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Corpse

JAPAN: WKND Actuals (Your Name. Claims Fourth Weekend Record; Breaking Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone's 15-Year Record.

13,470 posts in this topic

Poor Moana only got one week in the top spot before Sing took over. Good to see both doing decently well together though.

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Numbers for Kong: Skull Island were expected, but that admission total. Yikes.

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2 hours ago, arpiaaaa said:

BATB in Japan

Resultado de imagen de waiting like gif

 

he was so young!:D

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Corpse:

 

I won't have time to post a Weekend Forecast tonight, however, I'll be posting hourly updates for the latest Detective Conan film (in comparison with last year's three ¥1 billion+ debuts) because it's going to have a mammoth opening weekend, easily the biggest of the year so far (possibly overall by the end of the year) and possibly over ¥1 billion. First time since 2014.

It has sold nearly 30% of its available tickets for the day in advance.

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Posted (edited)

First time since 2014 would require a 1 million debut in admissions, not a 1 billion debut in yen. The last movie to do it was Yôkai Watch in december 2014. ;)

 

Imagine if BATB had opened this weekend. The Japanese BO would have exploded. :D

Edited by Cynosure

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Before BATB's arrival,  Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter has a massive opening.

per Corpse

Absolutely huge for the latest Detective Conan film, quite easily beating all the other uber-tier openings of the past 3 years above.

No film has opened above 1 million admissions since 2014, but Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter is looking at possibly 1.1 million admissions and a gross over ¥1.4 billion (~$13 million) this weekend, which might beat Howl's Moving Castle to deliver the second biggest opening weekend for a domestic film of all-time.

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Why has Detective Conan suddenly become so massive? Before that, each new entry either slightly increased from the previous installment or stagnated  Last year's entry had the justification of coinciding with the 20th anniversary, but not this one. This is absolutely bonkers! With ¥1.4b opening, its probably going to tp the original Yokai Watch to become the highest grossing among these local annual franchises ever (Pokémon, Yokai Watch, Dorarmon- well, excluding Stand by Me, which was its own thing- etc).

 

After stagnating during the second half of last decade, the Japanese box office seems to be really on fire in this one (increasing year on year in both gross and admissions for 5+ consecutive years). At some point, it probably has to stop? Since statistically and demographically, Japan's decreasing Youth (and total) population can't sustain these incredible numbers.

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wow for detective conan!!!!
is it because of xxth years of conan's anniversary?? it could reach $10b yen level as approaching golden-week 

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How well is BATB expected to do?

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3 minutes ago, Noctis said:

How well is BATB expected to do?

 

Corpse mentioned 10 billion yen being possible, with the potential to surpass Alice in Wonderland (in yen, not USD).

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Posted (edited)

Do we have weekend numbers from Japan for all movies? Can someone point me to a reputed japanese bo collection website? Thanks.

Edited by a2knet

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Corpse:

 

Weekend Estimates (04/15-16)
01 (---) ¥1,400,000,000 ($12.9 million), 0, ¥1,400,000,000 ($12.9 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) NEW
02 (---) ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), 0, ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Invasion!! Alien Shiriri (Toho) NEW
03 (01) ¥183,000,000 ($1.7 million), -41%, ¥4,375,000,000 ($39.5 million), Sing (Toho-Towa) WK5
04 (03) ¥144,000,000 ($1.3 million), -42%, ¥4,675,000,000 ($42.1 million), Moana (Disney) WK6
05 (02) ¥134,000,000 ($1.2 million), -51%, ¥700,000,000 ($6.4 million), Ghost in the Shell (Toho-Towa) WK2
06 (04) ¥86,000,000 ($790,000), -49%, ¥1,800,000,000 ($16.2 million), Kong: Skull Island (Warner Bros.) WK4
07 (---) ¥85,000,000 ($780,000), 0, ¥85,000,000 ($780,000), The Great Wall (Toho-Towa) NEW
08 (05) ¥71,000,000 ($655,000), -57%, ¥4,150,000,000 ($37.3 million), Doraemon: Great Adventure in the Antarctic (Toho) WK7
09 (06) ¥69,000,000 ($635,000), -31%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), The Night Is Short, Walk on Girl (Toho Video Division) WK2
10 (07) ¥61,000,000 ($560,000), -32%, ¥1,175,000,000 ($10.5 million), Daytime Shooting Star (Toho) WK4

 

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 Detective Conan OW actuals - 1.287 B yen

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Huge overprediction by Corpse. Did it reach 1 million admissions @Olive

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2 hours ago, Agafin said:

Huge overprediction by Corpse. Did it reach 1 million admissions @Olive

987,568

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38 minutes ago, Olive said:

987,568

 

Wow, lol. That was close.

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4 hours ago, Olive said:

987,568

conan's franchise used to be more frontloaded in japan

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With 45% drops from now on OS, a $490M gross stateside and an $85M gross in Japan, BatB can make it to $1.2B. I wonder if FF8 can beat that...

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I truly believe that BATB can make 100M in Japan....

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