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AndyLL

I'm letting life hit me until it gets tired. Then I'll hit back. It's a classic rope-a-Derby | Week 2

22 posts in this topic

I'm surprised you dropped La La Land given it's getting another expansion with IMAX.

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On 1/11/2017 at 10:01 AM, WrathOfHan said:

I'm surprised you dropped La La Land given it's getting another expansion with IMAX.

 

Rather odd since it could drop like... 20%, or increase like 50%.

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On 1/11/2017 at 0:01 PM, WrathOfHan said:

I'm surprised you dropped La La Land given it's getting another expansion with IMAX.

 

With new releases taking up 5 spots, and the Silence expansion taking up a sixth, there wasn't a ton of room left. I guess we could have had La La Land instead of Underworld.

 

 

Anyhow, this was a hard week to predict. Tons of low openers, and a holiday weekend to mess up holds. 

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32 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Patriots Day is a surprise Derby killer :jeb!: 

 

PD previews were only in 2,000 theatres, so too early to call it at letdown.  But yeah, the preview number seems underwhelming.

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3 minutes ago, Rolling Thunder said:

 

PD previews were only in 2,000 theatres, so too early to call it at letdown.  But yeah, the preview number seems underwhelming.

A lot of movies only have previews in that TC range.

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Silence is going to tank me. Patriots day to a lesser extent.

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It turns out that everything tanked my score! Terrible week for accuracy. Kudos to the few that were close to or over 80%

Edited by kswiston
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  1. Matrix4You: 80.09
  2. moviecriticguy: 78.37
  3. cannastop: 78.31
  4. Wildbill: 78.07
  5. Bates: 78.04
  6. Padre: 78.00
  7. Rolling Thunder: 76.91
  8. 8wombi7: 75.31
  9. TalismanRing: 74.60
  10. POTUS: 72.87
  11. XeOF4: 72.44
  12. Jason: 72.24
  13. Boxx93: 72.23
  14. 3dHene: 72.21
  15. Wrath: 71.91
  16. WrathOfHan: 71.67
  17. darkelf: 71.35
  18. kayumanggi: 70.96
  19. Exxdee: 70.75
  20. Tower: 69.51
  21. luxneji: 69.29
  22. boxofficeth: 69.25
  23. JMorphin: 69.01
  24. kswiston: 66.82
  25. Simionski: 66.39
  26. CJohn: 64.92
  27. Blankments: 63.16
  28. PanaMovie: 62.67
  29. Lights Camera Action: 62.16
  30. elcaballero: 61.48
  31. ChipMunky: 61.38
  32. AABATTERY: 58.40
  33. Fancyarcher: 56.35
  34. Wonka: 55.97
  35. lilmac: 55.30
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4 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:
  • Matrix4You: 80.09
  • moviecriticguy: 78.37
  • cannastop: 78.31

Holy crap.

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Christ on a cracker. I think that's my worst score ever.

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Nobody has a score in the 80's after the revised estimates just released :jeb!: 

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ty all.  I have never won before so this is exciting!

good job Cannastop with predicting 12M for Patriot's Day

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7 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

ty all.  I have never won before so this is exciting!

good job Cannastop with predicting 12M for Patriot's Day

 

seriously, I figured you would've won at least 5 times by now :jeb!:

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@AndyLL

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2017/01/13

 

  Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Hidden Figures 20th Century Fox $20,853,947 -9% 3,286 $6,346   $55,237,047 22
2 (5) La La Land Lionsgate $14,533,070 +43% 1,848 $7,864   $74,114,639 38
3 (3) Sing Universal $14,240,380 -31% 3,431 $4,151   $233,455,900 26
4 new The Bye Bye Man STX Entertainment $13,501,349   2,220 $6,082   $13,501,349 3
5 (2) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Walt Disney $13,468,189 -39% 3,162 $4,259   $498,559,923 31
6 (29) Patriots Day Lionsgate $11,613,765 +10,982% 3,120 $3,722   $12,537,847 26
7 new Monster Trucks Paramount Pictures $10,950,705   3,119 $3,511   $10,950,705 3
8 new Sleepless Open Road $8,344,128   1,803 $4,628   $8,344,128 3
9 (4) Underworld: Blood Wars Sony Pictures $6,206,099 -55% 3,070 $2,022   $24,322,217 10
10 (6) Passengers Sony Pictures $5,345,892 -39% 2,447 $2,185   $89,725,623 26
11 (42) Live by Night Warner Bros. $5,106,046 +18,866% 2,822 $1,809   $5,291,690 22
12 (8) Moana Walt Disney $4,311,271 -32% 1,847 $2,334   $231,617,396 54
13 (7) Why Him? 20th Century Fox $3,591,726 -48% 1,977 $1,817   $55,424,773 24
14 (9) Fences Paramount Pictures $2,755,038 -43% 1,342 $2,053   $45,887,400 31
15 (13) Lion Weinstein Co. $2,292,484 +11% 575 $3,987   $13,335,088 52
16 (20) Silence Paramount Pictures $1,984,530 +312% 747 $2,657   $3,066,294 24

 

Crossed out the movies that weren't in the derby.

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Held up with actuals.

 

Congrats @Matrix4You  I can't believe this is your 1st win.

 

1 Matrix4You 80.040% 73.992% 89.111% 11.548% 35 10
2 cannastop 78.318% 71.893% 87.955% 9.826% 34 10
3 Bates 77.716% 66.740% 94.180% 9.224% 33 10
4 Padre 77.587% 68.682% 90.944% 9.095% 32 10
5 moviecriticguy 77.429% 67.120% 92.893% 8.937% 31 10
6 Wildbill 76.702% 66.822% 91.522% 8.210% 30 10
7 Rolling Thunder 76.147% 70.611% 84.451% 7.655% 29 10
8 TalismanRing 73.599% 63.922% 88.115% 5.107% 28 10
9 8wombi7 73.392% 60.089% 93.348% 4.900% 27 10
10 WrathOfHan 72.214% 61.247% 88.665% 3.722% 26 10
11 XeOF4 72.074% 58.830% 91.940% 3.582% 25 10
12 POTUS 71.911% 56.670% 94.774% 3.419% 24 10
13 3dHene 71.696% 60.557% 88.404% 3.203% 23 10
14 darkelf 70.980% 56.593% 92.562% 2.488% 22 10
15 Jason 70.840% 54.191% 95.814% 2.348% 21 10
16 Boxx93 70.746% 54.282% 95.442% 2.254% 20 10
17 Wrath 70.039% 55.661% 91.606% 1.547% 19 10
18 kayumanggi 69.604% 56.142% 89.798% 1.112% 18 10
19 JMorphin 68.670% 52.889% 92.341% 0.178% 17 10
20 Exxdee 68.277% 50.933% 94.294% -0.215% 16 10
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