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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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27 minutes ago, KathNiel said:

 

Frozen is Disney's biggest movie in Japan, but BatB get past Alice in Wonderland as its biggest live-action film.

Yeah I mean live-action.

Is Armageddon counted as Disney movie? It's released by Disney in Japan, made 13.5B

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Weekend Estimates (06/24-25)
01 (01) ¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), -14%, ¥1,375,000,000 ($12.4 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) WK3
02 (02) ¥204,000,000 ($1.8 million), -07%, ¥11,800,000,000 ($104.5 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK10
03 (03) ¥147,000,000 ($1.3 million), -24%, ¥1,425,000,000 ($12.7 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) WK3
04 (---) ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), Hacksaw Ridge (Kino Films) NEW
05 (05) ¥96,000,000 ($860,000), -36%, ¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), Innocent Curse (Shochiku) WK2
06 (04) ¥73,000,000 ($655,000), -55%, ¥325,000,000 ($2.9 million), The Irregular at Magic High School: Girl Who Summons Stars (Aniplex) WK2
07 (---) ¥50,000,000 ($450,000), 0, ¥50,000,000 ($450,000), Space Battleship Yamato 2202: Chapter of Departure (Shochiku Media Division) NEW
08 (---) ¥45,000,000 ($405,000), 0, ¥45,000,000 ($405,000), When Will You Return? (Showgate) NEW
09 (06) ¥42,000,000 ($375,000), -50%, ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (Warner Bros.) WK2
10 (10) ¥37,000,000 ($330,000), -09%, ¥230,000,000 ($2.0 million), King of Prism: Pride the Hero (Avex Pictures) WK3


As expected, this weekend marked the third-consecutive week that we have a very close race for the #1 spot between the top 2 films.

>Confessions of a Murderer appears to have edge out another weekend victory, its third-consecutive, delivering another excellent hold. Its chances of exceeding ¥2 billion ($20 million) are becoming higher and higher, and it'll have to suffer some serious drops over the next couple weeks to miss the milestone. It's likely to out-gross Kong: Skull Island to become the highest-grossing film of 2017 for Warner Bros..

>Beauty and the Beast might have to settle for another close second place finish, but its tenth weekend is one of the 10 biggest of all-time. Also, Disney will have reason to celebrate today as well, since the film will out-gross Alice in Wonderland (¥11.80 billion) to become their highest-grossing live-action film in Japan -- if it doesn't happen with actuals tomorrow, it's going to happen on Monday.

>Hacksaw Ridge came in a little lower than I was expecting but if it stays above ¥100 million with actuals, it's a win for the film and a bigger win for distributor Kino Films. Japan will become either its second or third biggest international market behind China (very impressive there), and maybe the UK.

 

as per corpse. weekend actual will come in later i think 

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9 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Any tracking/projections for POTC5?

What OW does it need for 65-70m USD total?

 

Pirates 4 had a 7.36x multipier, so a $9-9.5 million opening weekend would be required if this has the same legs. 

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CORPSE

 

Weekend Actuals (06/24-25)
01 (01) ¥230,816,800 ($2.1 million), -12%, ¥1,433,412,100 ($12.8 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) WK3
02 (02) ¥207,013,700 ($1.8 million), -06%, ¥11,812,989,900 ($104.6 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK10
03 (03) ¥151,949,700 ($1.3 million), -22%, ¥1,487,620,900 ($13.2 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) WK3
04 (---) ¥105,781,500 ($945,000), 0, ¥105,781,500 ($945,000), Hacksaw Ridge (Kino Films) NEW
05 (05) ¥96,260,700 ($859,000), -36%, ¥330,334,900 ($3.0 million), Innocent Curse (Shochiku) WK2
06 (04) ¥71,685,600 ($640,000), -56%, ¥312,616,860 ($2.8 million), The Irregular at Magic High School: Girl Who Summons Stars (Aniplex) WK2
07 (---) ¥56,599,100 ($506,000), 0, ¥56,599,100 ($506,000), Space Battleship Yamato 2202: Chapter of Departure (Shochiku Media Division) NEW
08 (06) ¥44,569,400 ($398,000), -48%, ¥222,237,500 ($1.9 million), King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (Warner Bros.) WK2
09 (---) ¥42,387,500 ($379,000), 0, ¥42,387,500 ($405,000), When Will You Return? (Showgate) NEW
10 (10) ¥35,533,000 ($317,000), -11%, ¥236,150,900 ($2.1 million), King of Prism: Pride the Hero (Avex Pictures) WK3


>Confessions of a Murderer edged out another weekend victory, its third-consecutive week at #1, delivering yet another excellent hold selling a further 165,052 admissions. Its chances of exceeding ¥2 billion ($20 million) are becoming higher and higher, and it'll have to suffer some serious drops over the next couple weeks to miss the milestone. It's likely to out-gross Kong: Skull Island to become the highest-grossing film of 2017 for Warner Bros..

>Beauty and the Beast had to settle for another close second place finish, selling a further 144,239 admissions, but its tenth weekend is one of the 10 biggest of all-time. Also, Disney has major reason to celebrate, too, since the film out-grossed Alice in Wonderland over the weekend to become their highest-grossing live-action film in Japan and their most-attended live-action film by selling more admissions than Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End.

It's become a trend for Disney to cut into the legs of their major performers late in their runs when they have another major tentpole coming up (Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales on Saturday), so I expect the same to happen this upcoming weekend, especially with the two records Beauty and the Beast just claimed. 

>Hacksaw Ridge came in a little lower than I was expecting but it stays above ¥100 million with actuals, so it's a win for the film and a bigger win for distributor Kino Films. Mel Gibson's latest sold 83,135 admissions over the weekend across 252 screens. Japan will become either its second or third biggest international market behind China (very impressive there), and maybe the UK.

June is finally over, and the box office will enter the two biggest months of the year -- July and August -- this upcoming weekend, so expect some interesting figures at last in the coming weeks/months.

 

Biggest Tenth Weekends/Ten Week Totals (2000-)

01. ¥807.1 million ($7.9 million), +09%, ¥18.53 billion ($181.8 million) - Frozen (2014)
02. ¥510.0 million ($4.6 million), -21%, ¥22.40 billion ($183.7 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
03. ¥381.5 million ($3.6 million), -20%, ¥17.19 billion ($167.1 million) - Your Name. (2016)
04. ¥359.4 million ($4.0 million), -11%, ¥12.60 billion ($141.5 million) - Avatar (2009)
05. ¥349.1 million ($2.7 million), +18%, ¥18.48 billion ($140.6 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
06. ¥310.5 million ($3.0 million), -10%, ¥16.42 billion ($160.1 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
07. ¥289.6 million ($2.7 million), -31%, ¥11.15 billion ($105.7 million) - The Last Samurai (2003)
08. ¥225.2 million ($1.8 million), -41%, ¥15.86 billion ($137.6 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
09. ¥213.3 million ($1.8 million), -23%, ¥15.78 billion ($134.1 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
10. 
¥207.0 million ($1.8 million), -06%, ¥11.81 billion ($104.6 million)- Beauty and the Beast (2017)
11. ¥184.9 million ($1.9 million), -43%, ¥11.08 billion ($113.4 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
12. ¥178.4 million ($1.6 million), -11%, ¥12.37 billion ($112.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
13. ¥171.5 million ($1.7 million), -14%, ¥7.20 billion ($66.7 million) - Zootopia (2016)
14. ¥154.9 million ($1.5 million), -40%, ¥14.31 billion ($133.3 million) - Ponyo (2008)

¥150 million+

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27 minutes ago, Captain H said:

Look at Zootopia being there despite only grossing half the total of everything else in the list.

 

Next week's drop for BATB will be pretty harsh, maybe 50%+?

 

Zootopia was holding so well late in its run. It probably could have added at least $10 million more if it didn't lose most of its theaters/screens to Alice 2 and then Finding Dory two weeks later. Also, Frozen's record 10th weekend is insane (it was even higher than its opening weekend). Even the other massive phenomenons like Spirited Away and Your Name couldn't come close. 

 

I would be surprised if Beauty and the Beast dropped less than 50% next weekend since it will also be losing the majority of its theaters/screens to Pirates 5 according to Corpse. 

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Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

43,953 > x57,204 > x81,751 > 110,262 > 126,170 > 168,362 - Pirates of the Caribbean 5

Compared To Most Recent ¥1 billion+ Openers (2015-):

43,557 > x71,681 > x93,992 > 122,021 > 151,314 > 175,522 > 207,502 > 229,798 > 277,427 > 342,959 > 348,024 - Detective Conan 21
74,565 > 116,519 > 144,266 > 177,687 > 206,086 > 240,279 > 271,568 > 281,438 > 308,702 > 317,438 > 317,709 - Yo-Kai Watch 2
52,996 > x60,631 > x75,890 > 117,855 > 124,236 > 147,342 > 187,892 > 197,398 > 226,441 > 286,005 > 293,246 - Star Wars VII
39,622 > x55,638 > x79,473 > x99,228 > 124,143 > 156,171 > 176,298 > 194,209 > 229,193 > 285,429 > 289,656 - Detective Conan 20
63,854 > x89,438 > 109,249 > 128,842 > 148,074 > 177,219 > 197,555 > 209,978 > 235,145 > 283,231 > 286,726 - One Piece Film Gold
35,649 > x44,489 > x58,686 > x69,098 > x88,527 > 103,765 > 131,753 > 161,863 > 196,572 > 255,793 > 262,671 - Beauty and the Beast


Saturday Results (Two-Thirds of Market):
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings] - Film Title 
348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (2015)
293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502] - Detective Conan: Darkest Nightmare (2016)
286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256] - One Piece Film Gold (2016)
262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327] - Beauty and the Beast (2017)

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POTC5 tracking to open over BATB and SW7..

BATB heading to sud 20% drop.

Edit: Saturday is boosted by discout day of 1st of every month.

Edited by Olive
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Corpse :

 

Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

43,953 > x57,204 > x81,751 > 110,262 > 126,170 > 168,362 > 195,657 > 206,362 > 254,352 > 324,272 > 330,349 - Pirates of the Caribbean 5

Compared To Most Recent ¥1 billion+ Openers (2015-):

43,557 > x71,681 > x93,992 > 122,021 > 151,314 > 175,522 > 207,502 > 229,798 > 277,427 > 342,959 > 348,024 - Detective Conan 21
43,953 > x57,204 > x81,751 > 110,262 > 126,170 > 168,362 > 195,657 > 206,362 > 254,352 > 324,272 > 330,349 - Pirates of the Caribbean 5
74,565 > 116,519 > 144,266 > 177,687 > 206,086 > 240,279 > 271,568 > 281,438 > 308,702 > 317,438 > 317,709 - Yo-Kai Watch 2
52,996 > x60,631 > x75,890 > 117,855 > 124,236 > 147,342 > 187,892 > 197,398 > 226,441 > 286,005 > 293,246 - Star Wars VII
39,622 > x55,638 > x79,473 > x99,228 > 124,143 > 156,171 > 176,298 > 194,209 > 229,193 > 285,429 > 289,656 - Detective Conan 20
63,854 > x89,438 > 109,249 > 128,842 > 148,074 > 177,219 > 197,555 > 209,978 > 235,145 > 283,231 > 286,726 - One Piece Film Gold
35,649 > x44,489 > x58,686 > x69,098 > x88,527 > 103,765 > 131,753 > 161,863 > 196,572 > 255,793 > 262,671 - Beauty and the Beast


Saturday Results (Two-Thirds of Market):
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings] - Film Title
348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
330,349/701,865 (47.1% capacity), [247/2,864] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (2015)
293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502] - Detective Conan: Darkest Nightmare (2016)
286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256] - One Piece Film Gold (2016)
262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327] - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
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22 minutes ago, catlover said:

Wow POTC5. Almost as big as Detective Conan on OD at usual locations. I know it's discount day, but still. How big the OW is gonna be in yen?

Corpse says:

An incredible first day for Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - it's likely the biggest opening day (definitely in admissions) for an imported release since 2011's Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2. 

It's bound to see a noticeable drop on Sunday (though ticket sales look strong to me, likely from spillover) since Saturday was inflated due to being on the 1st of the month (discount day), but even a major decline is going to result in a great opening weekend.

I'm projecting a debut for Pirates 5 around ¥1.1/1.2 billion ($10/11 million) on ~800,000 admissions. This start would be on par with its predecessor (I'll post a Pirates of the Caribbean Box Office History later today).
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17 hours ago, Olive said:

Corpse says:

An incredible first day for Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - it's likely the biggest opening day (definitely in admissions) for an imported release since 2011's Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2. 

It's bound to see a noticeable drop on Sunday (though ticket sales look strong to me, likely from spillover) since Saturday was inflated due to being on the 1st of the month (discount day), but even a major decline is going to result in a great opening weekend.

I'm projecting a debut for Pirates 5 around ¥1.1/1.2 billion ($10/11 million) on ~800,000 admissions. This start would be on par with its predecessor (I'll post a Pirates of the Caribbean Box Office History later today).

 

WOW! The last Pirates film made over $100 million on it's own. $800 WW may not be out of the question after all. Of course I don't know how close this film got to $700 million WW without contributions from Japan. I think many felt to even get close to that final tally, it needed to come fairly close to $700 million from the rest of the markets before Japan started adding to the tally. I guess we'll see later today. 

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