You are Lord of the Apes, King of the Jungle. Derby. Derby. | Week 27

[AndyLL]

3 openers... fairly weak holdovers...   some big match ups in the tournament. 

 

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

[Rolling Thunder]

*Tries to read TalismanRing's mind*....well, that book is going in the garbage.  Should have steered clear of that budget bin at Walmart.  Plan B - get inside his head. 

[ChipDerby]

I think the openers have a fairly wide range, maybe not Purge 3... But will I whiff like I did on IDR?!

[Rolling Thunder]

It's hard not to mention The BFG to someone without making a colorful expletive out of it. 

[POTUS 2020]

On ‎6‎/‎28‎/‎2016 at 10:24 PM, Rolling Thunder said:

*Tries to read TalismanRing's mind*....well, that book is going in the garbage.  Should have steered clear of that budget bin at Walmart.  Plan B - get inside his head. 

I created a sheet. It has each player picks in order. no need to sort and mess up the page. Andy is first and entering estimates in the Actuals column next to him will change cells for everyone, no need to put them in next to your name.  I cannot get the leader totals to autosort. But you can cut and paste the names and scores onto another page then sort.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SxYIwcT_RXOanT_10b88hSpA17Gm_qYCSVT5Hxku1TY/edit?usp=sharing

I added Mojo's and BoxOffice.com's picks to see how they do against the experts

 

TalismanRing The BFG 18.40
TalismanRing The Legend of Tarzan 20.50
TalismanRing The Purge 3 25.60
TalismanRing Finding Dory 42.20
TalismanRing Independence Day: Resurgence 18.24
TalismanRing Central Intelligence 11.38
TalismanRing The Shallows 9.46
TalismanRing The Conjuring 2 3.75
TalismanRing Free State of Jones 4.04
TalismanRing Now You See Me 2 3.12

 

Rolling Thunder The BFG 22.15
Rolling Thunder The Legend of Tarzan 29.71
Rolling Thunder The Purge 3 23.27
Rolling Thunder Finding Dory 41.65
Rolling Thunder Independence Day: Resurgence 15.58
Rolling Thunder Central Intelligence 10.98
Rolling Thunder The Shallows 9.12
Rolling Thunder The Conjuring 2 3.16
Rolling Thunder Free State of Jones 3.91
Rolling Thunder Now You See Me 2 1.94

 

Looks like you didn't get inside his head or mine(Im very close to Tali), I think NYSM2 holds big

Balls out on Tarzan!! Good luck

Edited July 3, 2016 by No Prisoners

[Rolling Thunder]

Tarzan's reviews are rough, but based on the trailer response the last month or so, I think it will do pretty well.  Will definitely kill me it only opens around $20m.

Edited July 1, 2016 by Rolling Thunder

[WrathOfHan]

My tournament will be close this week  

Exxdee	WrathOfHan	Avg Prediction

Central Intelligence	10.03	10.94	$10.73M
Finding Dory	42.13	41.00	$41.95M
Free State of Jones	3.63	4.20	$3.82M
Independence Day: Resurgence	16.53	16.00	$17.66M
Now You See Me 2	3.43	3.20	$3.07M
The BFG	21.53	19.00	$21.87M
The Conjuring 2	3.73	3.90	$4.05M
The Legend of Tarzan	19.13	19.00	$21.02M
The Purge 3	25.33	26.00	$25.39M
The Shallows	8.53	9.50	$8.61M
Totals

[JohnnY]

i really underestimated openers this week

[POTUS 2020]

I adjusted deadlines projections with Friday multies from 2011

The BFG	20.50
The Legend of Tarzan	34.00
The Purge 3	32.20
Finding Dory	44.00
Independence Day: Resurgence	16.20
Central Intelligence	11.80
The Shallows	9.30
The Conjuring 2	3.60
Free State of Jones	4.30
Now You See Me 2	3.00

 

 

1	Matrix4You	92.98	25	SquareWatcher	85.37
2	nelmsey	89.86	26	beglobetrotter	85.11
3	bapi	89.57	27	kayumanggi	85.06
4	WrathOfHan	89.45	28	Tower	84.79
5	TalismanRing	89.34	29	BoxOfficeZ	84.66
6	CoolEric258	89.22	30	Viceversa	84.57
7	boxofficeth	88.07	31	Wrath	84.23
8	Simionski	87.86	32	JohnnY	83.08
9	narniadis	87.85	33	8wombi7	81.72
10	Fanboy	87.76	34	heh	81.57
11	Rolling Thunder	87.69	35	darkelf	81.53
12	Horror Wizard	87.66	36	ChipMunky	80.43
13	Boxx93	87.55	37	Lights Camera Action	80.24
14	AABATTERY	87.22	38	luxneji	80.05
15	PanaMovie	87.08	39	Blanks McCoy	79.80
16	Exxdee	86.68	40	e1828	76.63
17	Bozly	86.60	41	AndyLL	76.43
18	JMorphin	86.58	42	BoxOffice.com	76.32
19	No Prisoners	86.49	43	cannastop	75.77
20	Dipper	86.26	44	Wonka	75.22
21	moviecriticguy	85.98	45	BoxOfficeMojo	73.41
22	Spaghetti	85.97	46	24Lost	72.92
23	Olive	85.94	47	RandomJC	64.20
24	Wildbill	85.50

 

For those that use Mojo or BoxOffice.com as a guide for predictions, maybe not such a good idea

Uh oh, @Olive not far behind me. Im close to getting "iced"

Edited July 2, 2016 by No Prisoners

[TalismanRing]

I'm a tentative top 5 with that massive Tarzan whiff?  Huh...

 

If only I had read @Rolling Thunder's mind on that one I could have been a contender.

[JohnnY]

for god's sake why would anyone see tarzan? i cant believe this managed to attract enough people for a 25+ opening

[WrathOfHan]

WHAT  I thought I was doomed after lowballing BFG and Tarzan.

[POTUS 2020]

1	Matrix4You	91.37	24	Spaghetti	84.36
2	nelmsey	89.72	25	Olive	84.35
3	WrathOfHan	89.15	26	BoxOfficeZ	83.9
4	TalismanRing	88.59	27	SquareWatcher	83.7
5	bapi	88.38	28	Viceversa	83.68
6	Simionski	88.14	29	JMorphin	83.57
7	Boxx93	87.52	30	beglobetrotter	83.4
8	narniadis	87.41	31	Wrath	83.08
9	CoolEric258	87.21	32	JohnnY	82.02
10	PanaMovie	86.94	33	8wombi7	80.87
11	Horror Wizard	86.87	34	Lights Camera Action	80.34
12	AABATTERY	86.43	35	darkelf	79.93
13	Rolling Thunder	86.33	36	ChipMunky	79.61
14	Fanboy	85.89	37	luxneji	79.51
15	No Prisoners	85.68	38	Blanks McCoy	79.01
16	Wildbill	85.54	39	heh	78.37
17	boxofficeth	85.42	40	e1828	76.89
18	Dipper	85.34	41	BoxOffice.com	75.64
19	Exxdee	85.24	42	AndyLL	75.08
20	moviecriticguy	85.04	43	cannastop	74.95
21	kayumanggi	84.99	44	Wonka	74.56
22	Tower	84.58	45	BoxOfficeMojo	73.37
23	Bozly	84.58	46	24Lost	72.64
			47	RandomJC	62.79

 

@cannastop, you beat mojo

[PanaMovie]

This match with @Horror Wizard is going to be until actuals...

 

 

[Rolling Thunder]

I get the distinct feeling that at least a dozen players' week to week scores are attributable more to evolutionary skill than luck. 

[POTUS 2020]

15 hours ago, PanaMovie said:

This match with @Horror Wizard is going to be until actuals...

 

 

With @Rth sat #s your spread has widened and @TalismanRing takes the lead. BFG is dropping along with other projections

 

1	TalismanRing	90.40	25	Viceversa	85.26
2	Matrix4You	89.92	26	Tower	85.23
3	WrathOfHan	89.72	27	BoxOfficeZ	84.99
4	narniadis	89.62	28	beglobetrotter	84.76
5	PanaMovie	88.76	29	SquareWatcher	84.51
6	Boxx93	88.62	30	JohnnY	84.42
7	Simionski	88.61	31	Dipper	83.99
8	nelmsey	88.29	32	Wrath	83.92
9	bapi	87.43	33	8wombi7	83.20
10	Horror Wizard	87.34	34	Lights Camera Action	82.26
11	Wildbill	87.09	35	darkelf	82.18
12	kayumanggi	86.74	36	ChipMunky	79.70
13	CoolEric258	86.67	37	luxneji	79.59
14	No Prisoners	86.59	38	heh	78.63
15	Bozly	86.40	39	Blanks McCoy	77.77
16	AABATTERY	86.38	40	BoxOffice.com	77.17
17	Rolling Thunder	86.13	41	AndyLL	76.74
18	boxofficeth	86.06	42	e1828	76.00
19	Exxdee	85.96	43	Wonka	74.64
20	Spaghetti	85.73	44	cannastop	74.52
21	Fanboy	85.67	45	BoxOfficeMojo	74.31
22	Olive	85.57	46	24Lost	72.17
23	moviecriticguy	85.33	47	RandomJC	62.50
24	JMorphin	85.27

 

[Rolling Thunder]

I expect to rise to the Top 10 with actuals,which I'm happy with. 

[POTUS 2020]

I inputted BFG incorrectly for Mojo and BO. They improved but still in the bottom half

1	Matrix4You	90.70	25	BoxOfficeZ	86.03
2	WrathOfHan	89.77	26	beglobetrotter	85.99
3	narniadis	89.72	27	Dipper	85.98
4	TalismanRing	89.59	28	BoxOffice.com	85.97
5	Simionski	88.92	29	SquareWatcher	85.71
6	nelmsey	88.74	30	Tower	85.26
7	PanaMovie	88.60	31	Viceversa	85.15
8	bapi	88.55	32	Wrath	84.92
9	Horror Wizard	88.55	33	BoxOfficeMojo	84.09
10	Boxx93	88.34	34	JohnnY	83.94
11	boxofficeth	87.81	35	8wombi7	83.08
12	Fanboy	87.79	36	darkelf	82.09
13	CoolEric258	87.37	37	Lights Camera Action	81.04
14	AABATTERY	87.16	38	ChipMunky	80.80
15	Bozly	86.88	39	heh	80.54
16	kayumanggi	86.80	40	luxneji	79.60
17	Spaghetti	86.63	41	Blanks McCoy	79.17
18	Exxdee	86.61	42	AndyLL	77.89
19	Wildbill	86.56	43	e1828	77.15
20	No Prisoners	86.47	44	Wonka	75.93
21	Rolling Thunder	86.41	45	cannastop	74.44
22	JMorphin	86.28	46	24Lost	73.02
23	Olive	86.15	47	RandomJC	64.13
24	moviecriticguy	86.13

 

 

Edited July 3, 2016 by No Prisoners

[WrathOfHan]

I'm coming in for Derby and July Champion!

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Per Nile, Dory came in 800k below estimates and BFG 1M below. It looks like Olive will beat No Prisoners. Regarding the weekly standings, is it possible for me to be champion now that I'll hav a 98-99% score on Dory?  

for the 3rd time we have a new leader.....aaaaand its not you. so close

nile was a little low on FD according to BOM and Im still so slightly ahead in the tourney. Actuals wont be out until tomorrow, anything can happen

 

1	narniadis	90.01	25	Spaghetti	85.86
2	TalismanRing	89.64	26	AABATTERY	85.83
3	Matrix4You	89.62	27	Viceversa	85.30
4	WrathOfHan	89.54	28	Tower	85.26
5	PanaMovie	89.12	29	Dipper	85.22
6	Horror Wizard	88.77	30	Rolling Thunder	85.09
7	Simionski	88.73	31	SquareWatcher	84.93
8	Boxx93	87.99	32	BoxOfficeMojo	84.75
9	Bozly	87.59	33	JohnnY	84.42
10	nelmsey	87.55	34	Wrath	84.21
11	bapi	87.51	35	8wombi7	83.43
12	boxofficeth	87.45	36	darkelf	82.47
13	Fanboy	86.99	37	Lights Camera Action	81.08
14	kayumanggi	86.93	38	ChipMunky	80.20
15	JMorphin	86.60	39	heh	80.03
16	CoolEric258	86.55	40	luxneji	78.38
17	beglobetrotter	86.55	41	Blanks McCoy	78.12
18	BoxOfficeZ	86.54	42	AndyLL	77.89
19	No Prisoners	86.50	43	e1828	75.89
20	Wildbill	86.49	44	Wonka	75.04
21	Olive	86.39	45	cannastop	72.80
22	moviecriticguy	86.15	46	24Lost	72.33
23	BoxOffice.com	86.08	47	RandomJC	63.09
24	Exxdee	85.99