Krissykins Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Expecting +20% Tuesday, -30-35% Wednesday and 5-10% on Thursday. Very happy the film is doing so well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 (edited) 2 hours ago, TwoMisfits said: Taking a Dory Monday decrease isn't quite fair b/c that movie had about 100% schools out...taking a GOTG2/B&TB Monday decrease also isn't fair b/c that had 0% out...making it about 1/2 of each (since what 50% of schools are out) should have been WW's goal and it hit it (it pretty much hit Pets 59.5%...and Pets had a heckuva ending multiplier:)... 31 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: I'd love it to keep matching Pets, but I'm realistic...sometimes... But Pets' +29%, -27%, -6% would be great:)...more than can ever be expected since all schools aren't out yet, even...so I'm gonna hope for the best!:) And yet, I'll still be uber-happy with +20-25%, -30-35%, and - 8-10%... I like Pets as a comparison dream goal b/c that movie had few people who thought it was gonna break out (although I did - yeah for getting 2 right last summer, since I blew Dory:)), it kept building and building through the weekend, and then it had staying power (even against Dory) for weeks...and it was less well-reviewed than WW, so its full summer timing vs WW's early summer timing could be mitigated... Wait so you're unhappy with using Dory number because many more schools were out than in first week of June, but it's a-ok to use Pets numbers even though that came out 2nd week of July with all schools out??? WUT Btw Gitesh also tweeted same number around same time as ERC although they could be using the same source Solid $11.7M MON for #WonderWoman dropping 61% from SUN. Good hold for early JUN. New cume of $114.95M, shd reach $145M+ in 1st full week. — Gitesh Pandya (@GiteshPandya) June 6, 2017 Edited June 6, 2017 by ZeeSoh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 minute ago, ZeeSoh said: Wait so you're unhappy with using Dory number because many more schools were out than in first week of June, but it's a-ok to use Pets numbers even though that came out 2nd week of July with all schools out??? WUT Btw Gitesh also tweeted same number around same time as ERC although they could be using the same source https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya/status/872094259649933312 dang it, how on earth do you embed tweets?? On Twitter click on the down arrow, choose embed. Copy and paste it into Source (upper left hand corner of message box) on forum. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bruchav Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 hour ago, miketheavenger said: Being conservative: 14m (+20%) 9.1m (-35%) 8.2m (-10%) 13.1m (+60%) 18.3m (+40%) 13.7m (-25%) 45m second weekend (-56.5%); 191.3m total. Like I said above, this is quite conservative, though, so could easily go higher. Conservative? I think you're being optimistic; Man of steel fell on Tuesday and made $ 11.5 (8-), I think you prediction of increase (+20) on Tuesday is high, but let's see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 minute ago, bruchav said: Conservative? I think you're being optimistic; Man of steel fell on Tuesday and made $ 11.5 (8-), I think you prediction of increase (+20) on Tuesday is high, but let's see. Discount Tuesdays have dramatically increased since 2013. I tend to always be conservative with Tuesdays (and usually I'm too low) but I think at least a modest increase is in order. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 35 minutes ago, MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie said: Let's get to a point where Carol can lead a team of Avengers composed of an 80% female roster, and it doesn't seem out of the ordinary. Hmmm, unfortunately I don't think that's who Blanchett is playing in Ragnarok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the beast Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 (edited) Pessimistic Scenario: $11.7M $12.05M (+3%) $8.195M (-32%) $7.3M (-11%) Weekend: $43.36M (-58%) Total: $185.91M (10 Days) Realistic Scenario: $11.7M $14.4M (+23%) $10.36M (-28%) $9.42M (-9%) Weekend: $52M (-49.7%) Total: $201.13M (10 Days Optomistic Scenario: $11.7M $15.44M (+33%) $11.65 (-24.5%) $10.86M (-6.5%) Weekend: $57.82M (-44%) Total: $210.72M (10 Days) Edited June 6, 2017 by the beast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 WW will increase today for sure. Check last years tuesday increases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 (edited) 40 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Wait so you're unhappy with using Dory number because many more schools were out than in first week of June, but it's a-ok to use Pets numbers even though that came out 2nd week of July with all schools out??? WUT Btw Gitesh also tweeted same number around same time as ERC although they could be using the same source Yup, b/c Pets weekend mirrored WW's build, it was the same unexpected last minute breakout, and with lower reviews vs WW, that should offset the summer timing difference...and they opened within $1M of each other:)...if I had a dream multiplier goal, it would be Pets. Do I expect WW to be Pets? Not yet, although if Cars 3 and DM3 are bad, that would go a LONG way to seeing that kinda breakout, but that's info we can't know yet, except both films are 3+ sequels (since they have offshoot films weighing them down, plus they are the 3rd in line, too)... Ice Age 5 being bad and a 5thquel aided Pets breakout last year...timing and quality of other films do matter... Edited June 6, 2017 by TwoMisfits 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Why wouldn't WW increase today? When was the last time a movie didn't increase on a Tuesday with discount Tuesdays being as big as they are? Even films with toxic WOM have increased on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subzero Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 10 minutes ago, the beast said: Pessimistic Scenario: $11.7M $12.05M (+3%) $8.195M (-32%) $7.3M (-11%) Weekend: $43.36M (-58%) Total: $162.105M (10 Days) Realistic Scenario: $11.7M $14.4M (+23%) $10.36M (-28%) $9.42M (-9%) Weekend: $52M (-49.7%) Total: $201.13M (10 Days Optomistic Scenario: $11.7M $15.44M (+33%) $11.65 (-24.5%) $10.86M (-6.5%) Weekend: $57.82M (-44%) Total: $210.72M (10 Days) I think you have the total wrong for the first one .... $162 is too low ...it should be atleast $185+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the beast Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, Subzero said: I think you have the total wrong for the first one .... $162 is too low ...it should be atleast $185+ Ya i just realised there it didnt look right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 3 hours ago, Nova said: Why wouldn't WW increase today? When was the last time a movie didn't increase on a Tuesday with discount Tuesdays being as big as they are? Even films with toxic WOM have increased on Tuesday. You're right. Discount Tuesdays have gotten progressively bigger every year. The last time a film decreased on the same Tuesday was The Fault in Our Stars. But that had a really strange run. You have to go all the way back to 2013 to find films decreasing on the second or first Tuesday in June. But that was eons ago. Discount Tuesdays are just too big now so WW is guaranteed to increase today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Just now, the beast said: Ya i just realised there it didnt look right Math...it's fundamental:)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonder89 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 hour ago, Arlborn said: I hope it can get close to 15M today but I'll be very happy with anything over 14M obviously. I think 14m is too high for today, 12+ will be very good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 (edited) Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days - (2) Captain Underpants: The Fir… 20th Century Fox $2,003,115 -71% 3,434 $583 $25,854,654 4 - (5) Baywatch Paramount Pictures $1,126,275 -55% 3,647 $309 $43,091,998 12 - (6) Alien: Covenant 20th Century Fox $546,806 -57% 2,660 $206 $67,889,174 18 - (8) Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The L… 20th Century Fox $194,187 -52% 2,088 $93 $18,088,584 18 - (9) Snatched 20th Century Fox $173,629 -49% 1,625 $107 $44,020,625 25 - (13) The Boss Baby 20th Century Fox $96,400 -49% 684 $141 $171,018,103 67 - (14) The Fate of the Furious Universal $66,285 -46% 593 $112 $223,873,685 53 - (-) The Lovers A24 $31,117 -54% 348 $89 $1,943,302 32 - (-) Lowriders BH Tilt $29,980 -56% 179 $167 $5,784,605 25 - (-) Gifted Fox Searchlight $24,946 -51% 225 $111 $24,091,653 60 - (-) Get Out Universal $11,910 -45% 121 $98 $175,440,265 102 - (-) The Zookeeper’s Wife Focus Features $9,120 -59% 115 $79 $17,313,401 67 - (-) Their Finest STX Entertainment $6,917 -53% 73 $95 $3,513,378 60 - (-) Logan 20th Century Fox $5,451 -54% 92 $59 $226,192,757 95 - (-) The Circle STX Entertainment $4,827 -68% 91 $53 $20,481,128 39 - (-) The Exception A24 $3,267 -48% 2 $1,634 $24,618 4 - (-) The Recall Freestyle Releasing $587 -74% 7 $84 $7,157 4 - (-) Phoenix Forgotten Entertainment Studi… $134 -63% 1 $134 $3,598,523 46 Edited June 6, 2017 by TalismanRing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alisson23 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 hour ago, EmpireCity said: I think ERC is reporting too low of a number. Why don't you say the number? If you want likes, make quality posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, alisson23 said: Why don't you say the number? If you want likes, make quality posts. 18 likes on that one post though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, alisson23 said: Why don't you say the number? If you want likes, make quality posts. Mm, I love when people get salty over like counts 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 STILL no official Monday WW numbers? Jesus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...