415M
3. Captain America: Civil War: $375M
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Giesi    576

Well, it is not just a matter of brands. You are taking the amount of Finding Nemo adjusted and applying 3D to give a prediction for Finding Dory. You could do the same for Batman or Iron Man films, don't you think? The last 2 Batman films average $553m adjusted without 3D. And we do not take into account the appeal of a showdown against Superman, or Wonder Woman appearance. And the 3 last Iron Man films (IM3 and both Avengers) adjust to $500m. Maybe there are other people who are understimating Marvel/DC... At the end this is just a game and each one has their own opinions/feelings.

 

And let's remember that the two last big Pixar sequels, Toy Story 3 and Monsters University did not match enormous expectations. Maybe Monsters Inc is behind FN in popularity, but not Toy Story. I am a big defender of Pixar films. I love nearly all of them, but to think in well over $500m for FD is a quite risky prediction. Low it $100m and we could agree. On the other side, I do not see so strange to think in $500m figures for Batman or Avengers films (CA3 is in fact an Avengers movie). Just because it has already happened...

1. I don't think IM3 adjusts to $500m, maybe 415-420m.

2. TS3 was a huge success, it was the biggest movie of the year, great legs, only the second animated film to gross over $400m AND it even came out bigger than its two predecessors.

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peludo    3,908

1. I don't think IM3 adjusts to $500m, maybe 415-420m.

2. TS3 was a huge success, it was the biggest movie of the year, great legs, only the second animated film to gross over $400m AND it even came out bigger than its two predecessors.

1. I said last 3 Iron Man films (Avengers + IM3 + Ultron) / 3. If you adjust the 3 films and add the amounts you have 1.5 billion. Divided by 3, you have that the average of last 3 films where Iron Man has been in adjust to $500m. I consider CA3 as a new Avengers film, so I include the 2 team-up films in the operation.

 

2. TS3 was a huge success and still was "just" able to manage $415m, which means $435m adjusted. That seems a quite good prediction for Dory, IMHO. @MrFanaticGuy34 is talking about $540m and I see it a bit unrealistic.

 

And don't get me wrong. I love Pixar. It is one of the best things that have happened to cinema in last 20 years, but I think the two main SH brands have more appealing in US than the sequel of my well-beloved Nemo. Even more when both SH films promise to show the confrontation of extremely popular characters. I just try to be realistic. That's all.

Edited by peludo

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K1stpierre    16,611

Well you can't ignore the potential for bat vs sup, because it dies have wonder woman in it as well. I just don't think the legs will be high enough to get past dory, which I think will have tremendous legs because I think it'll appeal to pretty much anyone (not to mention the big family business).

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K1stpierre    16,611

I just want this to beat Shrek 2's DOM gross. That movie held that record for 11-12 years. Even longer than The Lion King.

I think Finding Dory would have to be dissapointing in order for that to happen. I see it going past it for sure.

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K1stpierre    16,611

Bumping this up, as we're past the 6 month mile. I'm officially closing this club February 1st, so it's before any knowledge of what BvS makes to make it fair.

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JonathanLB    1,320
On June 17, 2015 at 11:31 PM, DAJK said:

No (and never been) but rather just a blind fanboy who is letting his bias show :P

 

Why would that be biased?! I would be shocked if Rogue One isn't plus or minus $75M from $450M. I can't imagine anyone seriously thinks it won't hit $400M

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filmnerdjamie    2,863

Without question, this is the winner of the summer. But I'm not 100% sold on it conquering the year as a whole.

 

Maybe but Star Wars is still red hot and despite the wariness of two films back-to-back about the Death Star, I wouldn't underestimate Rogue One. On the fence here...

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MrFanaticGuy34    1,550
15 minutes ago, JonathanLB said:

 

Why would that be biased?! I would be shocked if Rogue One isn't plus or minus $75M from $450M. I can't imagine anyone seriously thinks it won't hit $400M

 

I don't think Rogue One will be that huge this year. It'll be a huge hit....but not enough to overcome Dory, though.

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34

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