Wednesday Numbers : GOTG2:$7.53M Crossed $500M WW | FF8:0.57M | BATB:0.38M

[Finnick]

GOTG2 dropped 24% from last Monday, it is better than CA3, AVEN1, AVEN2, IM3 ..here is a comparison with other MCU movies released on May:

Avengers                 28% drop from first Wednesday to first Monday
Age of Ultron            29%
IM3                          28%
CA:CW                     33%
IM                            17%
IM2                          22%
THOR                       22%
GOTG2                      24%

 

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2	Walt Disney	$7,527,728	-38%	4,347	$1,732	$175,997,966	6
-	(2)	The Fate of the Furious	Universal	$568,535	-33%	3,595	$158	$209,207,090	27
-	(5)	Beauty and the Beast	Walt Disney	$377,150	-24%	2,680	$141	$488,951,399	55
-	(6)	The Boss Baby	20th Century Fox	$282,494	-31%	3,284	$86	$157,503,184	41
-	(7)	Gifted	Fox Searchlight	$198,329	-35%	1,874	$106	$19,890,742	34
-	(8)	Going in Style	Warner Bros.	$180,376	-32%	2,033	$89	$41,148,078	34
-	(9)	Born in China	Walt Disney	$132,119	-19%	1,414	$93	$11,350,187	20
-	(10)	Smurfs: The Lost Village	Sony Pictures	$98,817	-33%	1,902	$52	$40,927,896	34
-	(11)	Sleight	High Top Releasing	$81,400	-29%	591	$138	$3,286,060	13
-	(-)	Get Out	Universal	$76,925	-15%	818	$94	$174,080,360	76
-	(12)	Unforgettable	Warner Bros.	$76,011	-29%	1,003	$76	$10,891,932	20
-	(13)	The Zookeeper’s Wife	Focus Features	$65,485	-29%	655	$100	$16,012,341	41
-	(-)	Kong: Skull Island	Warner Bros.	$40,420	-24%	653	$62	$166,435,643	62
-	(-)	Logan	20th Century Fox	$35,956	-17%	444	$81	$225,193,207	69
-	(-)	The Promise	Open Road	$32,413	-27%	331	$98	$8,073,110	20
-	(-)	Ghost in the Shell	Paramount Pictures	$17,612	-25%	211	$83	$40,309,222	41
-	(-)	Phoenix Forgotten	Entertainment Studi…	$11,404	-24%	186	$61	$3,492,217	20
-	(-)	The Lego Batman Movie	Warner Bros.	$11,130	-8%	235	$47	$174,966,398	90
-	(-)	Hidden Figures	20th Century Fox	$9,036	-13%	113	$80	$169,110,400	137
-	(-)	The Lovers	A24	$6,023	+3%	4	$1,506	$83,603	6
-	(-)	CHiPS	Warner Bros.	$5,242	-18%	146	$36	$18,480,735	48
-	(-)	A Dog’s Purpose	Universal	$3,720	-24%	103	$36	$64,317,105	104
-	(-)	The Belko Experiment	BH Tilt	$2,760	-10%	69	$40	$9,751,055	55
-	(-)	Three Generations	Weinstein Co.	$1,968	-5%	6	$328	$23,787	6
-	(-)	Free Fire	A24	$1,652	-44%	36	$46	$1,796,236	20

 

Edited May 11, 2017 by Finnick

[HenryjRhetorics]

Cue in the "this will miss the 300M" comments.

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[FilmBuff]

That's a great, terrible, okay, meh, so-so, good, awful drop. 

 

Wanted to cover all the bot reactions today.

[HenryjRhetorics]

That's a great, terrible, okay, meh, so-so, good, awful drop. 
 
Wanted to cover all the bot reactions today.

You forgot, "Jesus!"...

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[theStun]

Awesome it crossed 500M really interested to see what Thurs number is going to be 

[John Marston]

Gotta admit that's a shitty drop

 

 

 

[grim22]

7 minutes ago, Finnick said:

Box Office: 'Guardians Of The Galaxy 2' Zooms Past $500 Million

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2017/05/11/box-office-guardians-of-the-galaxy-2-has-crossed-500-million-worldwide/#53d79e863734

 

After around 17 days of worldwide release, Walt Disney’s Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 has now halfway to the fabled $1 billion milestone. The James Gunn sci-fi sequel has earned $175.9 million after six days of domestic release, meaning it will enter its second weekend of domestic play with around $184m.

So, yeah, it’ll cross $200m domestic on Friday with a likely over/under $60m weekend and $245m ten-day domestic total. At which point it will zoom past Logan ($225m) and Fate of the Furious (around $210m) to become the year’s second-biggest domestic earner behind Beauty and the Beast ($488m-and-counting)......

 

 

 

 

Expected drop on Wednesday of 39-40% depending on actuals. I think we need to remind people every week that Cheap Tuesday is a major force now.

 

Probably a 5-10% drop today for 6.7-7M going into the weekend. The drop will mainly be because of screen loss to accommodate 3 different movies having previews tonight.

[Caladbolg]

4 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Gotta admit that's a shitty drop

 

 

 

 

It's not. With discount Tuesdays becoming bigger, bigger drops will happen on the following Wednesday. Look at last week:

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2017-05-03&p=.htm

Edited May 11, 2017 by Caladbolg

[MikeQ]

Looks like stripe, from the Tuesday thread, was correct about likely seeing 35-40% drops to correct for the huge Tuesday increases. 

 

On face value, not a great drop for Guardians, but in the context of it's Tuesday increase (and the yet-to-be-known Thursday number), it's basically impossible to know. It all depends. As baumer usually says, we gotta wait and see, as we don't really know until the Friday/weekend rolls around.

 

Peace,

Mike

[MattW]

I can confidently say 175 is locked

[titanic2187]

to be fair, while you're enjoyed the great tuesday's number, this is something that we all should've expect.......

[a2k]

-9% on Thu will give 6.75 and 182.75 (176 + 6.75) total.

 

If it has Civil War's FSS % in 2nd weekend, then it gets

16.2 (+140%) + 26.4 (+63%) + 17.4 (-34%) = 60.0

 

So 182.75 + 60 = 242.75 cume

 

Edited May 11, 2017 by a2knet

[Nova]

This isn't making $1B WW imo. It's still on track to do around $330M domestically though. I don't see it heading to an extreme number in any direction. 

 

But of course, there will be plenty of overreactions. 

[HenryjRhetorics]

If this Wednesday number really is that bad of a dive, shall we expect Thur to be somewhere around this figure if not higher? Like 5-10% higher?

I get the preview showing and all but hey, we're talking about law averages here right?

Great Sunday, horrible Monday. Surprising Tuesday, "shitty" Wednesday...

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[MikeQ]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

-9% on Thu will give 6.75 and 182.75 (176 + 6.75) total.

 

If it has Civil War's FSS % in 2nd weekend, then it gets

16.2 (+140%) + 26.4 (+63%) + 17.4 (-34%) = 60.0

 

So 182.75 + 60 = 242.75 cume

 

 

 

This is a definite possibility. A 59% drop for the second weekend, essentially, which would be pretty standard, I think. Civil War, Avengers 2, Iron Man 2, Iron Man 3 all dropped between 58.4 - 59.5% in their second weekend. I'm hoping for a somewhat better hold (56-57%).

 

Peace,

Mike

[JohnnyGossamer]

Pretty much expected drop given what Tuesday at the box office is these day. Still thinking $60M to $65M upcoming weekend DOM for Vol. 2.

[DMan7]

Looks like this won't cross 200M now. 

[grim22]

9 minutes ago, HenryjRhetorics said:

If this Wednesday number really is that bad of a dive, shall we expect Thur to be somewhere around this figure if not higher? Like 5-10% higher?

I get the preview showing and all but hey, we're talking about law averages here right?

Great Sunday, horrible Monday. Surprising Tuesday, "shitty" Wednesday...
 

 

 

 

 

 

Thursday will most likely drop 5-10% from Wednesday. That's just how May weekdays go. Nothing surprising or special about that

[Arlborn]

Eh, it's within range of what movies drop on Wednesdays these days. Slightly disappointing cause we always hope for more of course but nothing out of the ordinary.

[ThomasNicole]

The WW numbers is right?

 

It's on $ 430m by sunday, the movie gross $ 70m WW in just 3 days [monday - wednesday]?