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AndyLL

It's time to show Kong that Derby is king! | Week 11

27 posts in this topic

You and your "unique" titles. :lol:

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so which one is going to score with the drive in double features??  Rogue One or Moana??  Moana can get to 250, or Rogue One can overtake The Dark Knight...

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so which will it be...holdovers getting crushed by a 4-quadrant film (though it skews female), or helped by spillover from sellouts? 

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my (detailed) holdover predix

 

6.50 - Shack

4.73 - Lego

1.24 - Before

1.83 - Hidden

1.20 - John

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damn, i forgot to recheck my early entries so Before I Fall and John Wick will probably kill me this week :)

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Posted (edited)

3 hours ago, 8wombi7 said:

damn, i forgot to recheck my early entries so Before I Fall and John Wick will probably kill me this week :)

John Wick mite get wacked this weekend. -46% TC.  I went with .98m. I was right with the big drop last week on TGW, not so hot with other picks.  All chick flicks take a hit this weekend

 

Player Sheet

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rbMOPszRqA4DS7EfRZijr8sk5OHYFV9rZX7AvEcEhPs/edit?usp=sharing

Derby by the sea

53mfpg.jpg

Edited by POTUS
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If Great Wall got wacked hard last weekend, then Before I fall should get wacked just as hard this weekend???  These predictions have a hard time staying consistent.  John Wick held up against Logan.  The Forest got buried vs The Boy.  Kung Fu Panda 3 crumbled vs Zootopia.  But Don't Breathe did well vs Blair Witch and Split did well vs Rings. 

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9 hours ago, POTUS said:

John Wick mite get wacked this weekend. -46% TC.  I went with .98m. I was right with the big drop last week on TGW, not so hot with other picks.  All chick flicks take a hit this weekend

 

Player Sheet

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rbMOPszRqA4DS7EfRZijr8sk5OHYFV9rZX7AvEcEhPs/edit?usp=sharing

Derby by the sea

53mfpg.jpg

 

You should quit smoking.

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5 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

If Great Wall got wacked hard last weekend, then Before I fall should get wacked just as hard this weekend???  These predictions have a hard time staying consistent.  John Wick held up against Logan.  The Forest got buried vs The Boy.  Kung Fu Panda 3 crumbled vs Zootopia.  But Don't Breathe did well vs Blair Witch and Split did well vs Rings. 

Depends on the competition,  the TC and how many weekends it's out. Split didn't lose screens and rings was small.. Panda screen loss not too bad but it was the only thing out there for weeks and zoo was big.

JW  at-45%  usually provides a huge drop. 

BFIF should take big hit. It held so well last week I couldn't go -60 but that might happen with -33%TC and beast competition.

 

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10 hours ago, ChipMunky said:

 

You should quit smoking.

Why quit when I canstaying try harder

12 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

If Great Wall got wacked hard last weekend, then Before I fall should get wacked just as hard this weekend???  

I was right on Wick but BIF was slammed like you suggested. -74%. Kong kills groundhog!

1    JMorphin    87.90
2    boxofficeth    86.21
3    moviecriticguy    84.42
4    Matrix4You    84.08
5    Rolling Thunder    83.52
6    Wildbill    83.41
7    TalismanRing    83.40
8    CJohn    83.03
9    POTUS    82.37
10    Bates    81.69
11    Exxdee    81.63
12    phoeeeel    79.66
13    Simionski    79.64
14    AABATTERY    79.22
15    ChipMunky    77.49
16    lilmac    76.99
17    WrathOfHan    76.53
18    Boxx93    76.08
19    Fancyarcher    76.05
20    TylerDurden365    75.34
21    darkelf    75.22
22    8wombi7    74.84
23    kayumanggi    74.69
24    elcaballero    73.95
25    luxneji    73.83
26    Eevin    73.43
27    Lights Camera Action    72.90
28    harryHERTZ    71.95
29    Tower    71.17
30    Wrath    69.86
31    RandomJC    68.57
32    AndyLL    63.16
33    Padre    61.66

 

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cool, let's hope I stay top 10 by actuals :P

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Yep, Before I Fall and Wick are Derby killers (Lego Batman too to a certain extent)

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2 hours ago, JMorphin said:

cool, let's hope I stay top 10 by actuals :P

Still #1.  Deadline pretty close on a few for a change but was a bit low on BIF.

    Fri Studio Est    
1    JMorphin    89.97
2    moviecriticguy    89.11
3    Matrix4You    88.26
4    TalismanRing    88.17
5    Rolling Thunder    87.71
6    Wildbill    87.54
7    boxofficeth    87.47
8    Bates    86.61
9    CJohn    86.52
10    Exxdee    86.17
11    POTUS    85.52
12    Simionski    84.66
13    AABATTERY    83.73
14    phoeeeel    81.98
15    Boxx93    81.09
16    WrathOfHan    80.94
17    TylerDurden365    80.94
18    ChipMunky    80.74
19    Fancyarcher    80.52
20    lilmac    79.87
21    darkelf    79.52
22    kayumanggi    78.51
23    Lights Camera Action    78.40
24    luxneji    78.34
25    8wombi7    77.87
26    Eevin    77.01
27    harryHERTZ    76.83
28    Tower    76.28
29    Wrath    74.93
30    elcaballero    74.55
31    RandomJC    72.09
32    AndyLL    68.53
33    Padre    66.61

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Yikes. This week was rough for me. :unsure:

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@JMorphin you need her to fall one more time and stay down

    Studio Est    
1    Matrix4You    92.11
2    moviecriticguy    91.48
3    boxofficeth    90.83
4    JMorphin    90.34
5    TalismanRing    90.28
6    Simionski    88.95
7    Wildbill    88.71
8    Exxdee    88.08
9    Bates    87.96
10    POTUS    86.81
11    Rolling Thunder    86.61
12    phoeeeel    86.28
13    CJohn    85.45
14    Fancyarcher    84.69
15    TylerDurden365    84.67
16    Boxx93    84.22
17    AABATTERY    84.08
18    lilmac    83.60
19    WrathOfHan    82.78
20    harryHERTZ    82.41
21    luxneji    82.18
22    ChipMunky    82.14
23    darkelf    82.11
24    Lights Camera Action    81.44
25    8wombi7    81.23
26    kayumanggi    81.10
27    Eevin    80.00
28    Tower    79.03
29    RandomJC    78.62
30    elcaballero    77.70
31    Wrath    77.00
32    AndyLL    69.71
33    Padre    69.01

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Hmm, surprised I didn't win. 

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Ow.

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moviecriticguy put 177 for BatB which is likely where it will end up Monday?  Kong overestimated?

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Posted (edited)

Moviecriticguy has got this unless The Shack increases from its overestimation.

Here are the determining matchups

BEAST

170 estimate.  179 likely.

me - 158.77, moviecritic - 177.00

 

BATMAN

4.70 estimate.  4.70 likely.

me - 4.73, moviecritic - 4.50

 

SHACK

6.13 estimate.  6.00 likely.

me - 6.50, moviecritic - 6.10

 

The rest do not really have an impact.  I played with the numbers on excel and SHack needs to get up to around 6.2 or above for me to have a shot.

 

Edited by Matrix4You
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