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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

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yep, Minions should overtake DH2. But remember that the first Harry Potter had more than 12,5mil admissions - the franchise was pretty stable but it DID go down steadily.

Yeah I know.

How many admissions do you think the new hp spin-off will make by the way?

:)

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Wow! WB dominates the German market. 5/10 Top 10 movies are distributed by them. Makes me curious about the prospect of Fantastic Beasts next year. 

only in US$ and only because of the Hobbit ... this year Universal has a 35% market share (until now, with Spectre, SW7 and FJG2 other distributors should gain a bit)

 

as to FantasticBeasts - as mentioned before, the HP franchise was very blockbustery but showed a steady decline from 1 - and it's some years now since the HP craze - so I would say we can expect a blockbuster (3-4mil) but everything above is icing.

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First trend from insidekino.de:

 

#1: SOC - 150k admissions (-10%)

#2: Minions - 150k (+85%!! - 6,5mil total)

#3: MI5 - 90k (+2%)

#4, best opener: Transporter Refueled, 80k

#5: H47 - 70k (-15%)

 

that's rather nice overall and Universal keeps expanding its market share before FJG2 strikes.

what?? 85% jump for Minions?? Is 7m locked now? Or will the summer end impact it?

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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Minions

124.568

770

162

6.496.759

55.138.472

+53

10

2

Straight Outta Compton

117.689

358

329

381.606

3.561.169

-29

2

3

Mission: Impossible 5

89.031

606

147

1.273.596

11.062.566

+1

5

4

The Transporter 4

75.623

395

191

80.165

664.453

-

1

5

Hitman - Agent 47

63.867

506

126

184.180

1.489.055

-24

2

6

Pixels

58.607

584

100

974.779

8.426.681

+23

6

7

Der kleine Rabe Socke 2

50.026

511

98

179.134

1.110.708

+82

3

8

Ricki and the Flash

43.386

249

174

69.320

533.921

-

1

9

Southpaw

41.175

310

133

216.477

1.868.029

-9

3

10

We Are Your Friends

32.816

233

141

121.573

893.523

-18

2

11

Vacation

32.333

416

78

185.276

1.422.221

-9

3

12

Queen of the Desert

30.581

158

194

41.277

316.860

-

1

13

Trainwreck

27.779

459

61

381.172

3.114.368

-26

4

14

Ooops! Die Arche ist weg...

18.186

385

47

198.690

1.257.997

+83

6

15

Magic Mike XXL

17.205

274

63

989.287

7.989.264

-13

7

16

Boychoir

16.716

135

124

46.704

351.090

+38

2

17

Paper Towns

15.212

323

47

335.978

2.459.680

+18

6

18

The Man from U.N.C.L.E.

14.297

251

57

210.938

1.679.076

-23

4

19

Jurassic World

13.189

188

70

4.104.830

43.783.714

+4

13

20

The Gallows

11.899

74

161

30.400

260.779

-9

2

 

Overall a not-so-bad weekend with nice rebounds from family stuff - Minions went up 53% and has crossed 5,5mil total by now; other family films had even steeper increases! Drops otoh were very soft, total admissions went up by more than 10% compared to last weekend despite underwhelming openers. Apart from Minions, Pixels and MM XXL are doing fine, both should have crossed 1mil total by next weekend. SOC dropped hard but the PTA is still fine.

 

Next weekend: The big story is of course Fack Ju Göhte 2, the sequel to the 2013 blockbuster comedy (>7mil admissions), and since the target demo are exactly the ADHD-prone teens who have to catch everything as fast as possible, this should become a really really massive opening, 2mil admissions and change are not possible but probable! The biggest openers in Germany were Harry Potter films, with HP1 topping out at nearly 2,6mil! Of course, there's no other wide opening - in fact, it makes little sense for a theater to play anything but FJG2 next weekend at all except maybe on matinees - and so the questions are: What will be FJG2's market share (80% seem possible with the weak competition), and will we see a new opening record? (I don't think so but >2mil should happen).

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What is your Star Wars prediction for the German market? The movies seem to be hyper-frontloaded, can it top 6mio admissions?

well, SW sure has lots of potenttial - EP1 with more than 9mil admissions is witness but neither EP2 nor 3 reached 6mil. Maybe by now the sour aftertaste is forgotten - EP3 was in general opinion the best of the bunch - and maybe the quality is higher this time, too, JJ has shown that he can please crowds even if he has imho never shot a more than 75% good movie in his career.

The christmas opening means three extremely strong weeks anyway so I'd put it in the 6-7mil admissions range with potential up to 9 if it's a real crowdpleaser.

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