Jump to content

kayumanggi

THE INCREDIBLES II | 634.2 M overseas ● 1242.8 M worldwide

Recommended Posts









5 minutes ago, Joel M said:

Better slow your roll with the 600m predictions, especially after Dory.

Agreed. Unless China explodes, I do not see so enormous numbers. 450-550, depending mostly on China behaviour.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites





According to BOM, the original had a DOM/OS split of 41.3% / 58.7%.

 

With that kind of split, I2 would "only" need $587m overseas to reach billion worldwide. :P

 

If the movie does, like Box Office Pro have in their long range tracking, $425m domestic, I don't see the original's split holding (hard to see overseas going over $600m unless China goes crazy); with a 45/55 split the OS gross would then be $519.4m, with $944.4m worldwide. Using the über-pessimistic(?) Finding Dory split (47.3% / 52.7%) would give $473.5m OS and $898.5m worldwide.

 

And the possible shocker 50/50 split would of course give $850m worldwide.

Link to comment
Share on other sites





8 hours ago, Joel M said:

Better slow your roll with the 600m predictions, especially after Dory.

OS without China

Zootopia made $447M -> incl China it's $683M

Coco made $408M -> incl China it's $597M

Finding Dory made $504M -> incl China it's $542M

 

Notice how these numbers are turned on their heads when adding China.

It really does boil down to this single market and I would say that Incredibles 2 has the capacity to earn as much as Dory everywhere else. As for China, it really is an unknown but $600M is not out of the question or overoptimistic, in my opinion. Of course, something around $500M could be equally likely. We'll see.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites









15 hours ago, Quigley said:

OS without China

Zootopia made $447M -> incl China it's $683M

Coco made $408M -> incl China it's $597M

Finding Dory made $504M -> incl China it's $542M

 

Notice how these numbers are turned on their heads when adding China.

It really does boil down to this single market and I would say that Incredibles 2 has the capacity to earn as much as Dory everywhere else. As for China, it really is an unknown but $600M is not out of the question or overoptimistic, in my opinion. Of course, something around $500M could be equally likely. We'll see.

It might I guess but it's not exactly probable considering Dory's run. Leaving China aside I don't think it's that easy to do Dory's 500m OS-China. Dory was very well reviewed and Nemo is one of the most beloved animations ever worldwide, and Dory still lost to Nemo in half the markets despite a decade of inflation +3D. It's an animation sequel to a movie from 15 years ago. Not the same thing with Shrek2,DM2,Ice Age 2 etc. It's far from a sure thing that it would explode in all the markets the first one made very little because they were much smaller in 2004.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



2 minutes ago, Joel M said:

It might I guess but it's not exactly probable considering Dory's run. Leaving China aside I don't think it's that easy to do Dory's 500m OS-China. Dory was very well reviewed and Nemo is one of the most beloved animations ever worldwide, and Dory still lost to Nemo in half the markets despite a decade of inflation +3D. It's an animation sequel to a movie from 15 years ago. Not the same thing with Shrek2,DM2,Ice Age 2 etc. It's far from a sure thing that it would explode in all the markets the first one made very little because they were much smaller in 2004.

 

True, it's far from a given. But the first one opened in November and I would say that the summer is a more lucrative period in general, so it is possible. North America will clearly have one of the biggest boosts. For other countries, it could be anynoe's guess.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.