Weekend Estimates: Lego Batman 55.6M, 50 Shades 46.7M, John Wick 2 30M

[Eric Atreides]

Great previews for all three so far.

[DAR]

1 minute ago, Jayhawk said:

Would be cool, but I'm guessing the rights issues won't let that happen. WB owns the Lego and DC universe rights, which makes something like this a no-brainer. Don't know if Disney/LFL would want to team up with WB for a whole movie.

They do have those Lego Star Wars specials that show up on Disney XD.  So who knows, but you're likely right.  However a SW Lego film would probably be huge

[DAR]

It's just nice to have a real weekend again.

[FantasticBeasts]

Seems to me like;

75-80m for Lego Batman

45-50m for Fifty Shades

25-30m for JW2

[eXtacy]

Thinking LB falls short of Zootopia's 75m with that number as i expect much more front-loading.

[Valonqar]

Finally an exciting weekend! very happy for John Wick numbers. First movie was such a great surprise, this one is getting amazing reviews and Keanu is one of the nicest people in the business, deserving of the comeback. Way to go!

 

No surprise, smart releases this week - Batman for families, John Wick for action fans and Shades for ladies and couples. Counter-programming in its finest. 

Edited February 10, 2017 by Valonqar

[FantasticBeasts]

I don't think that the Zootopia-Lego Batman previews is a good comparison. LB is obviously gonna be more front-loading considering that the franchise has some fans by its one and Batman is in it.

[narniadis]

If Darker has the same previews to OD as Grey then Friday should be around 19m - which would lead to around a 60-63m 5day weekend

[grim22]

Expected preview numbers based on presales and sellouts. Thinking around 42M weekend for 50 Shades, 75-80M for Lego and 25-30M for Wick.

[Lestranger]

Wick overperforming? Shades overperforming? Bman overperforming?

Edited February 10, 2017 by Lestranger

[narniadis]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Expected preview numbers based on presales and sellouts. Thinking around 42M weekend for 50 Shades, 75-80M for Lego and 25-30M for Wick.

 

Yeah looks good - I think Shade still gets close to 45 - it all depends on how Friday correlates and then if it can manage any kind of increase from true Friday.

[Jonwo]

I think $75-80m is about right for Lego Batman which is still great for an animated film in general let alone in February. I'm sure WB/WAG will be thrilled. 

 

The budget for Lego Batman is $80m which is higher than both The Lego Movie and Storks but only $5m more than what Illumination spend on their films. I'm sure it'll be massively profitable.

[DAJK]

Enjoy it while is lasts, it's going to be a loooong march to Logan after this

[CaptainJackSparrow]

There needs to be a Lego Hogwarts Adventures  movie after this.

Edited February 10, 2017 by CaptainJackSparrow

[NCsoft]

5 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Enjoy it while is lasts, it's going to be a loooong march to Logan after this

 

Watching TGW and A cure for wellness do badly can be sort of entertaining too I suppose.

[grim22]

12 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Yeah looks good - I think Shade still gets close to 45 - it all depends on how Friday correlates and then if it can manage any kind of increase from true Friday.

 

If Lego Batman can push to 85M it would have the second biggest OW in February, the Friday estimated should be interesting. LB gaining ground on Movietickets while 50 Shades is losing ground.

[Jonwo]

Just now, CaptainJackSparrow said:

There needs to be a Lego Hogwarts Adventures  movie after this.

 

I imagine JK Rowling isn't ever likely to give the thumbs up to it. I imagine it's okay to have individual characters like Dumbledore but not spoofing Harry Potter in general. 

[MattW]

I'm thinking 70-75 for Lego, ~50 for fifty, and high 20's for wick 2 based off of previews. 

[Jonwo]

1 minute ago, grim22 said:

 

If Lego Batman can push to 84M it would have the second biggest OW in February, the Friday estimated should be interesting. LB gaining ground on Movietickets while 50 Shades is losing ground.

 

It would need a huge jump on Saturday which might be doable. 

[filmlover]

Just now, grim22 said:

 

If Lego Batman can push to 84M it would have the second biggest OW in February, the Friday estimated should be interesting. LB gaining ground on Movietickets while 50 Shades is losing ground.

Always remember: Real Batman > Sex Freak Wannabe Batman