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Pypa94

Poland Box Office | Avatar: The Way of Water is HUGE

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Fast 7 

37 548 / 925 138 (-30%) 

1 mln locked but not more than few hundreds ;p

220 708 cume adm for weekend 

 

Next weekend: finally AOU start 7th of May (thursday)

According to sfp.org.pl it could have best OW for hero movies

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TOP Opening weekends of comic book movies in ADM (not all but all I could get or find or calculate I skipped some of them: Sin Sity, TLoEG, Bulletproof, V for Vendetta, 2 Guns, R.I.P.D., Wanted, TMNT I focused mostly on heroes)
 
1. Iron Man 3 (2013)                    201 733
2. The Dark Knight Rises (2012)  158 581
3. Thor The Dark World (2013)    138 609
4. The Avengers (2012)               125 751
5. The Dark Knight (2008)            110 168
6. Big Hero 6 (2014)*                      95 016                                             *it's 2nd weekend was higher than OW (149 368)                                                                                                                        because of St Nicolaus' Day
7. Spider Man 3 (2007)                   92 381
8. Constantine (2005)                     90 200 (est)**                                  ** based on BOM, ER and avg ticket price
9. Spider Man 2 (2004)                   90 000 (est)**
10. TASM 2 (2014)                         68 628
11. GotG (2014)                              64 413
12. Iron Man 2 (2010)                     56 418
13. Man of Steel (2012)                  55 586
14. Thor (2011)                               49 799
15. Hercules (2014)                        48 126
16. X-Men DoFP (2014)                  45 412
17. Captain America 2 (2014)         43 161

18. Ghost Rider (2007)                   42 383
19. Batman - Begins (2005)            40 000 (est)***                                   *** according to sfp.org.pl
20. Ghost Rider 2 (2012)                39 853
21. Kingsman (2015)                       38 590 
22. Iron Man (2008)                         38 095
23. TASM (2012)                             37 637
24. Watchmen (2009)                      34 527    
25. Origins: Wolverine (2009)          34 002

26. X-Men The Last Stand (2006)   33 847
27. X2: X-Men United (2003)           32 700 (est)**
28. Wolverine (2012)                       31 042
29. Superman Returns (2006)        21 239
30. Hulk (2003)                                26 100 (est)**
31. Hellboy II (2008)                        25 547
32. Captain America TFA (2011)     20 575                 
33. The Incredible Hulk (2008)        19 978
34. Blade Trinity (2005)                   18 900 (est)**
35. Green Lantern (2011)                18 386
36. The Green Hornet (2011)          15 539
37. The Punisher (2004)                  15 150 (est)**
38. X-Men: First Class (2011)          14 176
39. F4 (2005)                                   12 500
40. Catwoman (2004)                      12 200 (est)** 
41. Hellboy (2004)                           12 100 (est)**
42. Daredevil (2003)                        11 450 (est)**

43. F4: Silver Surfer (2007)             11 158
44. Dredd (2012)                               8 143  
45. Kick-Ass (2010)                           6 276

Edited by Pypa94
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SW7 could potentially be big

(BOM)

OW /cume (gross $)

SW Ep1 ??? /4 723 128 (1 369 664 cume adm)

SW Ep2 ??? /3 103 567

SW Ep3 1 583 779 /4 266 950 (332 820 OW adm)

If it was able to open 300k+ so now I guess it can be 500k+

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stopklatka.pl reported AOU OW is best for superhero movie in Poland 

 

254 k more than 50% better than 125 k of TA!!

 

EDIT: It could be numbers of 4-day opening and Wednesday IMAX marathons but still very good opening

Edited by Pypa94
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Second weekend AOU

98 077 drop 55% cume 458 018

It will beat TA1 adm this week and could beat TDKR as most attended superhero movie at the end of run (684k)

F7 few thousands from 1 mln adm

Edited by Pypa94
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Mad Max: Fury Road 

 

wknd / cume/ screens

 

82 324/ 82 851/ 272

--------------------------------

AOU

 

44 666/ 559 870/ 344 (-56%)

 

beat TA could beat TDKR

------------------------------------

F7

 

has already been out of top 10 after 6 weeks 

This weekend only 4 888 and cume 987 010 

1 mln out of reach (0.003% possibility xd)

Edited by Pypa94
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AOU need softer drops during weekdays and weekend cause now it's going to lose with TDKR (684k)

 

cume after next few wknds with drop as now (about 55%)

 

605k

625k

634k

638k

640k end

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Mad Max will have a steep drop. They had maarathons in 3 big cinema networks. That probably added 10-20k viewers so real numbers are lower. I was in MK tarasy, one day after opening at 20.30 and half of the room was empty.

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I was midweek on Wednesday at 10:30 and there were 3 people including me ;p

 

I predict a 64%+ drop. It's going to be steep. Warner and Fox are really bad at marketing their movies this year. FFs this movie did over 50k viewers in Romania! While this probably did 60 without marathons. 

 

Now I've seen Spy and fox will kill this movie. I don't like Paul Feig or Melissa McCarthy but it's a really good movie and literally no one wants to see it. It may open sub 25 or even sub 20. 

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Good marketing or bad I think it's not most important. We love watching Middlearth's movies, 50SoG, polish comiedies Shrek and others animations but good movies usually don't earn good money that's the problem.

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Good marketing or bad I think it's not most important. We love watching Middlearth's movies, 50SoG, polish comiedies Shrek and others animations but good movies usually don't earn good money that's the problem.

 

You underestimate how much can good marketing matter. Yes of course there are movies you would have to stupid to not open them big (50 shades) but a ton of non obvious movies sell bad in Poland if they are distributed by the majords and not independents (monolith, kino świat).

 

Also warner in romania is actually distributed by indie distributor if I remember right and you see the result that is much better than in Poland if you compare local potential. 

 

Also you think poles are stupid yet superhero movies do badly here. Hell Academy contenders do better than 3/4 of them. Also Polish comedies don't always do well. If you had a boxoffice.pl account you would see they fail quite often ;)

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12-14th of June

1st Jurassic World good opening 132 866/ 304 screens 7th biggest opening of the year

It will pass Jurassic Park III (227k) but first two are out of reach (respectively 2,785kk [one of the biggest after 1989] and 962k]

It should end close to 400k-425k if hold well if not about 350k

AOU probably won't pass TDKR(684k) but it will be close. This wkd 5 549 (54% drop) cume 673 286 (weekdays are weak too almost 70% drop)

Spy after weak opening (16 389) this wkd hold well only 12,3% drop to 14 379 cume 55 194(great performance through weekdays)

San Andreas (OW 35 000) drop 46% to 19 015 cume 95 870 (good through weekdays)

Mad Max cume close to 300k (294 002) after 41,5% drop.

Tomorrowland cume 163 779 (37% drop)

19-21th Of June

New:

Insidious part 3

She's funny that way

Entourage

The face of Angel

Jurassic World should keep first place

There were also previews of Inside Out in few cinemas from biggest chain (2 or 3 shows per day) on Sat and Sun

Next weekend 26-28th

Minions should be big maybe 200k OW but don't know about legs cause 1st of July Inside Out is opening.

Big Game

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19-21th Of June

JW kept 1st place with only 8% drop! (rainy weekend so people chose cinemas but still impressive!) 122 242/ 376 315

500k is locked with similar hold could get close to 600k.

New:

She's funny that way - 2nd 32 909 with previews target 150k-175k

Insidious part 3 - 3rd 27 460 target is to passed previous part at least (almost 100k)

Old:

Tomorrowland increase a bit to 14 714(+10%) cume 197 442 target 225k+

Spy drop 1% to 14 215/ 85 765 target 110k+

San Andreas drop harsh 30% to 13 916/ 130 006 target is 150k+

Mad Max possibly last weekend in top 10 drop 19,5% to 10 271/ 318 718 target 330k+

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19-21th Of June

JW kept 1st place with only 8% drop! (rainy weekend so people chose cinemas but still impressive!) 122 242/ 376 315

500k is locked with similar hold could get close to 600k.

New:

She's funny that way - 2nd 32 909 with previews target 150k-175k

Insidious part 3 - 3rd 27 460 target is to passed previous part at least (almost 100k)

Old:

Tomorrowland increase a bit to 14 714(+10%) cume 197 442 target 225k+

Spy drop 1% to 14 215/ 85 765 target 110k+

San Andreas drop harsh 30% to 13 916/ 130 006 target is 150k+

Mad Max possibly last weekend in top 10 drop 19,5% to 10 271/ 318 718 target 330k+

 

Every movie went up or dropped little.

 

 

As for JW. Multikino and Helios dropped JW from this week so expect A BIG DROP

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26-28th of JUNE

 

Minions smashed everyone with theirs OW numbers since February and premiere of 50SoG - 2nd best OW of the year 439 770/ 307 (very good avg per screen)! it opened 4 times better than DM2 (110k cume 554k) and beat the whole run of DM in 2 days (307k). WIth holidays it could become biggest movie of year with shots to 2 mln adm. Will se next weekend with Inside Out numbers. Weekdays should be very strong for Minions. 

 

NEW: 

Big Game 7 798/ 76 very weak opening mehhh

 

OLD:

JW (-65%) - 42 362/ 537 939 [big drop cause Minions but great hold thru week almost the same as last weekend gross and last weekdays gross!] proj: 675-700k 

She's Funny That Way cume 69 804 proj: 100-125k

Insidious part 3 cume 68 374 proj: 100k

Spy cume 114 131 (impresive hold!) proj: 200k

San Andreas cume 156 033 (very good hold thru weekdays) proj: 200k

Mad Max cume 337 327 proj: 360-375k

Tomorrowland cume 236 062 (incredibly good preformance thru week! +65% vs week before) proj: 275-300k

 

AOU finally beat TDKR and has 691k - best adm comic movie ever [ufff... close race]

Edited by Pypa94
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