picores Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Great numbers for top 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eevin Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 If Logan holds like last week: $19.6m third weekend, -49% If Get Out holds like last week: $16.1m fourth weekend, -22% If Kong holds like Logan: $28.6m second weekend, -53% If Kong holds like Get Out: $36.2m second weekend, -41% () That last one is less likely to happen, but these are still very solid holds all around. Get Out could very well pass Split this weekend @WrathOfHan 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Eevin said: Get Out could very well pass Split this weekend @WrathOfHan 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 50 minutes ago, DMan7 said: Get Out is truly the success story of the year. With a budget of only 4.5M its going to make 30 times that. That should inspire the studios to invest in low budget, creative movies. Hopefully Peele won't go the way of MSN, try to stick to the same formula with the diminishing results (til Split, that is) . It's a helluva debut that puts tons of pressure on his next project. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, Eevin said: If Logan holds like last week: $19.6m third weekend, -49% If Get Out holds like last week: $16.1m fourth weekend, -22% If Kong holds like Logan: $28.6m second weekend, -53% If Kong holds like Get Out: $36.2m second weekend, -41% () That last one is less likely to happen, but these are still very solid holds all around. Get Out could very well pass Split this weekend @WrathOfHan Beauty & the Beast is going to be snatching tons of screens, especially the premium format ones which will hurt Logan and Kong. That and a $100m+ opening (maybe even $150m) is going to have a sizable impact. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cookson Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Kong, Logan and Get Out will all 3 benefit from BatB sellouts. Maybe more so Kong since it's newer. Kong is getting a lot of diversity in its showings, which should help it going against BatB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Everything is going to drop significantly this weekend against Beauty and the Beast. I'm not saying they're going to crumble but if beauty and a beast really does open up to around a hundred and fifty million it's only natural that the other films around it will drop. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Also guys take a look at years past. Once spring break gets going strong the Friday increases are not nearly so big. That 1-2 punch of spring break and Beast will cause decently large drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PPZVGOS Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 12 minutes ago, baumer said: Everything is going to drop significantly this weekend against Beauty and the Beast. I'm not saying they're going to crumble but if beauty and a beast really does open up to around a hundred and fifty million it's only natural that the other films around it will drop. Could well be the case. Gosh, I hate these inane kiddie movies... In related news: https://www.theguardian.com/film/2017/mar/14/gay-moment-disney-pulls-beauty-and-the-beast-in-malaysia-after-censorship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 14 minutes ago, baumer said: Everything is going to drop significantly this weekend against Beauty and the Beast. I'm not saying they're going to crumble but if beauty and a beast really does open up to around a hundred and fifty million it's only natural that the other films around it will drop. QFT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Fantastic numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoobSaibot Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 (edited) Quote Kong: Skull Island cost an estimated $185M. P&A is estimated at $136M. Through yesterday, the pic counted $85.1M overseas, so worldwide is north of $152M. Yikes....that's $321 million. So ideally, it would need more than $700 million just to break even? Edited March 14, 2017 by NoobSaibot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amadeus Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2017 domestic box office is now slightly ahead of 2016, and back then we had TFA, deadpool, and zootopia had just opened. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 46 minutes ago, Valonqar said: That should inspire the studios to invest in low budget, creative movies. Hopefully Peele won't go the way of MSN, try to stick to the same formula with the diminishing results (til Split, that is) . It's a helluva debut that puts tons of pressure on his next project. A winning formula wasn't M Night's problem. It was making movies for himself instead of for the mass audience. Kind of like the Wachowski's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, NoobSaibot said: Yikes....that's $321 million. So ideally, it would need more than $700 million just to break even? Assuming none of the P&A budget is covered by any promotional partners or other deals, something like that with all total revenue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 (edited) 27 minutes ago, NoobSaibot said: Yikes....that's $321 million. So ideally, it would need more than $700 million just to break even? 321 million for production budget + world P&A is not a specially high number for a giant world release, that is cheaper than Hancock, significantly cheaper than Angel&Demons, only 77 million more than Angelina Jolie movie Salt, specially once you consider that they are not giving much first dollar gross if any, keeping the break even bar low. Break even point, depending of revenue source is probably estimated between 360 and 480 million I would guess. Edited March 14, 2017 by Barnack 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 20 minutes ago, grey ghost said: A winning formula wasn't M Night's problem. It was making movies for himself instead of for the mass audience. Kind of like the Wachowski's. Excellent example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 If I know anything someone is going to twist this into "321 production budget + 136 marketing??" And then you will get "450 production budget + 136 million marketing? RIP THIS MOVIE" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Deadline just took that $136m from their estimate for Godzilla. They confirmed that in their weekend article. So it isn't accurate. That was a summer release. I'm sure it won't include promotional partners either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Krissykins said: That was a summer release. I'm sure it won't include promotional partners either. They usually include them, they probably assume no cost for any promotion made via a partner and do not include them, otherwise the P&A of those franchise movie would be ridiculously high and not the reasonable number they tend to use. Some franchise like James Bond would look strange if they do not include promotional partners (they have ridiculously low world release cost) Edited March 14, 2017 by Barnack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
