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Finnick

Monday numbers: SMH: 12.2M, DM3 4.3M, BD 1.67M, WW 1.18M Today, we celebrate our MOEDAY

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4 minutes ago, Finnick said:

again, forbes did it again!! I think they have a special department that just set up to write something about WW everdays!!!!

 

-72% drop from last monday!! Flop!! Failure!! Stop Wonder WOman 2!!!

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If it follows June 26-29 in weekdays:

 

1.2M

1.5M (+27%)

1.1M (-29%)

1M (-5%)

 

1.5M (+50%)

2M (+36%)

1.5M (-27%)

5M Weekend, 49% drop

 

But I'm just a hater, so what do I know?

Edited by WrathOfHan
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But it's obviously not going to follow your pattern there buddy. There's no reason for it to drop 50% this weekend when a film that open with 117 million couldn't even stop it from dropping less than 40%.

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

 

But I'm just a hater, so what do I know?

 

Truer words have never been spoken. Good that you set a 5M baseline, will be fun when the weekend comes around. Especially considering it hasn't touched a 40% drop yet.

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9 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

 

But I'm just a hater, so what do I know?

 

True. 

Your prediction makes perfect sense.

Heck, I feel it will drop 70 - 75 %. I sense Spidey's second  weekend will be what truly destroys WW's streak of under-40 % drops. ;) 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Cochofles
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7 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

Truer words have never been spoken. Good that you set a 5M baseline, will be fun when the weekend comes around. Especially considering it hasn't touched a 40% drop yet.

Ok. Let's have some fun. It needs 5.9M to drop 40%. Let's highball Tuesday and bump Friday and Saturday up:

 

1.1M

1.5M (+35%)

1.1M (-27%)

1.1M (-4% or less)

 

1.7M (+55%)

2.4M (+40%)

1.8M (-25%)

5.9M Weekend, 40% drop

 

So yeah, it could totally happen, but so could the 49% drop scenario! I was pretty damn close last week and only off by a couple hundred thousand (9.6M vs 9.8M), so this treatment is hilarious.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Ok. Let's have some fun. It needs 5.9M to drop 40%. Let's highball Tuesday and bump Friday and Saturday up:

 

1.1M

1.5M (+35%)

1.1M (-27%)

1.1M (-4% or less)

 

1.7M (+55%)

2.4M (+40%)

1.8M (-25%)

5.9M Weekend, 40% drop

 

So yeah, it could totally happen! I was pretty damn close last week and only off by a couple hundred thousand, so this treatment is hilarious.

 

What a casual hater here.

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If you go back to what I wrote its 1st week out, WW's gonna probably take its 1st big theater hit on the July 21 weekend...so WrathofHan, I'd save that 50% weekend drop for one when it's theoretically possible:)...if she loses 1K theaters that weekend, that might be a tipping point into a big drop (I am still not convinced on that, but it's more possible)...

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Just now, TwoMisfits said:

If you go back to what I wrote its 1st week out, WW's gonna probably take its 1st big theater hit on the July 21 weekend...so WrathofHan, I'd save that 50% weekend drop for one when it's theoretically possible:)...if she loses 1K theaters that weekend, that might be a tipping point into a big drop (I am still not convinced on that, but it's more possible)...

Even if it loses 1k next weekend, WB will have double features with Dunkirk. That'll probably prevent a 50% drop.

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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

How about you actually argue the numbers and scenarios I'm providing instead of posting memes? I would love to see your day by day breakdown.

 

I wont argue with a casual and haters here. But a movie dropping 50% after not having dropped more than 39% to date just seems unlikely.

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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Even if it loses 1k next weekend, WB will have double features with Dunkirk. That'll probably prevent a 50% drop.

 

Well, notice I wasn't convinced...but double features, while helpful, are still not as helpful as having 1K extra theaters...

 

She may not lose close to that number, either...but with so many wide openers, it was the 1st possible shot for her to take a big theater drop, especially at small theaters (10 screens or less)...

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Just now, WrathOfHan said:
Jun 9–11 1 $58,520,672 -43.3%
 
       

 

Remove previews out and it's less. Also, second weekend :rofl:

 

The WW run giving Han heartache is amazing though. Every single week you comment first on the WW box office posts just to say "This is the week it starts dropping hard"

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Split:

 

Jan 20–22 1 $40,010,975 - 3,038 - $13,170 $40,010,975 1
Jan 27–29 1 $25,655,440 -35.9% 3,199 +161 $8,020 $77,385,530 2
Feb 3–5 1 $14,424,195 -43.8% 3,373 +174 $4,276 $98,540,660 3
Feb 10–12 4 $9,525,935 -34.0% 2,961 -412 $3,217 $112,498,205 4
Feb 17–19 7 $7,159,970 -24.8% 2,445 -516 $2,928 $123,725,500 5
Feb 17–20 7 $8,488,990 -10.9% 2,445 -516 $3,472 $125,054,520 5
Feb 24–26 9 $4,098,990 -42.8% 1,901 -544 $2,156 $130,823,885 6
Mar 3–5 15 $2,091,660 -49.0% 1,126 -775 $1,858 $134,044,560 7

 

It had its first drop over 43.8% in its 7th weekend, and at the number I think could happen for WW, which will be in its 7th weekend. So yeah, totally possible.

 

Edited by WrathOfHan
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Just now, grim22 said:

 

Remove previews out and it's less. Also, second weekend :rofl:

 

The WW run giving Han heartache is amazing though. Every single week you comment first on the WW box office posts just to say "This is the week it starts dropping hard"

Except I was optimistic last week and ended up being off by 200k.

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