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cannastop

5 Animated Features in the top 10!

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As of August 10th, 2016, the top 10 of the year looks like this:

 

1 Finding Dory BV $475,063,961 4,305 $135,060,273 4,305 6/17 -
2 Captain America: Civil War BV $407,299,280 4,226 $179,139,142 4,226 5/6 -
3 Deadpool Fox $363,070,709 3,856 $132,434,639 3,558 2/12 6/16
4 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $362,761,271 4,144 $103,261,464 4,028 4/15 -
5 Zootopia BV $341,268,248 3,959 $75,063,401 3,827 3/4 8/4
6 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $330,360,194 4,256 $166,007,347 4,242 3/25 6/16
7 The Secret Life of Pets Uni. $325,419,170 4,381 $104,352,905 4,370 7/8 -
8 Suicide Squad WB $170,902,561 4,255 $133,682,248 4,255 8/5 -
9 X-Men: Apocalypse Fox $155,442,489 4,153 $65,769,562 4,150 5/27 7/28
10 Kung Fu Panda 3 Fox $143,528,619 3,987 $41,282,042 3,955 1/29 7/21

 

There are currently 4 animated features in the top 10, but that's going to change, of course. The biggest remaining animated features for 2016 are Moana and Sing, both of which I think can pass $330m dom, though Moana has a better chance, in my opinion. The only other movies that have a chance of breaking past $300m dom are Fantastic Beasts and Rogue One. Doctor Strange has a very slight chance of a breakout, but I think Marvel saturation will keep it comfortably under $250m dom. Therefore, I think the top 10 of the year might end up like this:

 

  1. Rogue One: $550m
  2. Finding Dory: $480m
  3. Cap 3: $408m
  4. The Jungle Book: $363.3m
  5. Deadpool: $363.1m
  6. The Secret Life of Pets: $359m
  7. Moana: $355m
  8. Zootopia: $341.3m
  9. Sing: $334m
  10. Batman v Superman: $330.4m

 

A similar situation happened in 2010, when Toy Story 3, Despicable Me, Shrek Forever After, How to Train your Dragon and Tangled were all in the top 10 of the year. The difference is that all of the movies are bigger now, even adjusted for ticket price inflation. And this trend could continue into the future.

 

Edited by cannastop
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28 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Same thing they said about Secret Life of Pets.


But yeah, it's a stretch goal at this point. $220m dom is way more likely than $320m dom.

 

Nah, I always thought SLOP had a good chance at hitting $300m. 

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For what's worth, I'm pretty sure that 2013 held the record for biggest DOM year ever for animation, at around 1.5B. Here is 2016's standing as of October 5th:

 

Finding Dory - 484.4M

The Secret Life Of Pets - 365M

Zootopia - 341.3M

Kung Fu Panda 3 - 143.5M

The Angry Birds Movie - 107.5M

Sausage Party - 96.8M

Ice Age: Collision Course - 63.8M

Kubo And The Two Strings - 46.8M

Storks - 39.6M

Norm Of The North - 17.1M

Ratchet & Clank - 8.8M

 

That's a total of 1.714.6B. Far and away crushing the previous record. And not only are some of those films (obviously Storks, but also Kubo and Fudge Party) not done yet, but we have yet to see the performances of Trolls, Moana and Sing. And while Trolls is really anybody's guess (I would say the Timberlake song served as effective marketing, even if the movie depends entirely on WOM to survive), Moana and Sing are set to do AT LEAST 400M combined, which would push the record past 2B DOM, unprecedented territory.

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