JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Stewart]

5 minutes ago, Olive said:

Fri- 330-350M

Sat 600-650M

Sun 650-700M

WOM is fantasitic, I think 10x multip from 2-day with holidays is not difficult.

 

How accurate is http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/, because it currently says 660M at 23:06?

 

And that sounds excellent! so 1.3B yen x10 + Friday is about 13.5B yen = $123m!

[Olive]

8 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

 

How accurate is http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/, because it currently says 660M at 23:06?

 

And that sounds excellent! so 1.3B yen x10 + Friday is about 13.5B yen = $123m!

663027 is number of total available seats, not money.

[Stewart]

7 minutes ago, Olive said:

663027 is number of total available seats, not money.

 

ohhhhh and the bracket is the percentage of seat reported? So how can I go from tickets sold (261.7k) to Yen? Is there anyway to get average ticket price, or do we have to wait for corpse?

[druv10]

25 minutes ago, Olive said:

Fri- 330-350M

Sat 600-650M

Sun 650-700M

WOM is fantasitic, I think 10x multip from 2-day with holidays is not difficult.

Thanks, 1.2B+ in Japan which gives it a realistic shot at surpassing IM3 WW. Frozen WW would require phenomenal legs.

[Olive]

2 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

 

ohhhhh and the bracket is the percentage of seat reported? So how can I go from tickets sold (261.7k) to Yen? Is there anyway to get average ticket price, or do we have to wait for corpse?

The site tracks 2/3 of the whole market, and the ticket for 3D blockbusters are around 1500 yen.

262/0.66*1500

[Stewart]

1 minute ago, Olive said:

The site tracks 2/3 of the whole market, and the ticket for 3D blockbusters are around 1500 yen.

262/0.66*1500

 

Thank you very much! So it's at roughly 600M yen, depending on whether it skews older/younger than expected.

[bladels]

1 hour ago, druv10 said:

Thanks, 1.2B+ in Japan which gives it a realistic shot at surpassing IM3 WW. Frozen WW would require phenomenal legs.

$120-130M in Japan + $630M OS-JP + $500M DOM = $1.25-1.26B. Very close to Frozen. If OS-JP can do $650M than BaTB would have a real shot at beating Frozen

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

Beauty and the Beast performed very, very well on Saturday, and has probably assured that it'll achieve a debut above the ¥1 billion mark.

Here's how it compares to the five ¥1 billion debuts of the past few years, including last weekend's Detective Conan.

Saturday Results - ¥1 billion+ Openers (Two-Thirds of Market) :
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title
348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676], Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727], Yo-Kai Watch 2 (2015)
293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502], Detective Conan: Darkest Nightmare (2016)
286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256], One Piece Film Gold (2016)
262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327], Beauty and the Beast (2017)

Its Saturday is lower than all the other ¥1 billion openers of the past few years, but it's still very impressive, and should come in around 800,000 admissions over the weekend frame (Alice in Wonderland sold 828,000, so that's the main target) if its Sunday is roughly on par with yesterday. It's hard to predict what its avg. ticket price will be (3D family films vary greatly), but even a low avg. ticket price should carry it above the ¥1 billion mark.

I'm thinking it'll debut with around ¥1.1 billion ($10 million), which makes it a ¥10 billion (~$90 million+) contender.

[Olive]

seems that BATB exactly doubles Cinderella OW, it will make 11.5b YEN if it has same legs.

[Cynosure]

BATB will probably be down a bit on sunday.

[Stewart]

1 minute ago, Cynosure said:

BATB will probably be down a bit on sunday.

 

Even though its admissions are ahead of Saturday? is Sunday more family oriented driving down the ticket price?

[Cynosure]

I don't know about yen. I'm talking about tickets. Its admissions will fall behind as sunday evenings usually have very few admissions after 10 pm unlike saturday evenings.

[Stewart]

Just now, Cynosure said:

I don't know about yen. I'm talking about tickets. Its admissions will fall behind as sunday evenings usually have very few admissions after 10 pm unlike saturday evenings.

 

Well its total admissions for Saturday (2/3 market) was 262,671, and currently Sunday has 261,322. So although it will technically be 'down' it is close enough that you can just call it flat in terms of admissions. (currently down 0.5%)

[Cynosure]

Wait, it only did 6k admissions after 9.20 pm on saturday ? Then it might actually be a little higher on sunday. Though given the scale, whether it's below or above, it's basically flat.

 

edit : It's up.

Edited April 23, 2017 by Cynosure

[Olive]

Yeah, basicly flat from Saturday.

1.15-1.25B yen for OW, around 1.5B for 3 days.

[Finnick]

BATB OPENED HUGE IN JAPAN, ANOTHER BIG WIN FOR DISNEY IN JAPAN!!

 

 

[Cynosure]

2 or 3 day weekend ?

[abra]

18 minutes ago, Cynosure said:

2 or 3 day weekend ?

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2771200/releaseinfo?ref_=tt_dt_dt

 

Japan     21 April 2017    

[titanic2187]

this is huge!! and golden's week is coming!!

[Olive]

Weekend Estimates (04/22-23)
01 (---) ¥1,150,000,000 ($10.5 million), 0, ¥1,450,000,000 ($13.3 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) NEW
02 (01) ¥733,000,000 ($6.7 million), -43%, ¥2,600,000,000 ($23.7 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK2
03 (02) ¥196,000,000 ($1.8 million), -40%, ¥600,000,000 ($5.5 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Invasion!! Alien Shiriri (Toho) WK2
04 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), March Comes in Like a Lion - Part 2 (Toho) NEW
05 (03) ¥102,000,000 ($935,000), -45%, ¥4,575,000,000 ($41.1 million), Sing (Toho-Towa) WK6
06 (04) ¥69,000,000 ($630,000), -52%, ¥4,825,000,000 ($43.3 million), Moana (Disney) WK7
07 (05) ¥52,000,000 ($475,000), -57%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.2 million), Ghost in the Shell (Toho-Towa) WK3
08 (---) ¥50,000,000 ($460,000), 0, ¥50,000,000 ($460,000), Deepwater Horizon (Kadokawa) NEW
09 (06) ¥42,000,000 ($385,000), -64%, ¥265,000,000 ($2.4 million), The Great Wall (Toho-Towa) WK2
10 (---) ¥40,000,000 ($365,000), 0, ¥40,000,000 ($365,000), Free! Timeless Medley Kizuna (Shochiku) NEW

Beauty and the Beast debuts in Japan ahead of the Golden Week holiday period, one of the three busiest weeks of the entire year, and delivered an incredible opening weekend based on estimates.

Some highlights:

>4th Biggest Debut in the Month of April - list later.
>6th Biggest Debut for a Disney Film - list later.
>36th Film to Ever Exceed ¥1 Billion in its Debut - list later.

Any debut of this caliber is remarkable, especially being one week out from a major holiday period. A total over ¥10 billion ($90 million+) is never a lock this early on, but the mark is very much in sight since a multiplier less than 9 could get it there, and that shouldn't be too difficult with its release date.

>Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter held quite well in its second weekend, better than the past few films, and easily delivers the biggest second weekend in the franchise history after achieving the biggest opening weekend in the franchise last weekend. Another total north of ¥6 billion ($55 million) is likely, but perhaps it can even reach ¥7 billion ($65 million) this year - this franchise has become a major force in recent years at the box office after nearly two decades of stagnant numbers.