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Your 10 Bold 2017 Predictions

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17 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Prediction #7 Snatched DOM < $50M Total.  Preview looks like awful...and there are only so many fans of the 2 leads that will show up no matter the movie.  

 

And b/c I've got another lined up:)...

 

Prediction #8 Pirates 5 DOM < Baywatch DOM (and 8a - Pirates OW DOM < Baywatch OW DOM) - I have that little faith in a #5 sequel and that much faith that fans may just want something really silly Memorial Day weekend (especially since Snatched will have crashed and burned) - it's a time to lighten up and party at the beach/pools, and I think Baywatch couldn't have a better timed release.  It worked for the Hangover sequels and they weren't any good...

 

I'm not ready to say Baywatch will beat Pirates, but I can buy into the idea that it could be close, at least on opening weekend. Whatever your personal views are on the Baywatch trailer, it's been playing well in theaters so far. Putting aside early word, the general public has grown weary of Depp's schtick performance so showing a teaser whose purpose is really to say nothing more than another Pirates movie whether you want one or not isn't going to do much at the moment. On top of that, the last Pirates movie opened after a Fast and Furious movie just started embracing its nature and after Thor was introduced to the world. Between Marvel and LucasFilm being bought out, another Pirates movie no longer feels like a priority for Disney or audiences. Opening after Guardians 2 and one week before Wonder Woman isn't going to help. Going back to Baywatch, Dwayne Johnson is a certified star and there's probably no other star who personally promotes his movies more than him.

 

And I'm not ready to say Snatched will do that badly either. The trailer for that has also been playing well. And Bridesmaids had fantastic legs opening two weeks before Hangover 2 which had a gangbuster opening weekend. An R-rated comedy targeting females can coexist with an R-rated comedy targeting males.

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30 minutes ago, Jay Beezy said:

 

I'm not ready to say Baywatch will beat Pirates, but I can buy into the idea that it could be close, at least on opening weekend. Whatever your personal views are on the Baywatch trailer, it's been playing well in theaters so far. Putting aside early word, the general public has grown weary of Depp's schtick performance so showing a teaser whose purpose is really to say nothing more than another Pirates movie whether you want one or not isn't going to do much at the moment. On top of that, the last Pirates movie opened after a Fast and Furious movie just started embracing its nature and after Thor was introduced to the world. Between Marvel and LucasFilm being bought out, another Pirates movie no longer feels like a priority for Disney or audiences. Opening after Guardians 2 and one week before Wonder Woman isn't going to help. Going back to Baywatch, Dwayne Johnson is a certified star and there's probably no other star who personally promotes his movies more than him.

 

And I'm not ready to say Snatched will do that badly either. The trailer for that has also been playing well. And Bridesmaids had fantastic legs opening two weeks before Hangover 2 which had a gangbuster opening weekend. An R-rated comedy targeting females can coexist with an R-rated comedy targeting males.

 

I agree - R rated female comedies can work - I had Bad Moms as my summer sleeper last year on another game...and I was the only one.  That one felt really good when it exceeded practically everyone's expectations but mine:).

 

But this comedy looks BAD!:)  It looks like it's forcing all the humor in the trailer and the movie concept - a kidnapping of American women overseas - is not one many people are gonna wanna laugh at.  I mean, I give it one thing - it's original and I love original - but, it's still got to make me wanna laugh...  

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My #9 prediction - Beauty and the Beast OW DOM < $130M (I put it at $125M), but with final DOM $400M+.  I made this prediction on the BaTB game, but I figure since I seem like an outlier on it, it can count as bold here.  I feel pretty confident on this one b/c of the release date and the way women go to the movies:).  If you want more analysis, see my other posts:).

 

And my #10 prediction - How about a Top 10 DOM movies for the year?:)  And 10a - Star8 will be 1st by over $300M - is that its own bold prediction?:)...

1. Star Wars 8

2. Beauty and the Beast 

3. Spiderman Homecoming

4. Justice League

5. Guardians of the Galaxy 2

6. The Lego Batman Movie

7. Despicable Me 3

8. The Fate of the Furious

9. Wonder Woman

10. The Star

 

Yes, I did not put a Disney/Pixar animated movie on here, so maybe that's bold itself.  I think Disney has a DOM year carried by 1 movie per season - Rogue One remnant this winter, Beauty and the Beast in the spring, Guardians of the Galaxy 2 in the summer, and Star 8 in the late fall/early winter and their other movies disappoint slightly or greatly for Prates 5 (Cars 3, Pirates 5, Coco, Thor 3, Untitled Next Live Action whatever that is if that comes out and keeps the July date, Born in China).  

 

Update: I realize I changed my mind on what my top super movie is (Spiderman/Justice League), and I'll probably keep changing it every week or two b/c I think they will be really, really close:)...

 

Edited by TwoMisfits
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42 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

I agree - R rated female comedies can work - I had Bad Moms as my summer sleeper last year on another game...and I was the only one.  That one felt really good when it exceeded practically everyone's expectations but mine:).

 

But this comedy looks BAD!:)  It looks like it's forcing all the humor in the trailer and the movie concept - a kidnapping of American women overseas - is not one many people are gonna wanna laugh at.  I mean, I give it one thing - it's original and I love original - but, it's still got to make me wanna laugh...  

 

I won't lie. I'm looking forward to Baywatch more than any comedy this year mostly due to reasons that aren't related to the comedy yet (D-Rock Johnson and my avatar). So of course I want it to beat Snatched, but I don't necessarily want Snatched to bomb. My opinions are mixed on that trailer, but I don't think it looks that bad.

Edited by Jay Beezy
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It's not ten, but am I the ONLY person on this board that thinks that people are going nuts on BATB and GOTG2?  Especially the latter?

 

I mean, I can see both crossing 400 if things go right.  But the way some are talking like it's a fait accompli just makes me wonder if this whole forum has taken crazy pills.... 

 

Or if I have and I just didn't notice. :P

 

Crossing 400 is tough, y'all.  

 

I just... I dunno.  Got a gut instinct that they'll both do great, just not the heights some are predicitng.  Tempted to say both under 400 but I'm not quite sure I'm ready to pull the trigger.

 

Don't know if saying BATB & GOTG2 < 400 DOM is bold or not, but that's where my head space is right now. :)

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1. Blade Runner 2049 over 220M DOM 

2. Wonder Woman over 350M DOM 

3. Pirates 5 and Transformers 5 under 120M DOM 

4. Cars 3 over 210M DOM (I hated Cars 2) 

5. Orient Express over 150M DOM

6. Coco under 150M DOM  

7. Beauty and the Beast over Finding Dory DOM and WW

8. Spider-Man: Homecoming under 260M DOM (I love Spider-Man)

9. Justice League over 180M OW and over 420M DOM 

10. Thor: Ragnarok over 280M 

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2 hours ago, AN9815 said:

1. Blade Runner 2049 over 220M DOM 

2. Wonder Woman over 350M DOM 

3. Pirates 5 and Transformers 5 under 120M DOM 

4. Cars 3 over 210M DOM (I hated Cars 2) 

5. Orient Express over 150M DOM

6. Coco under 150M DOM  

7. Beauty and the Beast over Finding Dory DOM and WW

8. Spider-Man: Homecoming under 260M DOM (I love Spider-Man)

9. Justice League over 180M OW and over 420M DOM 

10. Thor: Ragnarok over 280M 

 

Too bold, Too bold! BTW welcome to the boards. :)

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4 hours ago, AN9815 said:

1. Blade Runner 2049 over 220M DOM 

2. Wonder Woman over 350M DOM 

3. Pirates 5 and Transformers 5 under 120M DOM 

4. Cars 3 over 210M DOM (I hated Cars 2) 

5. Orient Express over 150M DOM

6. Coco under 150M DOM  

7. Beauty and the Beast over Finding Dory DOM and WW

8. Spider-Man: Homecoming under 260M DOM (I love Spider-Man)

9. Justice League over 180M OW and over 420M DOM 

10. Thor: Ragnarok over 280M 

Welcome to the boards, also those are some BOLD predictions.

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1 minute ago, YourMother said:

Welcome to the boards, also those are some BOLD predictions.

 

2 hours ago, DMan7 said:

 

Too bold, Too bold! BTW welcome to the boards. :)

Thank You!! I though this post was about that haha

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On 1/5/2017 at 1:38 PM, TwoMisfits said:

My #9 prediction - Beauty and the Beast OW DOM < $130M (I put it at $125M), but with final DOM $400M+.  I made this prediction on the BaTB game, but I figure since I seem like an outlier on it, it can count as bold here.  I feel pretty confident on this one b/c of the release date and the way women go to the movies:).  If you want more analysis, see my other posts:).

 

And my #10 prediction - How about a Top 10 DOM movies for the year?:)  And 10a - Star8 will be 1st by over $300M - is that its own bold prediction?:)...

1. Star Wars 8

2. Beauty and the Beast 

3. Spiderman Homecoming

4. Justice League

5. Guardians of the Galaxy 2

6. The Lego Batman Movie

7. Despicable Me 3

8. The Fate of the Furious

9. Wonder Woman

10. The Star

 

Yes, I did not put a Disney/Pixar animated movie on here, so maybe that's bold itself.  I think Disney has a DOM year carried by 1 movie per season - Rogue One remnant this winter, Beauty and the Beast in the spring, Guardians of the Galaxy 2 in the summer, and Star 8 in the late fall/early winter and their other movies disappoint slightly or greatly for Prates 5 (Cars 3, Pirates 5, Coco, Thor 3, Untitled Next Live Action whatever that is if that comes out and keeps the July date, Born in China).  

 

Update: I realize I changed my mind on what my top super movie is (Spiderman/Justice League), and I'll probably keep changing it every week or two b/c I think they will be really, really close:)...

 

 

Well, guess I'm one out of two on the family movies to start the year...overestimated Lego Batman (it won't be top 10) and nailed BaTB (pretty sure it's gonna be #2 now, and if not, it's got a top 5 spot locked up:)...

 

(Although I thought movie goers would delay a little more for BaTB, but all those BOGOs and Atom deals...they push demand forward:)...

 

Edited by TwoMisfits
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On 1/4/2017 at 7:51 PM, TwoMisfits said:

Prediction #7 Snatched DOM < $50M Total.  Preview looks like awful...and there are only so many fans of the 2 leads that will show up no matter the movie.  

 

And b/c I've got another lined up:)...

 

Prediction #8 Pirates 5 DOM < Baywatch DOM (and 8a - Pirates OW DOM < Baywatch OW DOM) - I have that little faith in a #5 sequel and that much faith that fans may just want something really silly Memorial Day weekend (especially since Snatched will have crashed and burned) - it's a time to lighten up and party at the beach/pools, and I think Baywatch couldn't have a better timed release.  It worked for the Hangover sequels and they weren't any good...

 

So, I nailed one and blew the other for the May movies...I'm as good at Bold Predictions as I am at Casino bets...50-50!:)

 

I'm also feeling a little stupid for putting WW only at #9 for the year and below Fate (and Lego Batman - really bad)...bad, bad choice:)...I guess I at least had it in the top 10 where I think it's almost guaranteed to be:)...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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On 1/3/2017 at 1:56 PM, Negative Panda Covfefe said:

We used to have these threads yearly, so I figured I'd make one.

 

Heres my 10

1.Wonder Woman's OD > The Mummy DOM 

 

2.Star Wars Episode 8 > 1 Billion DOM 

 

3.Beauty and the Beast > 500m DOM Check

 

4.Guardians of the Galaxy 2 > Age of Ultron DOM and WW  Yikes

 

5.A Dog's Purpose > 100m DOM Nope

 

6.Transformers: The Last Knight + Pirates 5  < 200m DOM but over 900m WW (each)

 

7.The Dark Tower and Dunkirk > 200m DOM (each)

 

8.Blade Runner 2049 > Interstellar DOM

 

9.Wonder Woman OW, DOM, and WW > The Justice League OW, DOM and WW

 

10.Coco is the biggest animated film DOM and WW

 

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On 1/4/2017 at 9:17 AM, TwoMisfits said:

#6 Prediction: Top supers movie DOM and WW for the year is NOT Disney's...

 

Well, with WW passing Guardians on its same days in theaters, I think this bold prediction can be 100% confirmed for DOM...GOTG 2 won't win the year, and Thor is not gonna break $400M, so whomever takes the DOM crown (WW, Spidey, or JL) will not be Disney's supers movie:)...

 

Still waiting on WW:)...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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