Olive Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 (edited) share your thoughts. Edited December 1, 2017 by Olive Skywalker new content Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 (edited) Movies that has 1B yuan potential: Domestic: Journey to the West 2（西遊伏妖篇） - 2.0~2.5B Buddies in India（大鬧天竺） - 1.2~1.5B Duckweed(乘風破浪) - 1.0~1.1B Kung Fu Yoga（功夫瑜伽）- 800M~1B Wukong（悟空傳）-800M~1B The Thousand Faces of Dunjia（奇門遁甲）-1B Hollywood: Kong - 1B Fast 8 - 2~2.5B Guardians vol2 - 1.0~1.2B Pirates 5 - 1.0~1.1B Transformers 5 - 2.0~2.5B War of Planet Apes - 900M~1B SPIDER-MAN - 900M~1B Dunkirk - 1B+ Mummy - ? Thor: Ragnarok - ? Edited December 28, 2016 by Olive 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 hours ago, Olive said: Movies that has 1B yuan potential: Domestic: Journey to the West 2（西遊伏妖篇） - 2.0~2.5B Buddies in India（大鬧天竺） - 1.2~1.5B Duckweed(乘風破浪) - 1.0~1.1B Kung Fu Yoga（功夫瑜伽）- 800M~1B Wukong（悟空傳）-800M~1B The Thousand Faces of Dunjia（奇門遁甲）-1B Hollywood: Kong - 1B Fast 8 - 2~2.5B Guardians vol2 - 1.0~1.2B Pirates 5 - 1.0~1.1B Transformers 5 - 2.0~2.5B War of Planet Apes - 900M~1B SPIDER-MAN - 900M~1B Dunkirk - 1B+ Mummy - ? Thor: Ragnarok - ? And T2? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, efialtes76 said: And T2? I doubt it be as big as Titanic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 (edited) I'm curious as to your thoughts why Dunkirk is a potential 1B grosser in China. I know Hacksaw Ridge has done pretty well relatively, and Nolan's films have done pretty well in China historically, but outside of that, is there a hook here for Chinese audiences that will draw out a big crowd? (I'm not doubting your thoughts, I'm just curious if you had any insight on that) Edited December 29, 2016 by MrPink Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 TF5 - 2,500-3,000m Fast 8 - 2,200-2,800m Pirates 5 - 1,200-1,400m GOTG2 - 1,050-1,200m Apes Wars: Apes Force Awakens - 1,050-1,250m The Mummy - 950-1,050m Beauty & Beast - 900-1,050m Rogue One - 750m-850m Dunkirk - 750-850m Spider-Mam: Homecoming - 725-800m Thor 3 - 700-780m Logan - 675-775m Justice League - 650-700m Kingsman - 625-700m Kong - 600m-750m xXx - 500-600m WW - 550m-600m DM3 - 450-550m Arthur - 300-450m Blade Runner - 250-400m 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 3 hours ago, MrPink said: I'm curious as to your thoughts why Dunkirk is a potential 1B grosser in China. I know Hacksaw Ridge has done pretty well relatively, and Nolan's films have done pretty well in China historically, but outside of that, is there a hook here for Chinese audiences that will draw out a big crowd? (I'm not doubting your thoughts, I'm just curious if you had any insight on that) Firstly, you are right, Nolan’s films did well on both WOM and BO. Secondly, Nolan’s films are seen as one of the main standards of IQ test in China, and most people who dislike it don’t dare to express their negative opinions because they think it will make themselves look stupid(just like Emperor’s New Clothes). When Interstellar released, we ridiculed that fans were watching Nolan's film kneeling on the ground like God was coming. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 4 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: TF5 - 2,500-3,000m Fast 8 - 2,200-2,800m Pirates 5 - 1,200-1,400m GOTG2 - 1,050-1,200m Apes Wars: Apes Force Awakens - 1,050-1,250m The Mummy - 950-1,050m Beauty & Beast - 900-1,050m Rogue One - 750m-850m Dunkirk - 750-850m Spider-Mam: Homecoming - 725-800m Thor 3 - 700-780m Logan - 675-775m Justice League - 650-700m Kingsman - 625-700m Kong - 600m-750m xXx - 500-600m WW - 550m-600m DM3 - 450-550m Arthur - 300-450m Blade Runner - 250-400m Pirates 5 now is the most anticipated English films of 2017 on Douban(film fans website) and Maoyan(moviegoers website). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted December 29, 2016 Share Posted December 29, 2016 Up-coming CNY release JTTW2 : 2200 - 2600M Buddie in India : 1100 - 1300M Kung Fu Yoga : 1000 - 1200M Duckweed : 800 - 1000M The Game Changer : 500 - 700M Cock Up A Storm : 300 - 500M Booney Bear 4 : 250 - 350M The Village With No Return : 150 - 250M TF5 : 2000-2200M FF8 : 1800 - 2000M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Only Hollywood movies for me: Kong: 600-700 Fast 8: 1800-2000 GotG2: 700-800 Pirates 5: 600-700 Wonder Woman: 500-600 Transformers 5: 1400-1600 Spiderman 6: 800-900 War Planet Apes: 800-900 Thor 3: 700-800 Justice League: 600-700 Ep8: 800-900 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 6 minutes ago, MattW said: Only Hollywood movies for me: Kong: 600-700 Fast 8: 1800-2000 GotG2: 700-800 Pirates 5: 600-700 Wonder Woman: 500-600 Transformers 5: 1400-1600 Spiderman 6: 800-900 War Planet Apes: 800-900 Thor 3: 700-800 Justice League: 600-700 Ep8: 800-900 I am conscious that China has stopped its increase, but some figures seem low. IMO, I think both GotG2 and Pirates 5 will clear 1b and TF5 should reach 2b. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeneedtotalkaboutKevin Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Sigh...BvS really sank the whole DCEU ship in China even though I personally liked it. For people living in China, do you think the Chinese will hate BvS enough that JL in china will gross less than BvS in china? Does LEGO Batman movie have a shot there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 12 minutes ago, WeneedtotalkaboutKevin said: Sigh...BvS really sank the whole DCEU ship in China even though I personally liked it. For people living in China, do you think the Chinese will hate BvS enough that JL in china will gross less than BvS in china? Does LEGO Batman movie have a shot there? IMHO, BvS did a decent gross in China. Nothing to be ashamed of. It was coming from MOS's 394m Yuan. That means a 57% increase for BvS relative to MOS. Just for reference, Civil War has increased a 65% relative to Iron Man 3, which was released the same year than Man of Steel. Both increases are quite similar. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 19 hours ago, peludo said: I am conscious that China has stopped its increase, but some figures seem low. IMO, I think both GotG2 and Pirates 5 will clear 1b and TF5 should reach 2b. JL won’t do less than BvS. But I think Thor 3 will beat it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polaroids Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 The market is too cold so I'm going to be conservative with my estimates. JTTW2 - 1.8B Kung Fu Yoga - 900M Duckweed - 800M Buddies in India - 1.1B Wukong - 600M I think your estimate for The Miracle Fighters is too high. It's a 400M film at most IMO. And that's if their lucky. The latest movies of the leads except Dapeng haven't done well. The director also had a pretty recent flop. City of Rock - 600M T5 - 2B F8 - 1.5B Valerian will get a huge promo boost in China because a lot of the funding came from Chinese investors. Will probably make 1B. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain H Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Gosh, I hope the Chinese investors whore Valerian out in China. Every single damn penny counts for it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 3 hours ago, Captain H said: Gosh, I hope the Chinese investors whore Valerian out in China. Every single damn penny counts for it. I hope China contribute enough so that Valerian is profitable worldwide. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 I'm not going to lie and say I'm familar with the Chinese box office, but I can confidently say. T2:3D will make more than R1 did 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dudalb Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 Too hard to make predictions about Western films in China until we see what Trump actually does in office. A trade war with China could have a devasting impact on Western films in China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 3 hours ago, dudalb said: Too hard to make predictions about Western films in China until we see what Trump actually does in office. A trade war with China could have a devasting impact on Western films in China. Don't know what it will affect more, the Western boxoffice of the Chinese boxoffice, cause if china doesn't have imports the overall year total would surly go down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
