cannastop Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 (edited) No reason we can't start this now. Edited June 4, 2016 by cannastop Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Original Allied Hacksaw Ridge La La Land Manchester by the Sea Passengers Adapted Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk The Light Between Oceans Silence Story of Your Life Sully Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Original: Allied Birth of a Nation Cafe Society La La Land Manchester by the Sea Adapted: Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk Fences The Light Between Oceans Silence Story of Your Life Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted May 17, 2016 Author Share Posted May 17, 2016 @tribefan695 @WrathOfHan Thanks for telling me about the presumed frontrunners. Can you think of any other contenders? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 19 minutes ago, cannastop said: @tribefan695 @WrathOfHan Thanks for telling me about the presumed frontrunners. Can you think of any other contenders? Lion, Moonlight, Sully, and Loving to name a few Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 I don't think Cafe Society is happening. Reviews are mixed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 (edited) Original: Allied Birth of a Nation Manchester By The Sea Passengers Zootopia Adapted: Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk The Light Between Oceans Hunt For The Wilder People Love & Friendship Silence Edited June 6, 2016 by slambros Editing my prediction list. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 3, 2016 Author Share Posted June 3, 2016 (edited) @slambros Hunt for the Wilder People is based on Wild Pork and Watercress by Barry Crump, so it's not in the right category there. Edited June 3, 2016 by cannastop Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted June 4, 2016 Share Posted June 4, 2016 Lion is supposed to be awful. Screened on TWC's yacht during Cannes and my friends heard people talking about how bad it was throughout the whole festival. The Austrailain Film Comission were promoting every film they had and explicitly didn't promote Lion. It tested more than a year ago and people didn't like it then either. I think it is keeping its release date so that TWC looks like less of a mess. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted June 6, 2016 Share Posted June 6, 2016 On 6/3/2016 at 1:42 PM, cannastop said: @slambros Hunt for the Wilder People is based on Wild Pork and Watercress by Barry Crump, so it's not in the right category there. On 6/4/2016 at 10:23 PM, TStechnij said: Lion is supposed to be awful. Screened on TWC's yacht during Cannes and my friends heard people talking about how bad it was throughout the whole festival. The Austrailain Film Comission were promoting every film they had and explicitly didn't promote Lion. It tested more than a year ago and people didn't like it then either. I think it is keeping its release date so that TWC looks like less of a mess. Thank you! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 10, 2016 Author Share Posted June 10, 2016 Justin Marks' screenplay for The Jungle Book is quite good. I wouldn't be totally shocked if it got a best adapted nomination. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 10, 2016 Share Posted June 10, 2016 (edited) New predictions: Original: 1. Manchester by the Sea 2. La La Land 3. Birth of a Nation 4. Rules Don't Apply 5. Loving Adapted: 1. Silence 2. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk 3. Fences 4. Story of Your Life 5. Passengers Edited June 10, 2016 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 21, 2016 Author Share Posted June 21, 2016 (edited) I found Wesley Lovell's site. He's a tomatometer critic, if that matters. Has a thing for predicting the awards. http://www.cinemasight.com/awards-history/89th-academy-awards-2016/89th-academy-awards-2016-the-hopefuls/ Quote Best Original Screenplay The Birth of a Nation – Nate Parker, Jean McGianni Celestin (c-3/11, n-5/19, o-5/19) Loving – Jeff Nichols (c-5/16, n-5/19) Manchester By the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan (c-5/31, n-5/31) The Promise – Terry George, Robin Swicord (c-5/31, n-5/31) Zootopia – Jared Bush, Phil Johnston, Byron Howard, Rich Moore, Josie Trinidad, Jim Reardon, Jennifer Lee (c-3/11, n-5/19) The Accountant – Bill Dubuque (c-3/11) Allied – Steven Knight (c-3/11) Hail, Caesar! – Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (c-3/11) La La Land – Damien Chazelle (c-3/11) Passengers – Jon Spaihts (c-3/11) Rules Don’t Apply – Warren Beatty (c-5/31) Best Adapted Screenplay Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk – Jean-Christoph Castelli (c-3/11, n-5/19, o-5/19) The BFG – Melissa Mathison (c-3/11, n-5/19) Fences – Tony Kushner (c-5/31, n-5/31) Silence – Jay Cocks (c-5/31, n-5/31) Sully – Todd Komarnicki (c-3/11, n-5/19) The Light Between Oceans – Derek Cianfrance (c-3/11) Patriots Day – Matt Charman, Eric Johnson, Paul Tamasy (c-3/11) Snowden – Oliver Stone, Kieran Fitzgerald (c-3/11) Edited June 21, 2016 by cannastop Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 BFG getting nominated? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 5, 2016 Author Share Posted July 5, 2016 http://www.vulture.com/2016/06/have-we-seen-any-major-oscar-contenders-yet.html Some buzz on Zootopia, The Lobster and Loving Quote I think Zootopia’s clever screenplay could earn a nod, too, especially since its themes of racial prejudice give it real-world heft, and Shakira’s “Try Anything” is well-positioned for a Best Original Song nomination since it’s played roughly one million times and performed in full at the end of the movie.I predict three nominations for Zootopia, then, which is more than I can say about any other movie that’s been released this year. ... And the dry, dystopian The Lobstermore than deserves consideration for its screenplay.Still, we’re not looking at juggernauts here. We didn’t find many this past month at the Cannes Film Festival, either, though that prestigious fest is usually good for at least one or two Best Picture nominees. The closest thing to a real contender Cannes could offer is Loving, a fact-based drama about a landmark case legalizing interracial marriage, though it left some Oscar watchers rather dry-eyed. Still, the film could find a better reception when it opens stateside this fall — plenty of critics who didn’t see it in Cannes will be eager to put their imprimatur on it — and the lead performances from Joel Edgerton and especially Ruth Negga will demand consideration. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 5, 2016 Author Share Posted July 5, 2016 http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/race/oscars-never-early-2016-hopefuls-903444 Quote Joining The Birth of a Nation, Zootopia, Manchester by the Sea and Loving on the list of contenders for best original screenplay, a category in which eccentricity is often rewarded, are a handful of very eccentric films:Ethan Coen and Joel Coen's Hail Caesar! (Feb. 1), Jeff Nichols' Midnight Special (March 18), Richard Linklater'sEverybody Wants Some!! (March 30), John Carney's Sing Street (April 15), Yorgos Lanthimos' The Lobster (May 13) and past winner Pedro Almodovar's Julieta (which debuted at Cannes and will be a top contender for best foreign language film if Spain submits it). I'm a Zootopia fanboy, of course, so I'm glad that my favored movie was casually mentioned here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 Hopefully not Zoptopia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 6, 2016 Share Posted July 6, 2016 On 7/5/2016 at 6:26 PM, cannastop said: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/race/oscars-never-early-2016-hopefuls-903444 I'm a Zootopia fanboy, of course, so I'm glad that my favored movie was casually mentioned here. And like all the other movies, it doesn't have a shot in hell at a Best Picture nomination. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 6, 2016 Author Share Posted July 6, 2016 2 minutes ago, filmlover said: And like all the other movies, it doesn't have a shot in hell at a Best Picture nomination. OK, but this is the screenplay thread. And why are Manchester by the Sea, Loving and The Birth of a Nation all far-fetched? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 6, 2016 Author Share Posted July 6, 2016 1 hour ago, Dexter of Suburbia said: Hopefully not Zoptopia. I think you might have forgotten that even if I'm obnoxiously waving the Zootopia banner, I'm not the only one who really likes it. And there's a strong precedent for movies like Zootopia to get screenplay nominations. Toy Story, Shrek, Finding Nemo, The Incredibles, Ratatouille, WALL-E, Up, Toy Story 3 and Inside Out. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...