I'm one with the Force, the Force is with Derby | Week 52

[AndyLL]

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

[Rolling Thunder]

Interesting, no Why Him? - would have been a definite Derby Denter.

[3dHene]

Forgot to get my picks in each of the last two weeks, I will start inputting earlier in the week.

[AndyLL]

3 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Interesting, no Why Him? - would have been a definite Derby Denter.

 

I didn't see it.

[POTUS 2020]

 

Xmas Derby Sheet. Gifts or coal? Coal is not a bad thing if you're in Siberia.  Good Luck

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1LDbefjX_LTo2ESTzdnJwAV1FmC2vubTIt8AsxBnn-50/edit?usp=sharing

[PanaMovie]

So....I guess I'm in the next round already?

[WrathOfHan]

Updated RO and the three openers based on their early Friday numbers. My Tournament match could come down to the wire  

[dxmatrixdt]

This is week #52.  is this the last week for the year standings?????

[TalismanRing]

1 hour ago, Matrix4You said:

This is week #52.  is this the last week for the year standings?????

 

I hope so.

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

This is week #52.  is this the last week for the year standings?????

 

51 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

I hope so.   

Next Friday is this year. One more week. You're looking good @TalismanRing.  @Bates will take accuracy prize unless he lets Deadline do his picks next week.

 

LLL not reported, it expands Sunday, who knows where that will land til Tuesday. The scores are out of 90%. Everyone should go up 5-10% when we get some kind of number for LLL

1		Wildbill 8	84.65		TalismanRing 1	80.47
2		8wombi7 4	83.91		Padre 33	79.37
3		Simionski 7	83.44		l
4		Bates 5	82.18		Boxx93 17	67.57
5		darkelf 10	82.15		JMorphin 16	75.34
6		Matrix4You 2	80.50
7		TalismanRing 1	80.47		moviecriticguy 9	80.28
8		moviecriticguy 9	80.28		cannastop 24	74.62
9		kswiston 40	79.50		l
10		Padre 33	79.37		kswiston 40	79.50
11		POTUS 3	79.05		Wildbill 8	84.65
12		Eevin 39	78.34
		ChipMunky 18	78.16		Bates 5	82.18
13		a2knet 34	78.02		HarryHERTZ 37	59.10
14		Jason 30	77.99		l
15		PanaMovie 11	77.61		Blankments 21	58.84
16		Dbot1800	77.58		Tower 12	72.52
17		Exxdee	76.85
18		Derby Average	76.14		kayumanggi 20	59.99
19		Rolling Thunder 6	75.44		Wrath 13	58.57
20		JMorphin 16	75.34		l
21		AABATTERY	75.04		Fancyarcher 36	62.54
22		cannastop 24	74.62		8wombi7 4	83.91
23		Tower 12	72.52
24		boxofficeth 14	71.01		POTUS 3	79.05
25		bapi 19	69.85		Jason 30	77.99
26		Boxx93 17	67.57		l
27		CoolEric258 27	67.54		bapi 19	69.85
28		WrathOfHan 15	67.32		boxofficeth 14	71.01
29		Fancyarcher 36	62.54
30		3dHene	62.11		PanaMovie 11	77.61
31		kayumanggi 20	59.99		Spaghetti 22	0.00
32		BoxOfficeZ	59.32		l
33		harryHERTZ 37	59.10		CoolEric258 27	67.54
34		luxneji	58.96		Rolling Thunder 6	75.44
35		Blankments 21	58.84
36		Wrath 13	58.57		Simionski 7	83.44
37		Admiral Ackbar	56.70		Eevin 39	78.34
38		Lights Camera Action	54.59		l
39		Viceversa 23	39.96		Viceversa 23	39.96
					darkelf 10	82.15
					WrathOfHan 15	67.32
					ChipMunky 18	78.16
					l
					a2knet 34	78.02
					Matrix4You 2	80.50

Edited December 24, 2016 by POTUS

[WrathOfHan]

Why the fuck do I even try?  

[aabattery]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Why the fuck do I even try?  

 

for the sweet sweet feeling when you fluke your way into the top 10

[POTUS 2020]

BO.com multies are a little off. I put 4,8m for LLL based on similar MBS performance and doubled sunday projection

oh my @Padre taking out #1

1		Padre 33	93.33		TalismanRing 1	84.87
2		darkelf 10	91.73		Padre 33	93.33
3		8wombi7 4	90.10		l
4		Dbot1800	89.48		Boxx93 17	71.25
5		Bates 5	89.06		JMorphin 16	85.56
6		Wildbill 8	88.69
7		Eevin 39	87.66		moviecriticguy 9	85.67
8		POTUS 3	87.50		cannastop 24	80.76
9		ChipMunky 18	87.26		l
10		Matrix4You 2	86.00		kswiston 40	85.62
11		moviecriticguy 9	85.67		Wildbill 8	88.69
12		kswiston 40	85.62
13		JMorphin 16	85.56		Bates 5	89.06
14		Simionski 7	85.05		harryHERTZ 37	59.00
15		TalismanRing 1	84.87		l
16		PanaMovie 11	84.43		Blankments 21	62.76
17		Exxdee	82.40		Tower 12	73.18
18		a2knet 34	82.27
19		Jason 30	82.07		kayumanggi 20	65.93
		Derby Average	81.70		Wrath 13	59.05
20		AABATTERY	81.47		l
21		cannastop 24	80.76		Fancyarcher 36	66.11
22		Rolling Thunder 6	78.75		8wombi7 4	90.10
23		bapi 19	74.15
24		Tower 12	73.18		POTUS 3	87.50
25		boxofficeth 14	72.75		Jason 30	82.07
26		3dHene	72.30		l
27		Boxx93 17	71.25		bapi 19	74.15
28		WrathOfHan 15	71.18		boxofficeth 14	72.75
29		CoolEric258 27	68.76
30		Fancyarcher 36	66.11		PanaMovie 11	84.43
31		kayumanggi 20	65.93		Spaghetti 22	0.00
32		luxneji	64.83		l
33		BoxOfficeZ	63.15		CoolEric258 27	68.76
34		Blankments 21	62.76		Rolling Thunder 6	78.75
35		Lights Camera Action	59.15
36		Wrath 13	59.05		Simionski 7	85.05
37		harryHERTZ 37	59.00		Eevin 39	87.66
38		Admiral Ackbar	58.09		l
39		Viceversa 23	40.24		Viceversa 23	40.24
		AndyLL	0.00		darkelf 10	91.73
			0.00
			0.00		WrathOfHan 15	71.18
			0.00		ChipMunky 18	87.26
			0.00		l
			0.00		a2knet 34	82.27
			0.00		Matrix4You 2	86.00

 

 

 

Edited December 24, 2016 by POTUS

[kswiston]

I'm new to the derby. Are the scores just tentative at the moment until we get actual Sat/Sun numbers?

 

I messed up La La Land, which might keep me out of the top 10. For some reason, I thought the expansion was Friday...

 

Being off with your predictions is fine. We all make our educated guesses. Being off on your predictions due to faulty underlying info is annoying.

Edited December 24, 2016 by kswiston

[dxmatrixdt]

5 minutes ago, kswiston said:

I'm new to the derby. Are the scores just tentative at the moment until we get actual Sat/Sun numbers?

 

I messed up La La Land, which might keep me out of the top 10. For some reason, I thought the expansion was Friday...

 

Being off with your predictions is fine. We all make our educated guesses. Being off on your predictions due to faulty underlying info is annoying.

 

these are temporary results based on current projections.  Upload all the derby entries into excel.  then you can make columns for the projections and use math to generate scores.  you can even tinker around with projections to see where scores are headed.  Generally you see a particular direction that gives a sense of what went right/wrong for the weekend in cinema

[POTUS 2020]

On Saturday, December 24, 2016 at 7:44 PM, kswiston said:

I'm new to the derby. Are the scores just tentative at the moment until we get actual Sat/Sun numbers?

 

I messed up La La Land, which might keep me out of the top 10. For some reason, I thought the expansion was Friday...

 

Being off with your predictions is fine. We all make our educated guesses. Being off on your predictions due to faulty underlying info is annoying.

Andy post official results after actuals come out. 

This sheet I made is for everyone to have a look at each other's picks and scores. Feel free to look at it and toy with projections.  Just change the red numbers next to Andy's picks.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1LDbefjX_LTo2ESTzdnJwAV1FmC2vubTIt8AsxBnn-50/edit?usp=sharing

[POTUS 2020]

It looked like there were going to be a few big upsets however all but one turned around.

@Jason took the lead on me but he is no bottom seed, MoFo is a Johnny come lately playa. Top accuracy for the season. Yes I am making an excuse should I lose.

@8wombi7 still on fire. Nice to see new faces in the top ten, Congrats @kswiston, @Eevin and @Padre

Top accuracy since beginning of Nov

Jason	181	88.700%	6	89.929%	88.595%	4.365%
Bates	236	88.562%	7	84.718%	91.403%	6.819%
Matrix4You	230	87.377%	7	77.331%	91.549%	5.635%
CJohn	45	87.107%	2	78.888%	90.629%	1.729%
TalismanRing	207	87.073%	7	83.572%	89.586%	5.331%
8wombi7	202	86.720%	7	80.579%	90.488%	4.978%
POTUS	204	86.451%	7	78.022%	91.535%	4.709%
Exxdee	170	86.379%	6	80.762%	89.911%	4.375%

 

1		8wombi7 4	93.81		TalismanRing 1		91.08
2		Simionski 7	91.29		Padre 33		88.22
3		TalismanRing 1	91.08		l
4		Bates 5	90.82		Boxx93 17		81.38
5		kswiston 40	89.94		JMorphin 16		87.76
6		Eevin 39	89.75
7		moviecriticguy 9	88.74		moviecriticguy 9		88.74
8		Wildbill 8	88.33		cannastop 24		78.26
9		Padre 33	88.22		l
10		Matrix4You 2	88.04		kswiston 40		89.94
11		Jason 30	87.95		Wildbill 8		88.33
12		JMorphin 16	87.76
13		Derby Average	87.69		Bates 5		90.82
14		POTUS 3	87.39		harryHERTZ 37		69.13
15		darkelf 10	87.12		l
16		a2knet 34	86.03		Blankments 21		67.67
17		bapi 19	85.48		Tower 12		76.37
18		PanaMovie 11	85.01
19		AABATTERY	84.36		kayumanggi 20		74.83
		ChipMunky 18	83.72		Wrath 13		71.51
20		Dbot1800	81.90		l
21		WrathOfHan 15	81.81		Fancyarcher 36		72.08
22		Boxx93 17	81.38		8wombi7 4		93.81
23		Rolling Thunder 6	81.07
24		boxofficeth 14	79.82		POTUS 3		87.39
25		Exxdee	79.01		Jason 30		87.95
26		cannastop 24	78.26		l
27		Tower 12	76.37		bapi 19		85.48
28		kayumanggi 20	74.83		boxofficeth 14		79.82
29		CoolEric258 27	73.63
30		Fancyarcher 36	72.08		PanaMovie 11		85.01
31		Wrath 13	71.51		Spaghetti 22		0
32		BoxOfficeZ	70.21		l
33		3dHene	70.18		CoolEric258 27		73.63
34		harryHERTZ 37	69.13		Rolling Thunder 6		81.07
35		Lights Camera Action	68.92
36		Blankments 21	67.67		Simionski 7		91.29
37		Admiral Ackbar	65.71		Eevin 39		89.75
38		luxneji	64.57		l
39		Viceversa 23	54.11		Viceversa 23		54.11
		AndyLL	0.00		darkelf 10		87.12
			0.00
			0.00		WrathOfHan 15		81.81
			0.00		ChipMunky 18		83.72
			0.00		l
			0.00		a2knet 34		86.03
			0.00		Matrix4You 2		88.04

 

Edited December 26, 2016 by POTUS

[WrathOfHan]

		ChipMunky 18	83.72
20		Dbot1800	81.90		l
21		WrathOfHan 15	81.81

 

 

[AndyLL]

28 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

		ChipMunky 18	83.72
20		Dbot1800	81.90		l
21		WrathOfHan 15	81.81

 

 

 

Actuals could easily flip those.

 

Spoiler

Or make it worst

 

[Eevin]

I feel very proud! Probably still going to lose the tournament unless Assassin's Creed rises by $2m in actuals. I knew I should have gone lower on it. We'll see, I guess.