When you've reached rock bottom, there's only one way to go, and that's Derby! | Week 1 - 2017

[AndyLL]

Good luck this year.

 

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Time to redeem myself for a meh 2016. 

[kswiston]

A Monster Calls is going to be a killer this weekend... 

 

I feel fairly good about most of my predictions other than that one. Hidden Figures could surprise as well I guess. 

[POTUS 2020]

Player sheet

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10ExrF41SzdNIFkZbtLpPg81cBv4gvXbYsgKAjwi4YnA/edit?usp=sharing

[dxmatrixdt]

 

[harryHERTZ]

On 01/06/2017 at 3:41 AM, kswiston said:

A Monster Calls is going to be a killer this weekend... 

 

I feel fairly good about most of my predictions other than that one. Hidden Figures could surprise as well I guess. 

Any ways to redo prediction? I accidently hit the "1" without my knowledge. Now my prediction for Monster calls is $14.68 instead of $4.68?

[JMorphin]

26 minutes ago, harryHERTZ said:

Any ways to redo prediction? I accidently hit the "1" without my knowledge. Now my prediction for Monster calls is $14.68 instead of $4.68?

I don't think it will matter, harry.  A Monster Calls is projected to make less than 2 million this weekend, so it will be a zero score either way.

[kswiston]

This was a rough week. I did pretty well on the new releases, but I was way too optimistic on the holdovers. Fences in particular murdered my score.

 

It looks like a lot of people were in the same boat. Congrats to the three or four of you who have a good shot at finishing over 85% this weekend! Just hope that A Monster Calls doesn't shift by 200k in the wrong direction

Edited January 9, 2017 by kswiston

[cannastop]

I totally fucked this up. I treated this like a mid-January weekend and I underestimated what the weather would do.

[ChipDerby]

History proved my predictions FALSE.

 

What a way to start the year!

[kswiston]

I was afraid of A Monster Calls, but I should have feared Fences! That 30-something really hurt. At least the actuals bumped me over 80%.

 

Congrats Padre.

[cannastop]

@AndyLL

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2017/01/06

Weekend Domestic Chart for January 6th, 2017

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(17)	Hidden Figures	20th Century Fox	$22,800,057	+2,557%	2,471	$9,227	$25,754,235	15
2	(1)	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	Walt Disney	$22,063,570	-56%	4,157	$5,308	$477,364,924	24
3	(2)	Sing	Universal	$20,712,365	-52%	3,955	$5,237	$214,512,010	19
4	new	Underworld: Blood Wars	Sony Pictures	$13,688,751		3,070	$4,459	$13,688,751	3
5	(7)	La La Land	Lionsgate	$10,132,213	+6%	1,515	$6,688	$51,788,800	31
6	(3)	Passengers	Sony Pictures	$8,816,213	-45%	3,400	$2,593	$80,909,256	19
7	(5)	Why Him?	20th Century Fox	$6,901,730	-31%	2,904	$2,377	$48,961,283	17
8	(4)	Moana	Walt Disney	$6,384,485	-42%	2,549	$2,505	$225,365,667	47
9	(6)	Fences	Paramount Pictures	$4,813,606	-52%	2,368	$2,033	$40,776,870	24
10	(8)	Assassin’s Creed	20th Century Fox	$4,178,643	-52%	2,642	$1,582	$49,884,426	19
11	(9)	Manchester-by-the Sea	Roadside Attractions	$2,517,794	-41%	1,057	$2,382	$33,858,151	52
12	(44)	A Monster Calls	Focus Features	$2,080,051	+9,774%	1,523	$1,366	$2,171,543	17

Just ignore Assassin's Creed and Manchester by the Sea.

[harryHERTZ]

18 hours ago, cannastop said:

I totally fucked this up. I treated this like a mid-January weekend and I underestimated what the weather would do.

The weather? Omg, I'm just making predictions out of the blue... Denmark is far far away and I guess my prediction results show just that. Here's hoping that 2017 will treat me kinder?

And oops, posted this in the wrong place, hope it's OK though.

Edited January 9, 2017 by harryHERTZ

[JMorphin]

1 hour ago, kswiston said:

I was afraid of A Monster Calls, but I should have feared Fences! That 30-something really hurt. At least the actuals bumped me over 80%.

 

Congrats Padre.

Me too, I forgot about demographics hurting each other in the case of Fences.  I was just thinking Fences was an Oscar hopeful and would've held better.  Tough week in general, though.  Next week can be another magnitude of toughness.  Congrats, Padre!

[cannastop]

@Padre

 

Congrats on being #1 for Jan6-Jan8!

[AndyLL]

Congrats @Padre

 

	1	Padre	88.517%	79.258%	92.485%	11.264%	37	10
	2	Matrix4You	87.800%	96.501%	84.071%	10.547%	36	10
	3	boxofficeth	85.910%	84.912%	86.338%	8.657%	35	10
	4	Rolling Thunder	85.784%	93.591%	82.439%	8.531%	34	10
	5	AndyLL	83.201%	94.395%	78.404%	5.948%	33	10
	6	darkelf	82.525%	90.664%	79.036%	5.272%	32	10
	7	POTUS	82.468%	84.290%	81.687%	5.215%	31	10
	8	JMorphin	81.686%	86.299%	79.710%	4.434%	30	10
	9	Bates	80.626%	89.503%	76.822%	3.373%	29	10
	10	TalismanRing	80.589%	85.914%	78.307%	3.336%	28	10
	11	kswiston	80.228%	90.895%	75.657%	2.975%	27	10
	12	CJohn	80.194%	73.050%	83.256%	2.941%	26	10
	13	Exxdee	79.369%	77.973%	79.968%	2.116%	25	10
	14	moviecriticguy	79.259%	87.552%	75.705%	2.006%	24	10
	15	Simionski	79.233%	86.486%	76.124%	1.980%	23	10
	16	Jason	79.039%	89.444%	74.579%	1.786%	22	10
	17	Tower	78.320%	87.729%	74.287%	1.067%	21	10
	18	Wrath	78.070%	90.296%	72.830%	0.816%	20	10

[8wombi7]

wow, 27th, was it me being stupid or just the snow storm...

just back to normal i guess. way to start the year!

 

congrats @Padre for winning!

[Padre]

Thanks to all
Hope not the last victory