I'm letting life hit me until it gets tired. Then I'll hit back. It's a classic rope-a-Derby | Week 2

[AndyLL]

 

 

 

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

[WrathOfHan]

I'm surprised you dropped La La Land given it's getting another expansion with IMAX.

[ChipDerby]

On 1/11/2017 at 10:01 AM, WrathOfHan said:

I'm surprised you dropped La La Land given it's getting another expansion with IMAX.

 

Rather odd since it could drop like... 20%, or increase like 50%.

[kswiston]

On 1/11/2017 at 0:01 PM, WrathOfHan said:

I'm surprised you dropped La La Land given it's getting another expansion with IMAX.

 

With new releases taking up 5 spots, and the Silence expansion taking up a sixth, there wasn't a ton of room left. I guess we could have had La La Land instead of Underworld.

 

 

Anyhow, this was a hard week to predict. Tons of low openers, and a holiday weekend to mess up holds. 

[Bates]

Player sheet    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Wvgve2ZTgDFyAJJ3c1VD_AmAXTEFD_jHa4XNtDi93VE/edit#gid=2086924915

[Rolling Thunder]

46 minutes ago, Bates said:

Player sheet    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Wvgve2ZTgDFyAJJ3c1VD_AmAXTEFD_jHa4XNtDi93VE/edit#gid=2086924915

 

What en epic clash between you and @TalismanRingthis weekend!

[WrathOfHan]

Patriots Day is a surprise Derby killer  

[Rolling Thunder]

32 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Patriots Day is a surprise Derby killer  

 

PD previews were only in 2,000 theatres, so too early to call it at letdown.  But yeah, the preview number seems underwhelming.

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, Rolling Thunder said:

 

PD previews were only in 2,000 theatres, so too early to call it at letdown.  But yeah, the preview number seems underwhelming.

A lot of movies only have previews in that TC range.

[kswiston]

Silence is going to tank me. Patriots day to a lesser extent.

[kswiston]

It turns out that everything tanked my score! Terrible week for accuracy. Kudos to the few that were close to or over 80%

Edited January 15, 2017 by kswiston

[WrathOfHan]

1. Matrix4You: 80.09
2. moviecriticguy: 78.37
3. cannastop: 78.31
4. Wildbill: 78.07
5. Bates: 78.04
6. Padre: 78.00
7. Rolling Thunder: 76.91
8. 8wombi7: 75.31
9. TalismanRing: 74.60
10. POTUS: 72.87
11. XeOF4: 72.44
12. Jason: 72.24
13. Boxx93: 72.23
14. 3dHene: 72.21
15. Wrath: 71.91
16. WrathOfHan: 71.67
17. darkelf: 71.35
18. kayumanggi: 70.96
19. Exxdee: 70.75
20. Tower: 69.51
21. luxneji: 69.29
22. boxofficeth: 69.25
23. JMorphin: 69.01
24. kswiston: 66.82
25. Simionski: 66.39
26. CJohn: 64.92
27. Blankments: 63.16
28. PanaMovie: 62.67
29. Lights Camera Action: 62.16
30. elcaballero: 61.48
31. ChipMunky: 61.38
32. AABATTERY: 58.40
33. Fancyarcher: 56.35
34. Wonka: 55.97
35. lilmac: 55.30

[cannastop]

4 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

• Matrix4You: 80.09
• moviecriticguy: 78.37
• cannastop: 78.31

Holy crap.

[aabattery]

Christ on a cracker. I think that's my worst score ever.

[WrathOfHan]

Nobody has a score in the 80's after the revised estimates just released  

[dxmatrixdt]

ty all.  I have never won before so this is exciting!

good job Cannastop with predicting 12M for Patriot's Day

[JMorphin]

7 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

ty all.  I have never won before so this is exciting!

good job Cannastop with predicting 12M for Patriot's Day

 

seriously, I figured you would've won at least 5 times by now 

[cannastop]

@AndyLL

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2017/01/13

 

	Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Hidden Figures	20th Century Fox	$20,853,947	-9%	3,286	$6,346	$55,237,047	22
2	(5)	La La Land	Lionsgate	$14,533,070	+43%	1,848	$7,864	$74,114,639	38
3	(3)	Sing	Universal	$14,240,380	-31%	3,431	$4,151	$233,455,900	26
4	new	The Bye Bye Man	STX Entertainment	$13,501,349		2,220	$6,082	$13,501,349	3
5	(2)	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	Walt Disney	$13,468,189	-39%	3,162	$4,259	$498,559,923	31
6	(29)	Patriots Day	Lionsgate	$11,613,765	+10,982%	3,120	$3,722	$12,537,847	26
7	new	Monster Trucks	Paramount Pictures	$10,950,705		3,119	$3,511	$10,950,705	3
8	new	Sleepless	Open Road	$8,344,128		1,803	$4,628	$8,344,128	3
9	(4)	Underworld: Blood Wars	Sony Pictures	$6,206,099	-55%	3,070	$2,022	$24,322,217	10
10	(6)	Passengers	Sony Pictures	$5,345,892	-39%	2,447	$2,185	$89,725,623	26
11	(42)	Live by Night	Warner Bros.	$5,106,046	+18,866%	2,822	$1,809	$5,291,690	22
12	(8)	Moana	Walt Disney	$4,311,271	-32%	1,847	$2,334	$231,617,396	54
13	(7)	Why Him?	20th Century Fox	$3,591,726	-48%	1,977	$1,817	$55,424,773	24
14	(9)	Fences	Paramount Pictures	$2,755,038	-43%	1,342	$2,053	$45,887,400	31
15	(13)	Lion	Weinstein Co.	$2,292,484	+11%	575	$3,987	$13,335,088	52
16	(20)	Silence	Paramount Pictures	$1,984,530	+312%	747	$2,657	$3,066,294	24

 

Crossed out the movies that weren't in the derby.

[AndyLL]

Held up with actuals.

 

Congrats @Matrix4You  I can't believe this is your 1st win.

 

	Rank	Player	Total Score	New Release Score	Holdover Score	Difference from Avg. Score	Total Points	Predicted Movies

	1	Matrix4You	80.040%	73.992%	89.111%	11.548%	35	10
	2	cannastop	78.318%	71.893%	87.955%	9.826%	34	10
	3	Bates	77.716%	66.740%	94.180%	9.224%	33	10
	4	Padre	77.587%	68.682%	90.944%	9.095%	32	10
	5	moviecriticguy	77.429%	67.120%	92.893%	8.937%	31	10
	6	Wildbill	76.702%	66.822%	91.522%	8.210%	30	10
	7	Rolling Thunder	76.147%	70.611%	84.451%	7.655%	29	10
	8	TalismanRing	73.599%	63.922%	88.115%	5.107%	28	10
	9	8wombi7	73.392%	60.089%	93.348%	4.900%	27	10
	10	WrathOfHan	72.214%	61.247%	88.665%	3.722%	26	10
	11	XeOF4	72.074%	58.830%	91.940%	3.582%	25	10
	12	POTUS	71.911%	56.670%	94.774%	3.419%	24	10
	13	3dHene	71.696%	60.557%	88.404%	3.203%	23	10
	14	darkelf	70.980%	56.593%	92.562%	2.488%	22	10
	15	Jason	70.840%	54.191%	95.814%	2.348%	21	10
	16	Boxx93	70.746%	54.282%	95.442%	2.254%	20	10
	17	Wrath	70.039%	55.661%	91.606%	1.547%	19	10
	18	kayumanggi	69.604%	56.142%	89.798%	1.112%	18	10
	19	JMorphin	68.670%	52.889%	92.341%	0.178%	17	10
	20	Exxdee	68.277%	50.933%	94.294%	-0.215%	16	10

[cannastop]

Woooh! 2nd place!

 

Congrats @Matrix4You! Long time coming!