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Wednesday #s: SMH 9.9M | Wonder Woman 1.26M (Forbes)

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No one predicted it would have 3.9x because no super hero film has ever done that in the modern era. Also no film thats opened north of 100 million has ever had 3.9 legs either. So he didn't predict to do it after it opened you just over predicted it.

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10 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said:

I expect this film to have a beast of jump this Sat, yes. I know how tough it is. But that's what my guts say.

If Spidey was so special like Wonder Woman it's weekend multi would have been stronger. 

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2 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said:

That was me entering the club for WW over Spider-Man in May, 23rd. Baumer asked me if I had a post of me saying that that was possible after WW's OW, I do have a post like that on that exact club. 

aabattery

UNDERDOG

DamienRoc

Subzero

raegr

iJack

a2knet

YourMother

teardropmina

FantasticBeasts

Chipmunky

SteveJaros

Jay Hollywood

grim22

Morieris

Neilio

marveldcfox

James

(cochofles) (honorary member)

 

This were the member in tele's club. I will not say that they predicted WW's run right. You know why? 'cos of this-

 

Chewy - 400m

Domestic Total: 368.5m

franfar - 350m
grim22 - 340m
aabattery - 335m
Cmasterclay - 320m
Chaasmi - 315m
Blankments - 315m
The Panda - 315m
bcf26 - 315m
kayumanggi - 315m

Telemachos - 305m
narniads - 303m
Simionski - 300m
darkelf - 300m
Kalo - 300m
Exxdee - 300m
That One Guy - 300m
Baumer - 298m
Empire - 286m
MovieMan - 285m
24Lost - 280m
WrathofHan - 280m
Jake Gittes - 277m

Mike Hunt - 275m
damnitgeorge08 - 275m
Spaghetti - 275m
jj99 - 265m
Matrix4You - 260m
Goffe - 260m
BastienGiot - 260m

Water Bottle - 258m
DamienRoc - 247m
MrPink - 245m
Fancyarcher - 240m
glassfairy - 240m
Wrath - 232m
The Dark Alfred - 228m

#ED - 210m
Tree - 194m
JJ-8 - 191.6m

Grey Ghost - 175m

 

Summer game WW dom total prediction.

Hail chewy!

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3 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

If Spidey was so special like Wonder Woman it's weekend multi would have been stronger. 

 

Thats not entirely true. Spidey has more upfront demand. So naturally it would be more front loaded.

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Just now, baumer said:

 

Thats not entirely true. Spidey has more upfront demand. So naturally it would be more front loaded.

Yes it always would have been more front-loaded but usually movies that have big drops from Friday to Saturday have a corrective drop on Sunday. And by corrective I mean around a 10 - 15% and that didn't happen. It's Sunday drop off was pretty normal. People compared the movie to Dark Knight but the Dark Knight dropped 8% so the comparison is not correct. There has been no sign of course correction in its numbers so far.

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9 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Uh no. Thats pre release. I said show me where u said it would hit 400 AFTER it opened. All u did there is MASSIVELY over predict its opening weekend.

I thought I had it posted on Tele's club but I'm not finding it. I know for sure that I've commented after WW's ow that Tele's club was going to happen. I have to go to work now but I know it's here somewhere. 

 

That said, I did find some posts there that do serve to some retrospect regarding Spidey and Wondy:

 

On 02/06/2017 at 0:52 PM, ChipMunky said:

Films that have made $400 mil:

 

Frozen - $94 mil OW

RotF - $109 mil OW

SM1 - $115 mil OW

TS3 - $110 mil OW

DMC - $135 mil OW

Shrek 2 - $108 mil OW

Avatar - $77 mil OW

 

MUST BE IMPOSSIBLE. NO FILM HAS EVER MADE $400 mil BEFORE!

 

On 10/06/2017 at 3:02 PM, baumer said:

No. Im not wagering. Its not hitting 403. Obviously. Im just saying it held much better than i thought it would.

 

:insane:

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5 minutes ago, Hatebox said:

 

Baumer has no problem putting his hands up and saying "I was wrong", though.

I agree. I was wrong about WW's, SMH's AND Vol. 2's OW. I have said that again and again. What I'm saying is that I see SMH's second weekend going differently than most are predicting here. So let's see.

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46 minutes ago, XO21 said:

The only chance Spidey has to do better than expected is in August...Annabelle 2 will be the highest grossing movie of the month. 

 

*The Dark Tower looks like a stinker, below Mummy DOM

 

I agree, The Dark Tower looks DOA. 

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1 hour ago, baumer said:

No one predicted it would have 3.9x because no super hero film has ever done that in the modern era. Also no film thats opened north of 100 million has ever had 3.9 legs either. So he didn't predict to do it after it opened you just over predicted it.

 

I think he was an early bandwagon joiner...after OW on its Tuesday, I said I thought WW would still squeak over GOTG 2 (and it is) and made a bandwagon for folks to join...and like 1 person joined me that week, one the next, and then I started getting you all on board...that would be the message he would be finding - a like or reply to mine:)...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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Well I guess you have made some incredible calls this year twoMisfits. And apparently quite a few of them according to what you have been mentioning for the last month or so. :)

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3 minutes ago, baumer said:

Well I guess you have made some incredible calls this year twoMisfits. And apparently quite a few of them according to what you have been mentioning for the last month or so. :)

 

I've also made incredibly bad ones (just less of them), too...Baywatch is gonna be my summer disaster:)...it's gonna keep me from predicting R comedies (without supers) from now on...

 

I figure I bet the movies I think...so if my Casino total is above where I started the summer (750), then I've made more good ones than bad...right now, I'm at 1025, so I'm doing pretty well, but I could be better (damn less than $1M OW cost me Spidey:)...

 

I like to put "fake" money where my mouth is:)...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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1 minute ago, jj99 said:

@iJackSparrow is cracking me up. 

 

I hope you'll graciously return after SMH doesn't hit 60M to admit you were wrong.

 

What i dont understand is, why are you setting up this movie to fail. Its already doing amazingly well. 

It doesn't need to break $60m to keep going amazingly well. Wonder Woman didn't need to open to $138m like I've predicted to reach $358m+. I'm going with my guts. It'll be closer to $60m than most seem to think.

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1 hour ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

If Spidey was so special like Wonder Woman it's weekend multi would have been stronger. 

 

Thats clown logic. No other superhero has ever had a 4 multiplier, at least not in the last 15 years. Nobody saw that one coming.

 

So to say SH is nothing special is retarded. We probably won't see another run like this(WW) for years. SH will be just fine grossing 300+ million domestic, and 900+ million WW.

 

Sony will be very happy.

Edited by KJsooner
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