Jake Gittes Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 5 hours ago, Travod said: I say with the utmost confidence that Dunkirk will win Best Editing. Unless of course it doesn't. But you know. It shouldn't. But it probably will. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Get out The Last Flag flying Mother I, Tonyna PTA film Detroit The Shape of Water Call me by Your Name Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 22 hours ago, That EddieKaspbrak Guy said: Apparently, Fox is gonna push for Oscar noms for Logan, so I think it's genuinely possible that's nominated too. My predicts: The Papers Get Out Call Me by Your Name Dunkirk Roman Israel, Esq Mother! Molly's Game Shape of Water Logan Phantom Thread I hope fox push more on war for the planet of the apes, it has higher rating on RT and metacritics, through logan inclusion will be damn cool! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 This is shaping up to be a weird and atypical year for the Oscars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 15 minutes ago, slambros said: This is shaping up to be a weird and atypical year for the Oscars. Eh, the list of contenders looks to be in line with the direction they've been going the past few years to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 1 hour ago, filmlover said: Eh, the list of contenders looks to be in line with the direction they've been going the past few years to me. He says before Trans5ers gets nommed for BP and Bay for BD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 War for the Planet of the Apes, Logan and Wonder Woman are all good enough for Oscar noms but I'd be surprised if any of those three got much more than a few tech noms (maybe a tech win). Dunkirk's got an excellent shot, excluding that I think Baby Driver or the Big Sick are the only other Summer films that have a good chance. Now, I think it'd be cool to see a few deserving blockbusters get a nom (because it'd encourage studios to make more Prestige Blockbusters, that could be a cool genre) but I'm not going to hold my breath. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 15 minutes ago, A Panda of Ice and Fire said: Now, I think it'd be cool to see a few deserving blockbusters get a nom (because it'd encourage studios to make more Prestige Blockbusters, that could be a cool genre) but I'm not going to hold my breath. All we need is Dunkirk, Blade Runner, or Logan. All 3 of those have legitimate shots (I wouldn't be saying Logan if Fox weren't campaigning for it but they are) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 (edited) Per Clayton Davis, A24 might put Willem Dafoe in lead for The Florida Project. Based on everything that's been said about the film, that'd be some major fraud. I don't think the film is going to be big with the Academy to begin with, and a move to lead would throw away a probable win IMO. Supporting Actor predictions without Dafoe: 1. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name 2. Colin Farrell, Roman Israel, Esq. 3. Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water 4. Laurence Fishburne, Last Flag Flying 5. Will Poulter, Detroit Alt: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Edited July 27, 2017 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 (edited) 23 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Per Clayton Davis, A24 might put Willem Dafoe in lead for The Florida Project. Based on everything that's been said about the film, that'd be some major fraud. I don't think the film is going to be big with the Academy to begin with, and a move to lead would throw away a probable win IMO. Supporting Actor predictions without Dafoe: 1. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name 2. Colin Farrell, Roman Israel, Esq. 3. Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water 4. Laurence Fishburne, Last Flag Flying 5. Will Poulter, Detroit Alt: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Will Poulter's not happening yo. Best to just nip that one in the bud right now. In all likelihood Detroit isn't getting any acting noms (especially when it's not looking like it'll be that strong of a contender in the first place). Armie Hammer has a better shot and could easily coattail in if Call Me by Your Name ends up being a very serious contender (which it's looking like it will be). Edited July 27, 2017 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 (edited) I'm gonna go balls to the wall and have these be my July predicts. Best Picture Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Dunkirk The Florida Project Get Out Last Flag Flying Logan (Why not?) Mudbound The Papers Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri (Looks really quirky and funny, but may not fly with the Academy) Alternates Baby Driver (Probably will be under the radar by Oscar season, and there's much buzzier films from the summer) Battle of the Sexes (Thinks this gets actor pushes but just that) The Big Sick (seems like a well reviewed movie that could get overlooked) Call Me By Your Name (Great reviews but may be too much for Oscars) Darkest Hour (Kind of think this just gets the Best Actor push) The Disaster Artist (I think A24 pushes The Florida Project) Downsizing (Looks quirky and fun, it could easily make it) The Glass Castle (Good director, promising trailer, could get lost in the shuffle) Goodbye Christopher Robin (Good trailer, but Saving Mr Banks missed it and this is very similar) Phantom Thread (PTA isn't an Oscar shoe in) Professor Marston and the Wonder Women (Seems like it could go either way) mother! (May be too much for the Oscars) Mark Felt: The Man Who Brought Down the White House (Director is unproven, but looks like it could pull itself in) The Shape of Water (Del Toro can go either way, but this does look to be like his first real Oscar potential) Suburbicon (Clooney isn't always consistent) Wonder Wheel (Woody Allen is inconsistent) Wonder Woman (Comic book movie, but highly successful) Other Potential Contenders All the Money in the World (Scott is inconsistent) Breathe (It looks promising, but the trailer is a bit hokey) The Current War (Weinstein may have enough leverage to push it in) The Greatest Showman (looks lackluster and like straight up bait) Logan Lucky (Good reviews, but may end up forgotten) Marshall (Director has a bad track record) Molly's Game (Untested film director, but has been solid elsewhere) The Mountain Between Us (trailer doesn't look that promising) Murder on the Orient Express (trailer makes it seem like it could go either way really) Roman Israel, Esq. (Not enough info) Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Likely a competitor for techs, but I doubt much else, sadly) Stronger (A little hokey, Oscars have moved away from these kinds of movies) Victoria & Abdul (Director has done highly liked prestige stuff before) War for the Planet of the Apes (Fox seems to be pushing Logan) Wonder (Looks pretty hokey but maybe they go for it) Best Director Sean Baker, The Florida Project Richard Linklater, Last Flag Flying Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk Dees Rees, Mudbound Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049 Best Actor Bryan Cranston, Last Flag Flying Matt Damon, Downsizing James Franco, The Disaster Artist Hugh Jackman, Logan Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour Best Actress Jennifer Lawrence, mother! Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri Carey Mulligan, Mudbound Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes Meryl Streep, The Papers Best Supporting Actor Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project Laurence Fishburne, Last Flag Flying Jason Mitchell, Mudbound Patrick Stewart, Logan Best Supporting Actress Mary J. Blige, Mudbound Hong Chau, Downsizing Carrie Fisher, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Catherine Keener, Get Out Michelle Williams, The Greatest Showman Best Cinematography Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Dunkirk Mudbound Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri Best Original Screenplay The Big Sick Detroit The Florida Project Get Out Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri Best Adapted Screenplay Call Me By Your Name Last Flag Flying Logan Mudbound The Papers Animated Feature Animal Crackers The Breadwinner Coco Ferdinand The Star Production Design Beauty and the Beast Blade Runner 2049 Mudbound Phantom Thread Star Wars: The Last Jedi Costume Design Beauty and the Beast Blade Runner 2049 The Greatest Showman Mudbound Phantom Thread Film Editing Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Dunkirk Last Flag Flying The Papers Makeup and Hairstyling Blade Runner 2049 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Logan Sound Mixing Baby Driver Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Dunkirk The Greatest Showman Sound Editing Baby Driver Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Dunkirk Star Wars: The Last Jedi Score Blade Runner 2049 Dunkirk Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri War for the Planet of the Apes Star Wars: The Last Jedi Visual Effects Blade Runner 2049 Dunkirk Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Star Wars: The Last Jedi War for the Planet of the Apes Original Song Beauty and the Beast The Greatest Showman The Greatest Showman 2x Edited July 27, 2017 by A Panda of Ice and Fire 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 (edited) On 7/26/2017 at 9:18 PM, WrathOfHan said: Per Clayton Davis, A24 might put Willem Dafoe in lead for The Florida Project. Based on everything that's been said about the film, that'd be some major fraud. I don't think the film is going to be big with the Academy to begin with, and a move to lead would throw away a probable win IMO. Supporting Actor predictions without Dafoe: 1. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name 2. Colin Farrell, Roman Israel, Esq. 3. Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water 4. Laurence Fishburne, Last Flag Flying 5. Will Poulter, Detroit Alt: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards I feel Bryan Cranstan has a better shot than Laurence Fishburne. Cranston needs an Oscar nomination. I also think Detroit is going to get a BP and BD. Edited July 28, 2017 by Dexter of Suburbia Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 On 7/27/2017 at 1:09 AM, El Panda Machos said: I'm gonna go balls to the wall and have these be my July predicts. Best Picture Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Dunkirk The Florida Project Get Out Last Flag Flying Logan (Why not?) Mudbound The Papers Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri (Looks really quirky and funny, but may not fly with the Academy) Best Director Sean Baker, The Florida Project Richard Linklater, Last Flag Flying Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk Dees Rees, Mudbound Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049 Not sure how likely this is but I'd be down with some Linklater wins 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 On 27/07/2017 at 1:09 PM, El Panda Machos said: I'm gonna go balls to the wall and have these be my July predicts. Best Picture Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Dunkirk The Florida Project Get Out Last Flag Flying Logan (Why not?) Mudbound The Papers Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri (Looks really quirky and funny, but may not fly with the Academy) Best Actress Jennifer Lawrence, mother! Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside of Ebbings, Missouri Carey Mulligan, Mudbound Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes Meryl Streep, The Papers i hope the papers would failed in contending oscar, I totally agree a best picture needs to be socially relevant like slumdong millionaire, spotlight and moonlight, but the papers? that is just too much, too political....and being way too oscar bait, which disgust me; and meryl streep, her acting is incredible and marvellous but does she really needs 20 nomination to prove that? her inclusion again this year will be a total waste of place...I would rather some excellent random foreign language performance for that nomination! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 9 hours ago, Dexter of Suburbia said: I feel Bryan Cranstan has a better shot than Laurence Fishburne. Cranston needs an Oscar nomination. I also think Detroit is going to get a BP and BD. 3 things: 1. Cranston is lead 2. Cranston is probably in 3. Cranston already has a nomination Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 13 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: 3 things: 1. Cranston is lead 2. Cranston is probably in 3. Cranston already has a nomination How do you know he is the lead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, Dexter of Suburbia said: How do you know he is the lead? Because that's what the consensus is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said: Because that's what the consensus is. So you are going to believe rumors? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Last Flag Flying is a sequel, and Cranston is playing the character that was the lead in the original, so it's not really an unfair bet. I'll do the acting cats, fuck it. These are gonna be super inaccurate - don't even have trailers for alot of these. Lead Actor Dafoe, Florida Project (Winner) Oldman, Darkest Hour (boring) Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread Sutherland, Ella and John Phoenix, You Were Never Really Here Lead Actress Vega, A Fantastic Woman Mirren, Ella and John (Winner, seems overdue for another somehow) Leo, Noviate Lawrence, Mother! Streep, The Papers Supporting Actor Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name Hammer, Call Me By Your Name (I think one of these two guys wins it) Mitchell, Mudbound Shannon, The Shape of Water Poulter, Detroit (Getting ton of notice and I'm buying Detroit as a contender somewhat - it has tons of buzz, for good and bad) Supporting Actress Moore, Wonderstruck (Winner) Chau, Downsizing Blige, Mudbound (FTW!) Spencer, The Shape of Water Holly Hunter, The Big Sick (My one out there prediction) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 @Cmasterclay Melissa Leo is supporting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
