Sunshine, Light, and Joy

 

This is a post that I've been thinking about for awhile. Recently, I opened up the discussion to other members of the staff to get their feelings on the matter, and their opinions generally matched mine, which is this:

Within the last year or so, there's been a steady increase of negative posts in movie threads. We've always had some heated discussions for some movies, but recently things have not only gotten more histrionic in those threads (generally speaking, the CBM ones), but they've started to spread to other franchises and other movies as well. I'm not talking about out-and-out trolling, I'm talking about members feeling they have to consistently shit on a movie (or studio, or star) simply because they aren't interested in the current project or projects. With every piece of news about a movie, it's now a virtual guarantee that there's a flood of people rushing to say they think it sucks, they don't like the current trailer/tv spot/actor/actress/director/concept. And I get it -- we all have movies we don't like, movies which we think are bad ideas, industry people that just don't appeal to us. But there's a fine line between expressing your opinion about this and doing it so often, with such consistency, that the collective emphasis of all of it basically brings down the entire thread and thus the entire forum.

There's no easy answer to this. We don't want to crush freedom of expression here. But at the same time, the spirit of this forum is for people to have fun talking about the movies they love and the box-office runs they love.

To have fun.

And while it may be fun -- in a sense -- to personally vent about a movie, or to vent at people who dare to enjoy something you don't, it doesn't bring fun to our community. In fact, it generally drags down the overall fun for everyone else. We've had people repeatedly mention to us over the last several months or so that in some cases they don't even bother going into some threads -- even for movies they're curious about! -- because they just don't want to deal with the overall mess those threads contain. And frankly, that matches the personal opinion of most of the staff as well.

So this post is both a request and a warning. 

The request: Next time you feel like taking a dump on a movie (or a topic) for the dozenth time, take a moment to consider whether it's really worth it. People probably already have a good idea of what your attitude about the project is. Maybe just put your posting energy into a movie that you enjoy and love or are excited about.

The warning: The staff is going to be taking a closer look at some of these threads and we'll be more active with temp thread-bans if we think it'll help the overall vibe of the forum. I'd rather we don't have to, but it's not going to constrain any of you too much if you aren't allowed to post about a movie you supposedly don't care about anyway.

Remember the words of Bill and Ted: "Be Excellent to Each Other".

They're just movies, guys. It's about having fun.

Welcome to The Box Office Theory — Forums

Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to contribute to this site by submitting your own content or replying to existing content. You'll be able to customize your profile, receive reputation points as a reward for submitting content, while also communicating with other members via your own private inbox, plus much more! This message will be removed once you have signed in.

YourMother

Hooked On A Feeling: GOTGV2 OW over $150M

171 posts in this topic

Out still thinking 140m

2 people like this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, YourMother said:

Marvel is paying the critics again. GV2 at 92% at 36 reviews. Anymore takers/betrayals/defectors?

Paying critics? :rolleyes: please, tell me why Iron Fist got shit reviews if Marvel pays critics.  If people like the movie, they like the movie. Like who really gives a shit?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, cheesypoofs said:

Paying critics? :rolleyes: please, tell me why Iron Fist got shit reviews if Marvel pays critics.  If people like the movie, they like the movie. Like who really gives a shit?

It's a popular joke that Marvel pays critics.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, Hatebox said:

Easy in, even with the good but not outstanding reviews. Surprised people are doubting it.

I would love for it to do more, but the first did open with what about 98m? I think a 45-50m jump is fair. I over-predicted AoU and CW. My gut is telling me 145m for this which would be outstanding for it honestly because I'm sure legs will be good enough since it doesn't require you to see as many films as AoU and CW had.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, YourMother said:

It's a popular joke that Marvel pays critics.

I know, I just think it's ridiculous/

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, cheesypoofs said:

I know, I just think it's ridiculous/

If it were even true, DC fanboys don't realize it damages the genre as a whole.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 hours ago, DeeCee said:

The release pattern is so different both in Australia from the first one to this one and comparing Australia to Domestic that's it very hard to compare.

 

All things being equal the increase in Australia suggests a Domestic OW increase of around 150%.  I'm thinking $140-160m.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lol at the previous page. When you get successfully trolled by Napoleon, of all posters, you know your forum game is bad.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My range is $140-160m. I suspect it's more likely to surprise on the upside so I'm in. 

1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Posted (edited)

8 hours ago, JJ-8 said:

 

My thoughts for the weekend

 

thurs 1.2m

fri 2.4m

sat 3.3m

sun 3.2m

 

10.1m weekend. 

 

I suspect if if we had a normal 4 day we would gotten something close to this

thurs 3.5m

fri 3m

sat 3.5m

sun 3.4m

13.4m ow. 

 

For comparison opening weekends

Civil war AU = 14m

civil war us = 179m

GOTG 2 projected us = 171m

 

using GOTG

GOTG Au = 6.6m / 8.9m. I'm using 8m ow in this case to compare. 

Gotg us = 94m

project us opening = 157m

 

i think above 150m us opening looks very likely based on this. I think around 165m seems right at this point but I should note the range here is still 150m to 170m. 

 

 

 

 

 

Can someone help me with the AUD to USD OW conversion?

Edited by YourMother

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

oh yep i'm in ... 165m is my prediction (based upon what yourmother quoted above.... )  still an extrapolation... but we will know more by monday once we have the final AUD numbers in.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, YourMother said:

Can someone help me with the AUD to USD OW conversion?

 

see my post in the AU thread ... hopefully explains it better!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

After the weak increases in overseas markets, I'm worried about this club.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think it's gonna be close

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Since I've only seen the one BOGO deal (from weeks ago), I'm gonna be OUT.  I think this will land somewhere in the $130s OW and the low $300s for total BO...

 

I know that's pessimistic, but when people say there is no plot, that's not a selling point.  Even Deadpool, which went the total humor route, had a surprisingly tight plot to hang its humor on.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Posted (edited)

50 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Since I've only seen the one BOGO deal (from weeks ago), I'm gonna be OUT.  I think this will land somewhere in the $130s OW and the low $300s for total BO...

 

I know that's pessimistic, but when people say there is no plot, that's not a selling point.  Even Deadpool, which went the total humor route, had a surprisingly tight plot to hang its humor on.

 

The plot is really simple, but the film has a plot and it's really funny, emotional and exciting... i really don't think the simple plot will affect this, it has a lot of qualities.

 

Also the wom seems really good in a lot of markets the film is already released [including here in Brazil]

Edited by ThomasNicole
1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

$101.2M international opening weekend, minus China, South Korea and Russia.

 

What can we deduce from that?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

The plot is really simple, but the film has a plot and it's really funny, emotional and exciting... i really don't think the simple plot will affect this, it has a lot of qualities.

 

Also the wom seems really good in a lot of markets the film is already released [including here in Brazil]

 

I'm going for the characters, not a plot.  I don't even remember the last one, just that Groot saved the day, but I loved it.

3 people like this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Highest overseas gross ahead of a domestic release.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!


Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.


Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.