baumer Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Here's a list of their films, from the-numbers.com http://www.the-numbers.com/market/distributor/Walt-Disney Don't think you'll see any of them with a lower than a 3X. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 1 minute ago, baumer said: I don't have the answer to this because Mojo is down, but what is the last Disney family film to finish with less than a 3X? I'm really curious which one it would be. And by family film I mean Pixar and their animated films plus this live action stuff based on animated family films. I think Cinderella and Oz didn't, but I also think BATB has wider appeal and better WoM than those two movies. TJB looks like the best comparison. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 (edited) 4 minutes ago, baumer said: I don't have the answer to this because Mojo is down, but what is the last Disney family film to finish with less than a 3X? I'm really curious which one it would be. And by family film I mean Pixar and their animated films plus this live action stuff based on animated family films. Alice through the looking glass I think. Edited March 21, 2017 by Agafin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harley Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Spring break doesn't happen till the week of Easter where I live. I think WOM will sustain it. From the NY Times "About 84 percent of American parents who saw “Beauty and the Beast” on its opening day said they would “definitely” recommend it for families, according to PostTrak, a polling service run by comScore and Screen Engine." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 $95M to $105M weekend upcoming for Beaut and the Beast(Mode). The competition is crap this weekend too. Power Rangers will make some bank but $40M OW DOM is likely the ceiling for that one. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 I guess I'm being really aggressive for the second weekend because the WOM seems to be very strong and the weekend numbers were indicative of a film that has a lot of demand for it, a lot of love and this translates into big weekend numbers. Maybe 100% million second weekend is not guaranteed but I do see it dropping less than 45%. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 3 hours ago, Agafin said: Alice through the looking glass I think. Ok, but that movie was horrible, zero wom and disappeared quickly from the theaters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 4 hours ago, MrMarosa said: When this film, which is already, and unquestionably, a gigantic financial success (in spite of its being utterly mediocre), fails to gross 500 million, I will sit back and enjoy the excuses, backtracking, and scrambling for arguments to justify it. People are just high on the OW box office fumes and predicting crazy numbers. The OW has burned off demand and this ia no Star Wars. That Monday drop is far from spectacular (2 million less than BvS??). Lmao. Always funny when these imdb trolls come over from their old board, and then look like tards by people who've been following box office for years. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franfar Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Finding Dory fell 46% in its 2nd weekend. BatB should match that. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Yeah, I don't think either of the Alice of Oz movies work well as comps. Worst case this performs like Cinderella for a 2.9x multi. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 28 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: I will be rooting against Beauty and the Beast making $500M. Nothing personal just don't have any desire to see it do better than it needs to do. 1 Oooookay. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 6 minutes ago, franfar said: Finding Dory fell 46% in its 2nd weekend. BatB should match that. Dory was also summer, so it had larger weekend drops compensated by higher weekdays. BATB could do better. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 These numbers are just crazy, this movie has a legit shot at $600m now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Cinderella seems the most apt comparison if we are talking Disney films. However Beast will be the only film with a great Friday because 3 new wide openers will skewer the rest of the holdovers with screen count losses, particularly any holdovers from February such as Get Out and Lego. They will recover on Saturday but Friday will be bad. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, Kalo said: These numbers are just crazy, this movie has a legit shot at $600m now. Um no. It doesn't. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 1 minute ago, Kalo said: These numbers are just crazy, this movie has a legit shot at $600m now. Eh, that's as premature as saying 500m is dead. If it has insane drops for four to five weeks in a row, we can talk about 600m. For now, O/U TDK seems like a good target IMO. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Baumer, I would be on the 100m train if it wasn't for PR coming out which will take some of the family audience that "might" have gone to BATB. I just can't see it falling harder than 50% though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 Not feeling $600M+ at all. Thinking somewhere between $515M and $535M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 4 hours ago, MrMarosa said: Less than BvS’s first Monday and in line with CW’s first Monday. Buh-bye, 500 million. Even with the whole ”but its a family film!!!" thing, this ain’t making a whole lot more than 400. Will easily gross a whole lot more than $400M. Likely will still gross comfortably over $500M too. I don't see any higher than $535M though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted March 21, 2017 Share Posted March 21, 2017 3 hours ago, narniadis said: Baumer, I would be on the 100m train if it wasn't for PR coming out which will take some of the family audience that "might" have gone to BATB. I just can't see it falling harder than 50% though. I think PR is DOA. Horrible release date. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
