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Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

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11 minutes ago, Twelve said:

Doubt it. Civil War barely got past 400m despite great reviews and WOM. Infinity War will open higher but it'll have a shit multi and be extremely frontloaded. 

The multi isn't going to be that bad. 2.2x at worst, which would still be 500 if it pulls 225 on OW. Think it can match AOU's multi even with a massive OW as long as it delivers. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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Don't wanna brag, but....

On 02/08/2017 at 1:57 PM, MCKillswitch123 said:

Updated weekend predictions:

 

Aug. 4-6 - The Dark Tower (just barely)
Aug. 11-13 - Annabelle: Creation

Aug. 18-20 - The Hitman's Bodyguard

Aug. 25-27 - The Hitman's Bodyguard

Sep. 1-3 - The Hitman's Bodyguard

Totally called the whole of August :P

 

And I'm feeling pretty confident about most of my predictions, albeit I do wanna change my September 15 weekend prediction. I thought mother! was gonna pull the upset from a low to mid 20's OW while It was gonna drop at least 55% from an opening somewhere in the 60's tops. Now I still feel like mother! may open to 20 and It may still drop around 50%, but I don't think It'll be as frontloaded as I once thought (given how most reactions give it as a big crowdpleaser) and I believe it will pull the twopeat at #1.

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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1.) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: $190M/$500M

2.) Incredibles 2: $140M/$470M

3.) Infinity War: $210M/$450M

4.) Grinch: $100M/$420M

5.) Han Solo: $145M/$390M

6.) Black Panther: $115M/$345M

7.) Aquaman: $105M/$340M

8.) Ready Player One: $100M/$310M

9.) Deadpool 2: $125M/$305M

10.) Mary Poppins Returns: $55M/$275M

11.) Alita: Battle Angel: $80M/$250M

12.) New Mutants: $75M/$240M

13.) Wrinkle In Time: $80M/$230M

14.) Ant Man and The Wasp: $85M/$220M

15.) Fantastic Beasts 2: $80M/$210M

16.) Ralph 2: $45M/$200M

17.) Mission Impossible 6: $60M/$190M

18.) Rampage: $55M/$170M

19.) Venom: $60M/$160M (change of heart)

20.) Nutcracker: $55M/$150M

21.) Hotel Translyvania 3: $40M/$140M

22.) Animated Spider-Man: $35M/$135M

23.) The Predator: $45M/$130M

24.) The Nun: $45M/$130M

25.) Oceans Eight: $40M/$130M

26.) Fifty Shades Freed: $50M/$125M

27.) First Man: $25M/$125M

28.) Dark Phoenix: $50M/$125M

29.) The Pact: $35M/$120M

30.) Jungle Book: Origins: $40M/$115M

31.) Bumblebee: $25M/$100M

32.) Proud Mary: $35M/$100M

33.) Peter Rabbit: $30M/$100M

34.) Red Sparrow: $30M/$100M

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On 4/11/2017 at 6:17 PM, That One Guy said:

I've been constantly updating my list with release date shit and all that but here's my list bumped to the front of the page

 

  1. Jurassic World 2 - 201/502
  2. Han Solo - 180/488
  3. How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 112/440
  4. Avengers: Infinity War - 185/435
  5. Incredibles 2 - 122/429
  6. Black Panther - 140/373
  7. Deadpool 2 - 130/330
  8. A Wrinkle in Time - 93/300
  9. Ready Player One - 95/276
  10. Aquaman - 65/264
  11. Mortal Engines - 60/245
  12. Alita: Battle Angel - 85/217
  13. Ant-Man and the Wasp - 81/212
  14. Mary Poppins Returns - 29/203
  15. Ocean's 8 - 67/201
  16. First Man - 35/192
  17. Animated Spider-Man - 45/188
  18. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 66/185
  19. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 - 46/184
  20. Mission: Impossible 6 - 50/150
  21. Hotel Transylvania 3 - 46/147
  22. Rampage - 55/143
  23. Venom - 60/139
  24. New Mutants - 51/125
  25. Halloween - 40/125
  26. Bohemian Rhapsody - 25/125
  27. Predator - 44/121
  28. Annihilation - 30/111
  29. Jungle Book: Origins - 40/110
  30. Dark Phoenix - 45/108
  31. Holmes & Watson - 32/107
  32. Action Point - 40/100
  33. Christopher Robin - 30/96
  34. Smallfoot - 30/92
  35. The Pact - 30/90
  36. Tag - 28/90
  37. Tomb Raider - 37/87
  38. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - 30/87
  39. The Nun - 32/83
  40. Fifty Shades Freed - 33/78
  41. A Star is Born - 25/78
  42. Sicario 2: Soldado - 23/78
  43. Red Sparrow - 30/77
  44. Purge 4 - 33/76
  45. Peter Rabbit - 23/76
  46. Bad Times at the El Royale - 25/74
  47. Overlord - 24/73
  48. Meg - 32/72
  49. Barbie - 21/72
  50. The Commuter - 26/68
  51. Night School - 25/68
  52. The Spy Who Dumped Me - 20/67
  53. The Darkest Minds - 26/66
  54. Scarface - 19/66
  55. Bumblebee - 19/65
  56. Pacific Rim: Uprising - 28/64
  57. Skyscraper - 25/64
  58. Goosebumps 2 - 16/61
  59. Slenderman - 30/60
  60. Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral - 25/60
  61. Maze Runner: The Death Cure - 22/59
  62. 2018 Cloverfield - 21/57
  63. Robert Zemeckis project - 15/55
  64. White Boy Rick - 17/54
  65. Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! - 17/53
  66. Paddington 2 - 14/53
  67. Widows - 16/52
  68. Game Night - 19/51
  69. Happytime Murders - 17/48
  70. Hellfest - 21/47
  71. Insidious: Chapter 4 - 20/46
  72. Life of the Party - 18/45
  73. Sherlock Gnomes - 14/45
  74. Tyler Perry's Acrimony - 18/43
  75. The Girl in the Spider's Web - 16/43
  76. Horse Soldiers - 16/42
  77. Proud Mary - 14/39
  78. Uncle Drew - 13/39
  79. Equalizer 2 - 15/38
  80. Alpha - 14/38
  81. Robin Hood - 17/37
  82. I Feel Pretty - 15/36
  83. The Kid Who Would be King - 13/33
  84. Paul, Apostle of Christ - 8/32
  85. Winchester - 11/27
  86. The Upside - 10/27
  87. The Hurricane Heist - 11/26
  88. Early Man - 9/26
  89. Den of Thieves - 12/25
  90. Simon vs. the Homo Sapiens Agenda - 9/25
  91. The War with Grandpa - 8/24
  92. A Quiet Place - 9/23
  93. Extinction - 10/22
  94. Traffik - 9/21
  95. God's Not Dead 3 - 7/20
  96. Overboard - 7/18
  97. Captive State - 7/17
  98. Cadaver - 7/15
  99. Gringo - 6/15
  100. Samson - 4/14
  101. Tully - 5/13
  102. Duck Duck Goose - 4/10
  103. Super Troopers 2 - 4/9
  104. Forever My Girl - 2/4.5
  105. Midnight Sun - 1.5/4

 

more updates

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Am surprised to see 400m predictions to the Grinch.

I think maybe 250-300m but not 400m. Even though I love Illumination films and their track record is second to only Disney in North America right now, I just don't think it's going to be that massive unless I'm underestimating its appeal in North America. 

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Just now, John Rambo said:

Predictions fro MI6 range from 150-210m but this series deserves more than this.

I dont see MI6 grossing less than 150m. Until and unless it is screwed up. 

A total over 225m looks like a good rebound after well received MI5.

MI4's gotten even better reaction than MI5. But it didn't help to raise BO result for next chapter...

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3 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

MI4's gotten even better reaction than MI5. But it didn't help to raise BO result for next chapter...

Yup i agree with you but i just hope this movie breaks out. 

It must break the 200 mark. MI5 has penetrated into younger audiences as well. This should cover a wider demo. 

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5 hours ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

MI4's gotten even better reaction than MI5. But it didn't help to raise BO result for next chapter...

Yeah, but take into consideration the release date change from both 4 to 5 (open ended Christmas season to crowded Summer), as well as the heavy...ish competition it had to face. The fact that 5 stayed flat is honestly not bad.

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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With three months left until the new year, as well as a good chunk of the winter films getting trailers:

 

1. Avengers 3: $500M

2. Jurassic World 2: $450M

3. Han Solo: $400M

4. Aquaman: $360M

5. Black Panther: $360M

6. Incredibles 2: $350M

7. Deadpool 2: $290M

8. Grinch: $285M

9. Mary Poppins Returns: $270M

10. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $225M

11. Wreck-it Ralph 2: $210M

12. Fantastic Beasts 2: $200M

13. Ready Player One: $190M

14. Venom: $170M

15. Mission: Impossible 6: $170M

16. A Wrinkle in Time: $160M

17. Spider-Man: $140M

18. First Man: $140M

19. A Star is Born: $140M

20. Rampage: $135M

21. Hotel Transylvania 3: $130M

22. Ocean's 8: $130M

23. Alita: $120M

24. Dark Phoenix: $120M

25. Halloween: $120M

26. New Mutants: $120M

27. The Nun: $115M

28. The Pact: $110M

29. Red Sparrow: $105M

30. The Predator: $105M

31. Skyscraper: $100M

32. Holmes & Watson: $100M

Edited by CoolEric258
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1.) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: $190M/$500M

2.) Incredibles 2: $140M/$470M

3.) Infinity War: $210M/$450M

4.) Grinch: $100M/$420M

5.) Han Solo: $145M/$390M

6.) Black Panther: $115M/$345M

7.) Aquaman: $105M/$340M

8.) Ready Player One: $100M/$310M

9.) Deadpool 2: $125M/$305M

10.) Mary Poppins Returns: $55M/$275M

11.) Wrinkle In Time: $80M/$230M

12.) Ant Man and The Wasp: $85M/$220M

13.) New Mutants $75M/$215M

14.) Fantastic Beasts 2: $80M/$210M

15.) Ralph 2: $45M/$200M

16.) Mission Impossible 6: $60M/$190M

17.) Rampage: $55M/$170M

18.) Alita Battle Angel: $65M/$170M

19.) Venom: $60M/$160M (change of heart)

20.) Nutcracker: $55M/$150M

21.) Hotel Translyvania 3: $40M/$140M

22.) Animated Spider-Man: $35M/$135M

23.) The Predator: $45M/$130M

24.) The Nun: $45M/$130M

25.) Oceans Eight: $40M/$130M

26.) Fifty Shades Freed: $50M/$125M

27.) First Man: $25M/$125M

28.) Dark Phoenix: $50M/$125M

29.) Peter Rabbit: $40M/$125M

30.) The Pact: $35M/$120M

31.) Jungle Book: Origins: $40M/$115M

32.) Teen Titans Go!: $35M/$105M

33.) Bumblebee: $25M/$100M

34.) Proud Mary: $35M/$100M

35.) Red Sparrow: $30M/$100M

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Updating my list of 2018 3-day weekend #1's predictions (also including the 2017 weekends left):

 

Oct. 20-23 - Boo 2! A Madea Halloween

Oct. 27-29 - Jigsaw (Yeah, I'm thinking it beats Boo 2 just by the slimmest margin.... I mean, would it really open lower than Saw VI?)

 

Nov. 03-05 - Thor: Ragnarok

Nov. 10-12 - Thor: Ragnarok

Nov. 17-19 - Justice League

Nov. 24-26 - Justice League

 

Dec. 01-03 - Justice League

Dec. 08-10 - Coco (Similar to the Jurassic World/Inside Out situation, Coco could overtake JLA at this point due to the lack of competition + hopefully strong wom)

Dec. 15-17 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Dec. 22-24 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Dec. 29-31 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi

 

Jan. 05-07 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Jan. 12-14 - The Post

Jan. 19-21 - The Post

Jan. 26-28 - Maze Runner: The Death Cure

 

Feb. 02-04 - God Particle

Feb. 09-11 - Fifty Shades Freed

Feb. 16-18 - Black Panther

Feb. 23-25 - Black Panther

 

Mar. 02-04 - Red Sparrow

Mar. 09-11 - A Wrinkle In Time

Mar. 16-18 - Love, Simon

Mar. 23-25 - Pacific Rim: Uprising

 

Mar. 30-Apr. 01 - Ready Player One

 

Apr. 06-08 - Ready Player One

Apr. 13-15 - The New Mutants

Apr. 20-22 - Rampage (By a minimal margin)

Apr. 27-29 - The New Mutants

 

May 04-06 - Avengers: Infinity War

May 11-13 - Avengers: Infinity War

May 18-20 - Avengers: Infinity War (If it manages a 200M+ OW) OR A Star Is Born

May 25-27 - Solo: A Star Wars Story

 

June 01-03 - Deadpool 2

June 08-10 - Deadpool 2

June 15-17 - The Incredibles II

June 22-24 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

 

June 29-July 01 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

 

July 06-08 - Ant-Man And The Wasp

July 13-15 - The Nun

July 20-22 - Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again (Yeah, sorry Cameron fans, but I think this has a greater pull with the GA than a big anime movie directed by Robert Rodriguez)

July 27-29 - Mission Impossible VI

 

Aug. 03-05 - Christopher Robin (Noteworthy detail: there are FOUR potential 20M+ openers this weekend, between this, Predator, Equalizer 2 and Madea Family Funeral.... will anything move?)

Aug. 10-12 - The Meg

Aug. 17-19 - The Happytime Murders

Aug. 24-26 - The Happytime Murders

 

Aug. 31-Sep. 02 - The Little Stranger

 

Sep. 07-09 - Untitled New Line horror (NL/WB are the Gods of horror, so whatever comes out will be successful - for this, I'm thinking it's either an original, A Nightmare On Elm Street reboot or Final Destination 6)

Sep. 14-16 - NL horror (if it's a 50M+ opener..... hey, it could happen) OR The Darkest Minds

Sep. 21-23 - Robin Hood

Sep. 28-30 - Night School

 

Oct. 05-07 - Venom

Oct. 12-14 - Venom (if First Man is a limited release) OR First Man

Oct. 19-21 - Halloween

Oct. 26-28 - Overlord

 

Nov. 02-04 - X-Men: Dark Phoenix

Nov. 09-11 - How The Grinch Stole Christmas

Nov. 16-18 - Fantastic Babes And How To Nail Them

Nov. 23-25 - Ralph Breaks The Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2

 

Nov. 30-Dec. 02 - Ralph Breaks The Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2

 

Dec. 07-09 - Ralph Breaks The Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2

Dec. 14-16 - Miles Morales

Dec. 21-23 - Aquaman

Dec. 28-30 - Mary Poppins Returns

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Jan 5: Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Jan 12: Proud Mary

Jan 19: The Post

Jan 26: Maze Runner

Feb 2: Cloverfield 3

Feb 9: Fifty Shades Freed

Feb 16: Black Panther

Feb 23: Black Panther

Mar 2: Red Sparrow

Mar 9: A Wrinkle in Time

Mar 16: A Wrinkle in Time

Mar 23: Pacific Rim

Mar 30: Ready Player One

Apr 6: Ready Player One

Apr 13: The New Mutants

Apr 20: The New Mutants

Apr 27: The New Mutants

May 4: Avengers

May 11: Avengers

May 18: Avengers

May 25: Avengers (assuming Solo gets moved to Sep 7 like speculated)

Jun 1: Deadpool 2

Jun 8: Deadpool 2

Jun 15: The Incredibles 2

Jun 23: Jurassic World

June 30: Jurassic World

Jul 6: Ant-Man

Jul 13: The Nun

Jul 20: Alita

Jul 27: Mission Impossible

Aug 3: Christopher Robin

Aug 10: Barbie

Aug 17: Christopher Robin

Aug 24: Christopher Robin

Aug 31: Christopher Robin

Sep 7: Solo

Sep 14: Solo

Sep 21: Solo

Sep 28: Night School

Oct 5: Venom

Oct 12: First Man

Oct 19: Halloween

Oct 26: Halloween

Nov 2: X-Men

Nov 9: The Grinch

Nov 16: Fantastic Beasts

Nov 23: Ralph Breaks the Internet

Nov 30: Ralph Breaks the Internet

Dec 7: Ralph Breaks the Internet 

Dec 14: Mortal Engines

Dec 21: Aquaman

Dec 28: Mary Poppins

 

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Disney will likely have the highest grossing release of 5 months next year, with the potential for that to go up to 8:

 

February: Black Panther

March: A Wrinkle in Time

May: Infinity War

June: Incredibles 2 (big maybe over JW2)

July: Ant-Man and the Wasp

August: Christopher Robin (another big maybe, really a crapshoot right now as to the highest grossing release of this month)

November: WiR2 (highly unlikely it beats Grinch or FB2, but not impossible)

December: Mary Poppins Returns

 

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1.) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: $190M/$500M

2.) Incredibles 2: $140M/$470M

3.) Infinity War: $210M/$450M

4.) Grinch: $100M/$420M

5.) Aquaman: $110M/$365M

6.) Black Panther: $115M/$345M

7.) Han Solo: $135M/$340M

8.) Ready Player One: $100M/$310M

9.) Deadpool 2: $125M/$305M

10.) Mary Poppins Returns: $55M/$275M

11.) Wrinkle In Time: $80M/$230M

12.) Ant Man and The Wasp: $85M/$220M

13.) Fantastic Beasts 2: $80M/$210M

14.) Ralph 2: $45M/$200M

15.) Mission Impossible 6: $60M/$190M

16.) The New Mutants: $65M/$180M

17.) Halloween: $50M/$175M

18.) Rampage: $55M/$170M

19.) Hotel Transylvania 3: $50M/$170M

20.) Venom: $60M/$160M (change of heart)

21.) Nutcracker: $55M/$150M

22.) Animated Spider-Man: $35M/$135M

23.) Creed 2: $45M/$130M

24.) The Nun: $45M/$130M

25.) Oceans Eight: $40M/$130M

26.) Fifty Shades Freed: $50M/$125M

27.) First Man: $25M/$125M

28.) Dark Phoenix: $50M/$125M

29.) Mamma Mia 2: $40M/$125M

30.) Peter Rabbit: $35M/$120M

31.) Paddington 2: $40M (four day)/$115M

32.) Alita: Battle Angel: $40M/$115M

33.) Teen Titans Go!: $35M/$105M

34.) Bumblebee: $25M/$100M

35.) Proud Mary: $35M/$100M

36.) Red Sparrow: $30M/$100M

37.) The Predator: $40M/$100M

38.) Backseat: $30M/$100M

39.) Tully: $25M/$100M

Edited by YourMother
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I'm actually thinking The Incredibles 2 will play like a more frontloaded Finding Dory (worth mentioning that their predecessors in 2003/2004 both opened with $70M but the latter film made nearly $80M less in total than what the former did). $130M/$375M sounds about right.

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