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Best Picture predictions-2017!

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4 hours ago, Ethan Hunt said:

1991 was a few years ago

 

It's been a few years since we've had a mainstream horror movie with rave critical reviews and a premise that plays well to the academy.

 

Im just saying there's precedent for horror movies from February.

Edited by Negative Panda Covfefe
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On 6/4/2017 at 11:53 PM, The Mummified Panda said:

 

It's been a few years since we've had a mainstream horror movie with rave critical reviews and a premise that plays well to the academy.

 

Im just saying there's precedent for horror movies from February.

Yes, but The Silence of the Lambs also had buzz for its performances, which Get Out doesn't really have.

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On 6/6/2017 at 9:37 PM, slambros said:

So despite it's raves, I don't think Wonder Woman is Best Picture material in the long run. It's a great one, but not quite. But I'd love to be proven wrong.

 

I don't see any comic book movie getting nominated.  If by some chance one did, I'd probably bet on Logan.

 

However, Wonder Woman is progressive and the first female superhero movie.  I can see it getting a few token tech noms, maybe even a win.

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New predictions:

 

Picture:

 

1. The Papers

2. Detroit

3. Dunkirk

4. Inner City

5. Call Me by Your Name

6. Darkest Hour

7. mother!

8. Three Billboards

9. Get Out

10. Last Flag Flying

 

 

Director:

 

1. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

2. Steven Spielberg, The Papers

3. Kathryn Bigelow, Detroit

4. Darren Aronofsky, mother!

5. Luca Guadagnino, Call Me by Your Name

 

Actor:

 

1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

2. Bryan Cranston, Last Flag Flying

3. Denzel Washington, Inner City

4. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

5. Daniel Day Lewis, Phantom Thread

 

Actress:

 

1. Meryl Streep, The Papers

2. Jennifer Lawrence, mother!

3. Kate Winslet, Wonder Wheel

4. Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul

5. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards

 

Supporting Actor:

 

1. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

2. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name

3. Colin Farrell, Inner City

4. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards (BOT would go nuts over these last two)

5. Laurence Fishburne, Last Flag Flying

 

Supporting Actress:

 

1. Michelle Pfieffer, mother!

2. Claire Foy, Breathe

3. Melissa Leo, Novitiate 

4. Kirsten Dunst, The Beguiled

5. Hong Chau, Downsizing

 

Original Screenplay:

 

1. The Papers

2. Get Out

3. Three Billboards

4. Inner City 

5. Suburbicon

 

Adapted Screenplay:

 

1. Last Flag Flying

2. Call Me by Your Name

3. Lean on Pete

4. The Disaster Artist

5. The Beguiled

Edited by WrathOfHan
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That's the thing, just generally I'd expect them to hit the not-that-banal, not-that-cool middle ground between "Spielberg and Meryl Streep win for an Important Drama based on a true story" and "Daniel Craig wins for playing a character named Joe Bang in a heist comedy". Dafoe and Pfeiffer would fall there I suppose. Oldman too but Joe Wright has had a pretty iffy track record recently.

 

BTW, has anyone picked up You Were Never Really Here yet? Given the raves from Cannes you'd expect Phoenix to be in the mix, possibly the movie itself too. 

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8 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

That's the thing, just generally I'd expect them to hit the not-that-banal, not-that-cool middle ground between "Spielberg and Meryl Streep win for an Important Drama based on a true story" and "Daniel Craig wins for playing a character named Joe Bang in a heist comedy". Dafoe and Pfeiffer would fall there I suppose. Oldman too but Joe Wright has had a pretty iffy track record recently.

 

BTW, has anyone picked up You Were Never Really Here yet? Given the raves from Cannes you'd expect Phoenix to be in the mix, possibly the movie itself too. 

Darkest Hour has already screened, and Oldman is getting very good reactions. I only think it's getting nominated for BP, Actor, Production Design, and Costume Design (maybe makeup too) because KST has nothing to do and Mendelsohn's role is limited.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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1 hour ago, Jake Gittes said:

I can't decide if those would be simply the most boring Oscars in ages, or the most interesting in how boring they are. 

that's how oscar predictions usually tend to go though. predict the most boring, down the middle oscar movies imaginable until half of them inevitably end up shitting the bed. 

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