The Eternal Camping Indiegogo campaign by Water Bottle is now live! Check it out, donate, spread the word!

Welcome to The Box Office Theory — Forums

Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to contribute to this site by submitting your own content or replying to existing content. You'll be able to customize your profile, receive reputation points as a reward for submitting content, while also communicating with other members via your own private inbox, plus much more! This message will be removed once you have signed in.

AndyLL

I'm one with the Force, the Force is with Derby | Week 52

29 posts in this topic

Forgot to get my picks in each of the last two weeks, I will start inputting earlier in the week.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Interesting, no Why Him? - would have been a definite Derby Denter.

 

I didn't see it.

1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Updated RO and the three openers based on their early Friday numbers. My Tournament match could come down to the wire :kitschjob: 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Matrix4You said:

This is week #52.  is this the last week for the year standings?????

 

I hope so. :ph34r:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

This is week #52.  is this the last week for the year standings?????

 

51 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

I hope so. :ph34r:  

Next Friday is this year. One more week. You're looking good @TalismanRing@Bates will take accuracy prize unless he lets Deadline do his picks next week.

 

LLL not reported, it expands Sunday, who knows where that will land til Tuesday. The scores are out of 90%. Everyone should go up 5-10% when we get some kind of number for LLL

1   Wildbill 8 84.65   TalismanRing 1 80.47
2   8wombi7 4 83.91   Padre 33 79.37
3   Simionski 7 83.44   l  
4   Bates 5 82.18   Boxx93 17 67.57
5   darkelf 10 82.15   JMorphin 16 75.34
6   Matrix4You 2 80.50      
7   TalismanRing 1 80.47   moviecriticguy 9 80.28
8   moviecriticguy 9 80.28   cannastop 24 74.62
9   kswiston 40 79.50   l  
10   Padre 33 79.37   kswiston 40 79.50
11   POTUS 3 79.05   Wildbill 8 84.65
12   Eevin 39 78.34      
    ChipMunky 18 78.16   Bates 5 82.18
13   a2knet 34 78.02   HarryHERTZ 37 59.10
14   Jason 30 77.99   l  
15   PanaMovie 11 77.61   Blankments 21 58.84
16   Dbot1800 77.58   Tower 12 72.52
17   Exxdee 76.85      
18   Derby Average 76.14   kayumanggi 20 59.99
19   Rolling Thunder 6 75.44   Wrath 13 58.57
20   JMorphin 16 75.34   l  
21   AABATTERY 75.04   Fancyarcher 36 62.54
22   cannastop 24 74.62   8wombi7 4 83.91
23   Tower 12 72.52      
24   boxofficeth 14 71.01   POTUS 3 79.05
25   bapi 19 69.85   Jason 30 77.99
26   Boxx93 17 67.57   l  
27   CoolEric258 27 67.54   bapi 19 69.85
28   WrathOfHan 15 67.32   boxofficeth 14 71.01
29   Fancyarcher 36 62.54      
30   3dHene 62.11   PanaMovie 11 77.61
31   kayumanggi 20 59.99   Spaghetti 22 0.00
32   BoxOfficeZ 59.32   l  
33   harryHERTZ 37 59.10   CoolEric258 27 67.54
34   luxneji 58.96   Rolling Thunder 6 75.44
35   Blankments 21 58.84      
36   Wrath 13 58.57   Simionski 7 83.44
37   Admiral Ackbar 56.70   Eevin 39 78.34
38   Lights Camera Action 54.59   l  
39   Viceversa 23 39.96   Viceversa 23 39.96
          darkelf 10 82.15
             
          WrathOfHan 15 67.32
          ChipMunky 18 78.16
          l  
          a2knet 34 78.02
          Matrix4You 2 80.50
Edited by POTUS
1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Why the fuck do I even try? :sadben: 

1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Why the fuck do I even try? :sadben: 

 

for the sweet sweet feeling when you fluke your way into the top 10

3 people like this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

BO.com multies are a little off. I put 4,8m for LLL based on similar MBS performance and doubled sunday projection

oh my @Padre taking out #1

1   Padre 33 93.33   TalismanRing 1 84.87
2   darkelf 10 91.73   Padre 33 93.33
3   8wombi7 4 90.10   l  
4   Dbot1800 89.48   Boxx93 17 71.25
5   Bates 5 89.06   JMorphin 16 85.56
6   Wildbill 8 88.69      
7   Eevin 39 87.66   moviecriticguy 9 85.67
8   POTUS 3 87.50   cannastop 24 80.76
9   ChipMunky 18 87.26   l  
10   Matrix4You 2 86.00   kswiston 40 85.62
11   moviecriticguy 9 85.67   Wildbill 8 88.69
12   kswiston 40 85.62      
13   JMorphin 16 85.56   Bates 5 89.06
14   Simionski 7 85.05   harryHERTZ 37 59.00
15   TalismanRing 1 84.87   l  
16   PanaMovie 11 84.43   Blankments 21 62.76
17   Exxdee 82.40   Tower 12 73.18
18   a2knet 34 82.27      
19   Jason 30 82.07   kayumanggi 20 65.93
    Derby Average 81.70   Wrath 13 59.05
20   AABATTERY 81.47   l  
21   cannastop 24 80.76   Fancyarcher 36 66.11
22   Rolling Thunder 6 78.75   8wombi7 4 90.10
23   bapi 19 74.15      
24   Tower 12 73.18   POTUS 3 87.50
25   boxofficeth 14 72.75   Jason 30 82.07
26   3dHene 72.30   l  
27   Boxx93 17 71.25   bapi 19 74.15
28   WrathOfHan 15 71.18   boxofficeth 14 72.75
29   CoolEric258 27 68.76      
30   Fancyarcher 36 66.11   PanaMovie 11 84.43
31   kayumanggi 20 65.93   Spaghetti 22 0.00
32   luxneji 64.83   l  
33   BoxOfficeZ 63.15   CoolEric258 27 68.76
34   Blankments 21 62.76   Rolling Thunder 6 78.75
35   Lights Camera Action 59.15      
36   Wrath 13 59.05   Simionski 7 85.05
37   harryHERTZ 37 59.00   Eevin 39 87.66
38   Admiral Ackbar 58.09   l  
39   Viceversa 23 40.24   Viceversa 23 40.24
    AndyLL 0.00   darkelf 10 91.73
      0.00      
      0.00   WrathOfHan 15 71.18
      0.00   ChipMunky 18 87.26
      0.00   l  
      0.00   a2knet 34 82.27
      0.00   Matrix4You 2 86.00

 

 

 

Edited by POTUS
1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm new to the derby. Are the scores just tentative at the moment until we get actual Sat/Sun numbers?

 

I messed up La La Land, which might keep me out of the top 10. For some reason, I thought the expansion was Friday...

 

Being off with your predictions is fine. We all make our educated guesses. Being off on your predictions due to faulty underlying info is annoying.

Edited by kswiston
2 people like this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, kswiston said:

I'm new to the derby. Are the scores just tentative at the moment until we get actual Sat/Sun numbers?

 

I messed up La La Land, which might keep me out of the top 10. For some reason, I thought the expansion was Friday...

 

Being off with your predictions is fine. We all make our educated guesses. Being off on your predictions due to faulty underlying info is annoying.

 

these are temporary results based on current projections.  Upload all the derby entries into excel.  then you can make columns for the projections and use math to generate scores.  you can even tinker around with projections to see where scores are headed.  Generally you see a particular direction that gives a sense of what went right/wrong for the weekend in cinema

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On Saturday, December 24, 2016 at 7:44 PM, kswiston said:

I'm new to the derby. Are the scores just tentative at the moment until we get actual Sat/Sun numbers?

 

I messed up La La Land, which might keep me out of the top 10. For some reason, I thought the expansion was Friday...

 

Being off with your predictions is fine. We all make our educated guesses. Being off on your predictions due to faulty underlying info is annoying.

Andy post official results after actuals come out. 

This sheet I made is for everyone to have a look at each other's picks and scores. Feel free to look at it and toy with projections.  Just change the red numbers next to Andy's picks.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1LDbefjX_LTo2ESTzdnJwAV1FmC2vubTIt8AsxBnn-50/edit?usp=sharing

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It looked like there were going to be a few big upsets however all but one turned around.

@Jason took the lead on me but he is no bottom seed, MoFo is a Johnny come lately playa. Top accuracy for the season. Yes I am making an excuse should I lose.

@8wombi7 still on fire. Nice to see new faces in the top ten, Congrats @kswiston, @Eevin and @Padre

Top accuracy since beginning of Nov

Jason 181 88.700% 6 89.929% 88.595% 4.365%
Bates 236 88.562% 7 84.718% 91.403% 6.819%
Matrix4You 230 87.377% 7 77.331% 91.549% 5.635%
CJohn 45 87.107% 2 78.888% 90.629% 1.729%
TalismanRing 207 87.073% 7 83.572% 89.586% 5.331%
8wombi7 202 86.720% 7 80.579% 90.488% 4.978%
POTUS 204 86.451% 7 78.022% 91.535% 4.709%
Exxdee 170 86.379% 6 80.762% 89.911% 4.375%

 

1   8wombi7 4 93.81   TalismanRing 1   91.08
2   Simionski 7 91.29   Padre 33   88.22
3   TalismanRing 1 91.08   l    
4   Bates 5 90.82   Boxx93 17   81.38
5   kswiston 40 89.94   JMorphin 16   87.76
6   Eevin 39 89.75        
7   moviecriticguy 9 88.74   moviecriticguy 9   88.74
8   Wildbill 8 88.33   cannastop 24   78.26
9   Padre 33 88.22   l    
10   Matrix4You 2 88.04   kswiston 40   89.94
11   Jason 30 87.95   Wildbill 8   88.33
12   JMorphin 16 87.76        
13   Derby Average 87.69   Bates 5   90.82
14   POTUS 3 87.39   harryHERTZ 37   69.13
15   darkelf 10 87.12   l    
16   a2knet 34 86.03   Blankments 21   67.67
17   bapi 19 85.48   Tower 12   76.37
18   PanaMovie 11 85.01        
19   AABATTERY 84.36   kayumanggi 20   74.83
    ChipMunky 18 83.72   Wrath 13   71.51
20   Dbot1800 81.90   l    
21   WrathOfHan 15 81.81   Fancyarcher 36   72.08
22   Boxx93 17 81.38   8wombi7 4   93.81
23   Rolling Thunder 6 81.07        
24   boxofficeth 14 79.82   POTUS 3   87.39
25   Exxdee 79.01   Jason 30   87.95
26   cannastop 24 78.26   l    
27   Tower 12 76.37   bapi 19   85.48
28   kayumanggi 20 74.83   boxofficeth 14   79.82
29   CoolEric258 27 73.63        
30   Fancyarcher 36 72.08   PanaMovie 11   85.01
31   Wrath 13 71.51   Spaghetti 22   0
32   BoxOfficeZ 70.21   l    
33   3dHene 70.18   CoolEric258 27   73.63
34   harryHERTZ 37 69.13   Rolling Thunder 6   81.07
35   Lights Camera Action 68.92        
36   Blankments 21 67.67   Simionski 7   91.29
37   Admiral Ackbar 65.71   Eevin 39   89.75
38   luxneji 64.57   l    
39   Viceversa 23 54.11   Viceversa 23   54.11
    AndyLL 0.00   darkelf 10   87.12
      0.00        
      0.00   WrathOfHan 15   81.81
      0.00   ChipMunky 18   83.72
      0.00   l    
      0.00   a2knet 34   86.03
      0.00   Matrix4You 2   88.04

 

Edited by POTUS
3 people like this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
    ChipMunky 18 83.72        
20   Dbot1800 81.90   l    
21   WrathOfHan 15 81.81  

 

:sadben: 

1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
28 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
    ChipMunky 18 83.72        
20   Dbot1800 81.90   l    
21   WrathOfHan 15 81.81  

 

:sadben: 

 

Actuals could easily flip those.

 

Spoiler

Or make it worst

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I feel very proud! Probably still going to lose the tournament unless Assassin's Creed rises by $2m in actuals. I knew I should have gone lower on it. We'll see, I guess. 

2 people like this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!


Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.


Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • Who's Chatting

    There are no users currently in the chat room