Ezen Baklattan Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 Now that Moonlight/Loving are going the adapted route, here are my predicts. ORIGINAL 20th Century Women Hell or High Water La La Land The Lobster Manchester by the Sea ADAPTED Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight Silence Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 14, 2016 Author Share Posted December 14, 2016 12 minutes ago, Spaghetti said: Now that Moonlight/Loving are going the adapted route, here are my predicts. ORIGINAL 20th Century Women Hell or High Water La La Land The Lobster Manchester by the Sea ADAPTED Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight Silence Oh, damn, that really happened. http://deadline.com/2016/12/oscar-shakeup-moonlight-and-loving-not-eligible-for-original-screenplay-placed-adapted-script-category-1201870607/ Quote What does this mean for the Oscar writing race? It considerably opens up the field for Original Screenplay, where Moonlight was considered one of the front-runners, along with Manchester by the Sea and La La Land. Such scripts as Hell or High Water, Toni Erdmann, Zootopia, Jackie, The Lobster, Captain Fantastic and 20th Century Women among others also are fighting for a slot now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 i feel scared that captain fantastic might get a nomination now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 14, 2016 Author Share Posted December 14, 2016 (edited) Anyways, my prediction for these categories. Original: Manchester by the Sea (winner) La La Land Hell or High Water Jackie 20th Century Women Adapted: Moonlight (winner) Arrival Silence Fences Loving Weird coincidence that all of my adapted predictions are one-word titles. Yes, while I'm glad that Zootopia has a better chance at a nomination now, I know it's still a bit of a longshot. Edited December 14, 2016 by cannastop Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 If Manchester didn't have Original locked up before, it does now. Adapted gets more interesting with Moonlight vs Silence vs Fences. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 nah, i think moonlight got it easy. maybe silence if it does well there and they wanna give scorsese something. fences not a factor. arrival is probably higher than that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 (edited) I don't even see Fences getting nominated because it's such a literal adaptation of the play (from what people are saying). Edited December 14, 2016 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 14, 2016 Author Share Posted December 14, 2016 28 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: I don't even see Fences getting nominated because it's such a literal adaptation of the play (from what people are saying). But the adapted field is so weak that it might get in anyway, solely on its reputation as an Oscar movie. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 14, 2016 Share Posted December 14, 2016 12 minutes ago, cannastop said: But the adapted field is so weak that it might get in anyway, solely on its reputation as an Oscar movie. Moonlight, Silence, Arrival, and Hacksaw are all ahead of it, and it's probable that something like Lion takes the fifth spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 15, 2016 Author Share Posted December 15, 2016 1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said: Moonlight, Silence, Arrival, and Hacksaw are all ahead of it, and it's probable that something like Lion takes the fifth spot. Yeah, but why? What's so special about Lion? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 15, 2016 Share Posted December 15, 2016 i don't think hacksaw is ahead of it at all. even w/ it getting a picture nomination i don't think it's looking too likely for screenplay. even the folks that like it know it's cheesy as shit. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 18, 2016 Author Share Posted December 18, 2016 @filmlover @4815162342 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 I don't really get either the Arrival or the Love & Friendship screenplay love. The Original field is once again a lot stronger than Adapted this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 if moonlight is adapted , why is it being nominated as original everywhere ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted January 12, 2017 Author Share Posted January 12, 2017 On 1/10/2017 at 5:42 AM, BirdMan said: if moonlight is adapted , why is it being nominated as original everywhere ? Just because. The Oscars saw that it was based on an unproduced play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 49 minutes ago, cannastop said: Just because. The Oscars saw that it was based on an unproduced play. It certainly shakes up the competition! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 after seeing la la land and manchester i'm definitely thinking there's a strong chance la la land takes this too, unless they wanna give lonergan the consolation. you can see in their winners that the academy at least has a bit of "good screenplay = punchy dialogue" when they vote here. maybe manchester's structural intricacy will impress them but they tend to vote rather obvious (also i think they might LOVE llland enough to just say "well it's my favourite movie" and vote for it). hard to see two best screenplay winners where the protagonists don't do a lot of talking (i'm just assuming moonlight is gonna win adapted) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 King's Speech was based off of a unproduced play and won original. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Anyway, here: Original Screenplay: Captain Fantastic Hell or High Water La La Land The Lobster Manchester by the Sea Alt: Zootopia Adapted Screenplay: Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight Nocturnal Animals Alt: Arrival Edit: And I somehow put Lion twice, meant to put Arrival as a alt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted February 25, 2017 Share Posted February 25, 2017 Personal rankings: 1. Manchester by the Sea 2. Hell or High Water 3. The Lobster 4. La La Land 1. Arrival 2. Moonlight 3. Hidden Figures 4. Lion 5. Fences 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
