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chasmmi

The Summer Game 2017 | Beans have been counted, sprouts measured, zombies destroyed, and Tele relegated to... oh wait better not... | Let the Pre-Season Reveals begin ...

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23 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

SOTM 11:

 

1. Will Nut Job open to more than $10M? No.

2. Will Nut Job drop less than 50% in its 2nd weekend? Yes. 

3. Will Nut Job increase on Saturday? Yes.

4. Will Nut job increase more than 37.5% on its 1st Tuesday? Yes. 

5. Will Nut Job have more than 9 days above $1M? Yes. It'll be at 7 days after this weekend. It should have at least one more 1M day over the next week, and Labor Day should get it to 9 if it isn't there already. I'll include scores in parentheses if No is the answer just in case. 

6. Will Nut Job more than $2M ahead of Emoji Movie in the August 18th Weekend standings? No. They'll have about 1M separating them when actuals are in.

7. Will Nut Job make more than $4M in the UK? No. It debuted to 460k in 10th place last weekend, so obviously it won't have legs in the UK.

 

SCORES:

 

@Chewy: 80k (-50k) (Yes, I jolted out of my seat when scoring this one)

 

Chasmmi: 15k (30k)

 

aabattery: 0 (-15k)

Baumer: 0 (15k)

bcf26: 0 (-15k)

grey ghost: 0 (15k)

Jake Gittes: 0 (-15k)

Kalo: 0 (15k)

Matrix4You: 0 (-15k)

Water Bottle: 0 (15k)

Wrath: 0 (15k)

WrathOfHan: 0 (15k)

 

24Lost: -15k (-30k)

Blankments: -15k (-30k)

DamienRoc: -15k (0)

darkelf: -15k (-30k)

Empire: -15k (-30k)

Exxdee: -15k (-30k)

Tele: -15k (0)

 

JJ-8: -30k (-15k)

jj99: -30k (-15k)

kayumanggi: -30k (-15k)

The Panda: -30k (-50k)

 

Alfred: -50k (-30k)

Fancyarcher: -50k (-30k)

franfar: -50k (-30k)

That One Guy: -50k (-30k)

 

 

 

100% did that on purpose, I dare you to prove otherwise

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22 hours ago, Jake Gittes said:

 

Wait. If I bet 10k and win, multiplied by the number in brackets don't I get 20k for Despicable Me (10,000x2), 18k for Boss Baby, 31k for Dunkirk, etc.? I'm not sure how you arrived at these points. 

hmmmm....I'm not sure either now.  I listed the net points gained.  I thought if you bet 10k to something that gives you 1.4 in return, then you get your money back + 4,000 from the 0.4.  The net gain would be 4,000.  The final score would be the net gain for everyone.  Everyone kept the points they invested.  @chasmmi?

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@Stutterng baumer Denbrough

 

Quote

I'm going to hold off on scoring this one.  Right now it is perilously close to hitting 2.65X..so I'll have to wait until the end of the game.

 

 

It has hit 2.65x though. 389,192,395/146,510,104 = 2,656.

 

It needs to make it to 389,717,000 for the multi to reach 2.66x, but in all likelihood it'll end up about 200k short because it's out on home video and Marvel movies from May have never expanded on Labor Day weekend (except for TA, but it was on an entire different level obviously). The question is which one of these answers

 

Quote

 

5) 2.56-2.65

6) 2.66-2.75

 

 

is gonna be the correct one, because technically the movie is looking to end up in between them. 

 

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15 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

@Stutterng baumer Denbrough

 

 

 

It has hit 2.65x though. 389,192,395/146,510,104 = 2,656.

 

It needs to make it to 389,717,000 for the multi to reach 2.66x, but in all likelihood it'll end up about 200k short because it's out on home video and Marvel movies from May have never expanded on Labor Day weekend (except for TA, but it was on an entire different level obviously). The question is which one of these answers

 

 

is gonna be the correct one, because technically the movie is looking to end up in between them. 

 

 

Thanks Jake...sorry I meant 2.6.  Typo.  And yes, the chances of it getting to 2.6 are slim, but with Labour Day being a wild card, I'm going to hold off.

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6 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

hmmmm....I'm not sure either now.  I listed the net points gained.  I thought if you bet 10k to something that gives you 1.4 in return, then you get your money back + 4,000 from the 0.4.  The net gain would be 4,000.  The final score would be the net gain for everyone.  Everyone kept the points they invested.  @chasmmi?

 

Yes. Thinking about it, It would have been a more valuable SOTM if 2.0 won you 20k instead of 10k. But the question does say the 10k is from your own points, so if you bet 10k on DM3, you do win 20k, but that is your 10k stake plus 10k prize so the amount your Summer game score will increase by is 10k, not 20.

 

So Matrix's scores are correct. 

 

If I do this question again, I will maybe make it a little more valuable. 

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Week 16

 

15. Will Ryan Reynolds turn into deadpool and comment of Jackson's lack of eyepatch? 5000 

 

Stutterng baumer Denbrough -  He will hand him one that says BAD MUTHAFUCKA

WrathOfHan - Cheers motherfucker!

That Floating Guy - Yes, and Lionsgate will be in deep shit from Fox and Disney

Exxdee - YOU BETCHA

kayumanggi - ^^

jj99 - Go fuck yourself!

Matrix4You - He already did

El Panda Machos - In the after credits scene

Simionski - NO

Chewy - Ugh

franfar - Yes

bcf26 - NO

The Dark Alfred - No, he'll become Green Lantern again.

glassfairy - Maybe

fancyarcher - Perhaps, or maybe that's even too meta for him.

grey ghost - Eye wouldn't see that coming. :sparta:

Squadron Leader Tele - NO, BUT JACKSON MIGHT ASK HIM ABOUT WHAT THEY CALL A BIG MAC IN FRANCE

Blankments - NOPE

24Lost - No, Jackson gets an eyepatch halfway through and then Reynolds turns into Deadpool

Wrath - *In true, insane Deadpool fashion, Reynolds will actually turn into the eyepatch, though it won't prevent him from complaining and joking about it*

Empire - IF ONLY

aabattery - Sometimes that Samuel L J Jackson looks right at ya. Right into your eyes. And the thing about a Samuel L Jackson is he’s got a lifeless eye. Black eye. Like a dolls’s eye. When he comes at ya, he doesn’t even seem to be livin’… ’til he bites ya, and that black eye roll over white and then… ah then you hear that terrible high-pitched screamin’. The ocean turns red, and despite all your poundin’ and your hollerin’ those Samuel L Jackson's come in and… they rip you to pieces.

DamienRoc - Of course not. He knows that Jackson's just a Life Model Decoy and thus wouldn't need an eyepatch. He's going to comment on the shoddy cover story that the LMD Fury has.

JJ-8 - as only deadpool knows.....

chasmmi -  AH HELLL NAW!!! ... WAIT A SEC...

darkelf - :gold:

Jake Gittes - :gold:

 

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Week 16 Answers

 

Logan's Bodyguard

Part A:

 

1. Will Hitman's Bodyguard Open to more than $20M? yes

2. Will Logan Lucky Open to more than $10M? no

3. Will the two films combine to more than $30M? no

4. Will Annabelle stay at number 1? no

5. Will Will Nut Job stay above Dark Tower? yes

 

6. Will Wonder Woman drop less than 35%?  yes

7. Will Valerian drop more than 62%? no

8. Will Emoji Stay above Spiderman? yes

9. Will Kidnap stay above Glass Castle? yes

10. Will Girl's Trip drop more than 31% on Sunday? yes

 

11. Will A Taxi Driver drop less than 10% this weekend? no

12. Will Patti Cakes have a PTA above $9,000? no

13. Will Baby Driver have a PTA above $1,000? yes

14. Will Maudie stay above Captain Underpants? yes

15. Will Ryan Reynolds turn into deadpool and comment of Jackson's lack of eyepatch? 5000 

 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Logan Lucky make for its 3 day OW?  $7,600,036

2. What will Nut Job's percentage drop for the weekend be? 38.958%

3. What will GOTG2's PTA be?  $926

 

 

Part C:

 

2. Annabelle

5. Nut Job 2

7. Spider-Man

9. The Dark Tower

12. The Glass Castle

14. Despicable Me 3

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Part A: average is 9.41 out of 15.

 

Part C : average is 2.81 out of 6

 

Part B average results:

Logan Lucky OW - 10.264740, 35.06% off from actual score

 

Nut Job % drop - 48.113%, 23.50% off from actual score

 

Galaxy PTA - $991, 2.96% off from actual score

 

@chasmmi@JJ-8 - results for WEEK 16 are emailed

Edited by Matrix4You
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Week 16 Scores

 

#    PART A:   PART B:   PART C:   TOTAL 
1 DamienRoc 42,000 8,000 36,000 86,000
2 Jake Gittes 48,000 22,000 10,000 80,000
3 Matrix4You 55,000 7,000 18,000 80,000
4 grey ghost 49,000 12,000 18,000 79,000
5 fancyarcher 49,000   25,000 74,000
6 baumer 55,000   18,000 73,000
7 Chewy 44,000   25,000 69,000
8 Wrath  42,000 2,000 25,000 69,000
9 That Floating Guy 49,000 9,000 10,000 68,000
10 darkelf 49,000   18,000 67,000
11 WrathOfHan 49,000   18,000 67,000
12 aabattery 35,000   25,000 60,000
13 Telemachos 32,000 2,000 25,000 59,000
14 El Panda Machos 38,000   18,000 56,000
15 Exxdee 38,000   18,000 56,000
16 Simionski 28,000   25,000 53,000
17 Blankments 27,000   25,000 52,000
18 The Dark Alfred 30,000   18,000 48,000
19 glassfairy 23,000   25,000 48,000
20 Kayumanggi 38,000   10,000 48,000
21 franfar 23,000 4,000 18,000 45,000
22 jj99 35,000   10,000 45,000
23 chasmmi 38,000     38,000
24 Empire 30,000   4,000 34,000
25 JJ-8 19,000   10,000 29,000
26 24Lost 24,000   4,000 28,000
27 bcf26 26,000     26,000
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Well I finally did good for one week on the weekly questions. I finished tied for first with the answers for the 15..... too bad I can't predict worth anything as to where the films are going to finish for the weekend.

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ok SOTM scoring

 

SOTM 7 :-

If you abstained you receive = -5,000 [Simionski, Blankments, GlassFairy and me all abstained]

NO ANSWER = -12000 (as per Chasmmi's comments below)

 

SOTM 9 :-

no answer or abstain receives a 0 on this.

 

SOTM 11 :-

ABSTAIN = -5000 [Simionski, Glassfairy]

NO ANSWER = -12000

 

EDIT : SOTM 7 scoring updated

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Overall Scores updated (scored as noted above)

 

# User Pre- season Entry GRAND TOTAL PreSeason Total SOTM etc SOTM 7 SOTM 9 SOTM 11 Weekly's Total Week 16
1 Matrix4You YES 1,837,000 20,000 407,000 70,000 83,000 0 1,410,000 80000
2 Jake Gittes YES 1,656,500 20,000 404,500 85,000 53,000 0 1,232,000 80000
3 Simionski YES 1,603,000 20,000 347,000 -5,000 72,000 -5,000 1,236,000 53000
4 WrathofHan YES 1,496,500 20,000 280,500 30,000 0 0 1,196,000 67000
5 darkelf YES 1,457,000 20,000 206,000 30,000 44,000 -15,000 1,231,000 67000
6 Exxdee YES 1,450,000 20,000 237,000 30,000 82,000 -15,000 1,193,000 56000
7 Chewy YES 1,416,000 20,000 327,000 30,000 71,000 80,000 1,069,000 69000
8 aabattery YES 1,377,000 20,000 226,000 30,000 20,000 0 1,131,000 60000
9 The Panda YES 1,342,000 20,000 92,000 -15,000 59,000 -30,000 1,230,000 56000
10 Grey Ghost YES 1,340,500 20,000 182,500 30,000 36,000 0 1,138,000 79000
11 Baumer YES 1,310,000 20,000 182,000 15,000 42,000 0 1,108,000 73000
12 Wrath YES 1,287,000 20,000 142,000 30,000 42,000 0 1,125,000 69000
13 24Lost YES 1,282,000 20,000 232,000 30,000 27,000 -15,000 1,030,000 28000
14 kayumanggi YES 1,281,500 20,000 113,500 -40,000 61,000 -30,000 1,148,000 48000
15 Chasmmi YES 1,257,500 20,000 137,500 0 52,000 15,000 1,100,000 38000
16 jj99 YES 1,252,500 20,000 123,500 -45,000 83,000 -30,000 1,109,000 45000
17 Fancyarcher YES 1,224,000 20,000 90,000 30,000 61,000 -50,000 1,114,000 74000
18 Alfred YES 1,161,000 20,000 77,000 40,000 46,000 -50,000 1,064,000 48000
19 Kalo YES 1,149,500 20,000 273,500 30,000 50,000 0 856,000  
20 Empire YES 1,119,500 20,000 299,500 30,000 83,000 -15,000 800,000 34000
21 Telemachos YES 1,092,000 20,000 198,000 75,000 8,000 -15,000 874,000 59000
22 That One Guy YES 1,043,000 20,000 32,000 -20,000 33,000 -50,000 991,000 68000
23 Spaghetti YES 1,038,500 20,000 112,500 -15,000 39,000 -12,000 906,000  
24 DamienRoc YES 1,034,000 20,000 -8,000 -50,000 29,000 -15,000 1,022,000 86000
25 glassfairy YES 1,025,000 20,000 124,000 -5,000 81,000 -5,000 881,000 48000
26 Blankments YES 1,020,500 20,000 71,500 -5,000 0 -15,000 929,000 52000
27 JJ-8 YES 924,000 20,000 128,000 -5,000 37,000 -30,000 776,000 29000
28 franfar YES 912,000 20,000 214,000 60,000 0 -50,000 678,000 45000
29 bcf26 YES 872,000 20,000 119,000 30,000 0 0 733,000 26000
30 Water Bottle YES 688,000 20,000 -79,000 -20,000 0 0 747,000  
31 damnitgeorge08 YES 549,500 20,000 -16,500 -12,000 0 -12,000 546,000  
32 narniadis YES 439,000 20,000 16,000 -12,000 47,000 -12,000 403,000  
33 grim22 YES 285,000 20,000 -25,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 290,000  
34 MrPink YES 141,000 20,000 -12,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 133,000  
35 MovieMan89 YES 68,000 20,000 -96,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 144,000  
36 #ED YES 25,000 20,000 -44,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 49,000  
37 Tree YES 15,000 20,000 -41,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 36,000  
38 cmasterclay YES -3,000 20,000 -67,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 44,000  
39 BastienGiot YES -47,000 20,000 -67,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 0  
40 Mike Hunt YES -47,000 20,000 -67,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 0  
41 Goffe YES -67,000 0 -67,000 -12,000 0 -12,000 0  
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22 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

ok SOTM scoring

 

SOTM 7 :-

If you abstained you receive = -5,000 [Simionski, Blankments, GlassFairy and me all abstained]

@chasmmi ~ if no answer on this, I am assuming -5,000 as you had nothing down ? thoughts ?

 

SOTM 9 :-

no answer or abstain receives a 0 on this.

 

SOTM 11 :-

ABSTAIN = -5000 [Simionski, Glassfairy]

NO ANSWER = -12000

 

for SOTM 7, make no answer minus 12k in line with SOTM 11

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