AndyLL Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 2 big openers this week: http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx Standings page now has May & Summer Season enabled. Now I know why @No Prisoners wanted that fixed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 (edited) 1 hour ago, AndyLL said: 2 big openers this week: http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx Standings page now has May & Summer Season enabled. Now I know why @No Prisoners wanted that fixed. Yup. Wanted to see my lead. I fudged up last weekend. Would I care if I was in last? No Prisoners 131 83.534% 3 77.769% 85.841% 6.491% Rolling Thunder 123 82.014% 3 73.792% 84.173% 4.971% moviecriticguy 117 81.527% 3 78.169% 83.026% 4.484% TalismanRing 113 81.456% 3 77.725% 82.639% 4.414% Matrix4You 112 80.788% 3 77.566% 82.989% 3.745% Last week for the monthly. Dust off the abacus. Good luck! Edited May 25, 2016 by No Prisoners 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 (edited) CA3 in trouble? X-men IMAX loss #CaptainHasAssFatigue Piracy Many depth charges hitting the captains sub. Dropping to 900 feet and imploding? Interesting picks again this weekend Edited May 25, 2016 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 (edited) On 5/25/2016 at 11:56 PM, AndyLL said: 2 big openers this week: http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx Standings page now has May & Summer Season enabled. Now I know why @No Prisoners wanted that fixed. Since Zootopia has dropped out of wide release, shouldn't it be removed from this week's lineup? Edited May 27, 2016 by johnboy3434 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 18 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said: Since Zootopia has dropped out of wide release, shouldn't it be removed from this week's lineup? The new openers replace whatever the bottom movies were last weekend (In this case, Mother's Day and Huntsman) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said: The new openers replace whatever the bottom movies were last weekend (In this case, Mother's Day and Huntsman) Ah, okay. I thought the list was wide releases only. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyLL Posted May 27, 2016 Author Share Posted May 27, 2016 2 hours ago, johnboy3434 said: Since Zootopia has dropped out of wide release, shouldn't it be removed from this week's lineup? 2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: The new openers replace whatever the bottom movies were last weekend (In this case, Mother's Day and Huntsman) In general I only do wide releases but typically I just drop the lowest BO movies each week. Zootopia I would have likely keep no matter what. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChipDerby Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 I think we're all screwed on Alice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 (edited) blah Edited May 28, 2016 by cannastop Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 (edited) 2 hours ago, ChipMunky said: I think we're all screwed on Alice. I'm 9M below the average, good enough for me. Edited May 27, 2016 by Tower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 (edited) 5 hours ago, ChipMunky said: I think we're all screwed on Alice. What do ya mean we? 35m Holdovers are going to be tricky. Especially Zoo and Darkness. Will be enough screwing going on to make Caligula 2 Edited May 28, 2016 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 1 hour ago, No Prisoners said: What do ya mean we? 35m Holdovers are going to be tricky. Especially Zoo and Darkness. Will be enough screwing going on to make Caligula 2 It's weird. Zootopia lost a shit ton of theaters, but its per theater average is most likely going up. The question is how much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 17 minutes ago, cannastop said: It's weird. Zootopia lost a shit ton of theaters, but its per theater average is most likely going up. The question is how much. Hard to say. I went with a 20% increase in PTA. Most movies slide more in PTA and the drop is harsher than the TC%. Rare for a movie to increase more than 20%. Could be .7m or 1.3m. Well know better in 2 hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 (edited) Deadline gave projections for just 7 movies. I checked a dozen scores @WrathOfHan @8wombi7 @Wildbill and myself are within a point of each other. Most others are 3-4pts behind or more. As usual projection will shift dramatically and there are 3 more picks that can be anywhere judging by the both very good(TJB) and bad(N2) holds so far. @Bates, you reversed Alice and Xmen. Costing you 13pts. Sorry to see that mistake. You and @Matrix4You will be close for top accuracy for the year at 84%~ @JMorphin you're just .9 outside the leader pack. Edited May 28, 2016 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 (edited) A look at the all time leaders and a few notables @WrathOfHan 88.1 uh oh. Look who it is, #myderbyisscrewedagain @JohnnY 87.7 No Prisoners 86.7 @JMorphin. 85.5 @8wombi7 84.7 @Bozly 85.0 @Wildbill. 84.3 @Matrix4You 83.0 @TalismanRing 84.1 @Rolling Thunder 82.8 @Bates 76.6 87.7 otherwise @moviecriticguy 76.5 Baumer makes a rare appearance @Baumer 81.4 Edited May 28, 2016 by No Prisoners 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, No Prisoners said: A look at the all time leaders and a few notables @WrathOfHan 88.1 uh oh. Look who it is, #myderbyisscrewedagain @JohnnY 87.7 No Prisoners 86.7 @JMorphin. 85.5 @8wombi7 84.7 @Bozly 85.0 @Wildbill. 84.3 @Matrix4You 83.0 @TalismanRing 84.1 @Rolling Thunder 82.8 @moviecriticguy 76.5 Baumer makes a rare appearance @Baumer 81.4 How do you get this even before the weekend numbers are final? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 1 minute ago, Baumer said: How do you get this even before the weekend numbers are final? This is just an indication of where the leaders are off the rough projections. Usually someone in the top 3 takes it. There can be a big shift when estimates and actuals come in. It's nice to see where ya stand. I do the math myself off each score. That's why it's just a sample. Others can check their score against this board. Matrix does a full spreadsheet later in the weekend. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 This is my first time playing. I think i picked a bad week to debut in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 34 minutes ago, Baumer said: This is my first time playing. I think i picked a bad week to debut in. I thought you had played before. Maybe star wars week? The first one? It is a hard week, anywhere over 80 is decent for a week like this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 28, 2016 Share Posted May 28, 2016 (edited) I'm probably going to start playing the Derby week after next, and I was wondering: How precise can the predictions be? In the archives, it all seems to be rounded to the 10,000s (meaning to the hundredths place in terms of millions). Is that as specific as the calculations go, or do they include numbers entered beyond those two places? Edited May 28, 2016 by johnboy3434 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...